Do I ship it?

GamesIdlerIdler + Space

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Space Idler?

Idler + Space

Of 134 developers who shipped a Space Idler in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 171 more are announced.

Verdict: fair, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.0k, ×1.7 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, with 3 in 10 under $480. Revenue is up 155% on the market; 171 games are announced against 107 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.7 times the market baseline, revenue up 155% on the market, 171 announced, ×1.6 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Idler + Space
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 134
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $713 → $119 → $3.9k → $2.8k → $776 → $2.2k → $1.2k (still earning) → $719 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Idler + Space: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 134
Bottom 30% $479 (exactly $479)
Median $1.0k (exactly $1,048)
Top 25% $6.3k (exactly $6,287)
Top 5% $74k (exactly $73,814)
Developers, 2 yr 134
Released games 250
Announced 171
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 155% on the market, supply 280% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 17%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Idler
effort 1 / 10 · high · number growth curves and a UI
Space
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Idler; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Incremental, Simulation, Strategy
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $6.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Relaxing, Colorful
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $6.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 89% positive over 12,585 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $480, median $1.0k, 1 in 4 over $6.2k, 1 in 20 over $73k.

3 in 10 developers made under $480. 8 in 10 of the 37 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 171 games are announced against 107 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Idler with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + FMVStrong odds10 devs · median $36k · 10 announced
  2. + FarmingStrong odds33 devs · median $5.9k · 25 announced
  3. + Hack and SlashFair32 devs · median $6.4k · 50 announced
  4. + DrivingFair16 devs · median $5.5k · 18 announced
  5. + LootFair181 devs · median $4.5k · 256 announced
  6. + FPSFair22 devs · median $4.2k · 23 announced
  7. + Turn-Based CombatFair52 devs · median $4.0k · 41 announced
  8. + Turn-Based StrategyFair50 devs · median $3.6k · 45 announced
  9. + Dynamic NarrationFair16 devs · median $3.0k · 17 announced
  10. + Dark FantasyFair83 devs · median $2.9k · 128 announced
  11. + CapitalismFair205 devs · median $2.9k · 260 announced
  12. + SwordplayFair9 devs · median $2.7k · 4 announced

All 177 pairs on the Idler page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
To The Core older $7.99 5,087 92% 153k $1.2M (exactly $1,219,354) SomethingExtra
A Game About Feeding A Black Hole $6.99 3,467 88% 104k $727k (exactly $727,030) Aarimous, Thornity
Space Rock Breaker $2.99 4,671 96% 140k $419k (exactly $418,989) WAKA WAKA
Mountain older $0.99 12,921 88% 388k $384k (exactly $383,754) David OReilly
Galactic Mining Corp older $12.99 868 84% 26k $338k (exactly $338,260) Windybeard
SPACEPLAN older $2.99 3,315 91% 99k $297k (exactly $297,356) Jake Hollands
Microcosmum: survival of cells older $7.99 1,117 80% 34k $268k (exactly $267,745) Satur Entertainment
The Last Cat in the Universe $6.99 1,153 95% 35k $242k (exactly $241,784) Apamate Studio, Diora
Space industrial empire older $5.99 1,022 85% 31k $184k (exactly $183,653) 游戏养家工作室
Starvester $6.99 790 69% 24k $166k (exactly $165,663) Syphono4
Vanguard Galaxy · EA $8.99 565 90% 17k $152k (exactly $152,380) Bat Roost Games
Void Miner – Incremental Asteroids Roguelite $5.99 698 83% 21k $125k (exactly $125,431) RyanJakob
Rock Crusher $6.99 352 84% 11k $74k (exactly $73,814) Mini Fun Games
How To Grow a Black Hole $3.99 573 67% 17k $69k (exactly $68,588) Desolation Digital
ANLIFE: Motion-Learning Life Evolution $13.99 161 83% 4.8k $68k (exactly $67,572) Attructure Inc.
LUST Company 👾 $9.99 155 65% 4.7k $46k (exactly $46,454) Taboo Tales 💘

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.