Do I ship it?

GamesIncrementalIncremental + Martial Arts

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Martial-Arts Incremental game?

Incremental + Martial Arts

Only 13 developers shipped a Martial-Arts Incremental game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, WindStop Strategy, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 15 more are announced.

Verdict: fair, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $6.1k, ×9.7 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, with 3 in 10 under $360. Revenue is up 605% on the market; 15 games are announced against 10 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 9.7 times the market baseline, revenue up 605% on the market, 15 announced, ×1.5 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Incremental + Martial Arts
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 13

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for Incremental + Martial Arts: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 13
Bottom 30% $359 (exactly $359)
Median $6.1k (exactly $6,110)
Top 25% $13k (exactly $13,187)
Top 5% $448k (exactly $447,752)
Developers, 2 yr 13
Released games 26
Announced 15
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $5.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 605% on the market, supply 235% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 8%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Incremental
effort 1 / 10 · high · formulas and upgrade tables
Martial Arts
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Incremental
Price point
$5.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 10 games average 78% positive over 4,795 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $360, median $6.1k, 1 in 4 over $13k, 1 in 20 over $440k.

3 in 10 developers made under $360. 15 games are announced against 10 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Incremental with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + FMVStrong odds15 devs · median $11k · 12 announced
  2. + OtomeStrong odds12 devs · median $7.0k · 11 announced
  3. + FarmingFair21 devs · median $5.9k · 23 announced
  4. + Dynamic NarrationFair19 devs · median $4.0k · 14 announced
  5. + MiningFair141 devs · median $3.9k · 207 announced
  6. + Souls-likeFair9 devs · median $3.9k · 10 announced
  7. + Arena ShooterFair15 devs · median $3.5k · 20 announced
  8. + Dating SimFair140 devs · median $3.1k · 136 announced
  9. + UndergroundFair27 devs · median $3.0k · 35 announced
  10. + LootFair145 devs · median $2.9k · 236 announced
  11. + SupernaturalFair33 devs · median $2.4k · 35 announced
  12. + EconomyFair408 devs · median $2.2k · 612 announced

All 188 pairs on the Incremental page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Immortal Family older $13.99 1,213 54% 36k $509k (exactly $509,096) 一起来修仙工作室
WindStop Strategy $9.99 1,494 78% 45k $448k (exactly $447,752) Xia Start
xiuzhen idle $5.99 2,313 79% 69k $416k (exactly $415,646) 游戏养家工作室
Desktop Raid $8.99 672 76% 20k $181k (exactly $181,238) Lee_Studio
Taimanin Asagi older $14.99 161 84% 4.8k $72k (exactly $72,402) Lilith
Heritage $9.99 44 72% 1.3k $13k (exactly $13,187) Big Three Games
Songs of Yummy $3.99 98 74% 2.9k $12k (exactly $11,731) DreamStep, FUTU Studio
Idle Xanxia · EA $3.99 82 81% 2.5k $9.8k (exactly $9,815) Cezae
Street karate 3 older $4.99 55 80% 1.7k $8.2k (exactly $8,234) Essential Tactics Games
鸿运修仙传 $5.99 34 76% 1.0k $6.1k (exactly $6,110) 玉米工作室
Peak $1.99 42 92% 1.3k $2.5k (exactly $2,507) Three Hands Co
Idle Wuxia Heroes $5.99 13 53% 390 $2.3k (exactly $2,336) StarMatrix Labs
福报镖局 $3.99 3 100% 90 $359 (exactly $359) Flappy Cow Studio

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.