Do I ship it?

GamesIdlerIdler + Capitalism

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Capitalist Idler?

Idler + Capitalism

Of 205 developers who shipped a Capitalist Idler in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 260 more are announced.

Verdict: fair, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $2.9k, ×6.1 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, with 3 in 10 under $630. Revenue is up 10% on the market; 260 games are announced against 155 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 6.1 times the market baseline, revenue up 10% on the market, 260 announced, ×1.7 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Idler + Capitalism
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 205
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $14k → $8.0k → $6.2k → $14k → $5.2k → $4.1k → $3.0k (still earning) → $1.3k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Idler + Capitalism: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 205
Bottom 30% $629 (exactly $629)
Median $2.9k (exactly $2,875)
Top 25% $20k (exactly $19,947)
Top 5% $262k (exactly $261,502)
Developers, 2 yr 205
Released games 349
Announced 260
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 10% on the market, supply 180% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 18%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Idler
effort 1 / 10 · high · number growth curves and a UI
Capitalism
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Idler; 8 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Incremental, Simulation, Management
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $7.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Relaxing, 2D, Cute
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $7.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 93% positive over 61,515 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $630, median $2.9k, 1 in 4 over $19k, 1 in 20 over $260k.

3 in 10 developers made under $630. 6 in 10 of the 71 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 260 games are announced against 155 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Idler with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + FMVStrong odds10 devs · median $36k · 10 announced
  2. + FarmingStrong odds33 devs · median $5.9k · 25 announced
  3. + Hack and SlashFair32 devs · median $6.4k · 50 announced
  4. + DrivingFair16 devs · median $5.5k · 18 announced
  5. + LootFair181 devs · median $4.5k · 256 announced
  6. + FPSFair22 devs · median $4.2k · 23 announced
  7. + Turn-Based CombatFair52 devs · median $4.0k · 41 announced
  8. + Turn-Based StrategyFair50 devs · median $3.6k · 45 announced
  9. + Dynamic NarrationFair16 devs · median $3.0k · 17 announced
  10. + Dark FantasyFair83 devs · median $2.9k · 128 announced
  11. + SwordplayFair9 devs · median $2.7k · 4 announced
  12. + ModernFair45 devs · median $2.7k · 41 announced

All 177 pairs on the Idler page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Scritchy Scratchy $6.99 15,245 94% 457k $3.2M (exactly $3,196,876) Lunch Money Games
Bills Must Be Paid $6.99 9,928 96% 298k $2.1M (exactly $2,081,902) Rike Games
Chillquarium older $5.99 7,780 92% 233k $1.4M (exactly $1,398,066) Ben Reber
Tiny Pasture $5.99 7,055 92% 212k $1.3M (exactly $1,267,784) CaveLiquid
Keep on Mining! $4.99 8,300 93% 249k $1.2M (exactly $1,242,510) EagleEye Games
Digseum $2.99 8,033 97% 241k $721k (exactly $720,560) Rat Monthly
Gamblers Table $6.99 2,955 74% 89k $620k (exactly $619,664) greenpixels, Bossforge
Click the Button $3.99 3,849 93% 115k $461k (exactly $460,725) LoopCap
Chef Knight $5.99 2,433 94% 73k $437k (exactly $437,210) Clover Bite
Keep on Mining! - Worlds $6.99 1,899 80% 57k $398k (exactly $398,220) EagleEye Games
Outhold $6.99 1,818 86% 55k $381k (exactly $381,235) Tellus Games

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.