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Should I ship an Idler Turn-Based Combat game?
Turn-Based Combat + Idler
Of 52 developers who shipped an Idler Turn-Based Combat game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 41 more are announced.
Verdict: fair, for a 4 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $4.0k, ×8.3 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, with 3 in 10 under $420. Revenue is up 120% on the market; 41 games are announced against 32 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $418 (exactly $418) |
|---|---|
| Median | $4.0k (exactly $3,950) |
| Top 25% | $26k (exactly $25,583) |
| Top 5% | $438k (exactly $438,458) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 52 |
| Released games | 110 |
| Announced | 41 |
| Effort | 4 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $4.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 120% on the market, supply 60% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 25%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Turn-Based Combat
- effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
- Idler
- effort 1 / 10 · high · number growth curves and a UI
What it takes
- Effort
- 4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
- Systems
- Turn-Based Combat, Idler; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Strategy, Adventure, Turn-Based Strategy
- Price point
- $4.99 typical · top 25% priced $11.99 or above
- Art
- 3 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Colorful, Relaxing
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $11.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.
The top 10 games average 81% positive over 9,003 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $420. 7 in 10 of the 28 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 41 games are announced against 32 developers who shipped in the last year.
Adjacent niches
Turn-Based Combat with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + WuxiaStrong odds
- + Hack and SlashStrong odds
- + RomeFair
- + CookingFair
- + UndergroundFair
- + DiceFair
- + Traditional RoguelikeFair
- + ArcadeFair
- + Tower DefenseFair
- + Artificial IntelligenceFair
- + SolitaireFair
- + RhythmPoor odds
Comparable games
| Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Swords & Souls: Neverseen | older | $14.99 | 6,077 93% | 182k | $2.7M (exactly $2,732,827) | SoulGame Studio |
| | Dragon Cliff | older | $9.99 | 7,679 88% | 230k | $2.3M (exactly $2,301,396) | Meta Interaction |
| | 再刷一把 PlayAgain | older | $8.99 | 4,416 67% | 132k | $1.2M (exactly $1,190,995) | 滑稽工作室 |
| | Multiverse Loot Hunter | $11.99 | 2,585 80% | 78k | $930k (exactly $929,824) | 游戏养家工作室 | |
| | Cauldron | $14.99 | 1,678 92% | 50k | $755k (exactly $754,597) | SleepyDad Games | |
| | Disgaea 6 Complete | older | $59.99 | 387 63% | 12k | $696k (exactly $696,484) | Nippon Ichi Software, Inc. |
| | Wretch: Divine Ascent | $14.99 | 975 75% | 29k | $438k (exactly $438,458) | Ogopogo | |
| | Fantasy Idle Dungeon | $9.99 | 736 70% | 22k | $221k (exactly $220,579) | Leaves Games | |
| | 无休仙途 | $5.99 | 966 72% | 29k | $174k (exactly $173,590) | GOCORE | |
| | The Eastern Sacrifice | $9.99 | 356 55% | 11k | $107k (exactly $106,693) | 五条虾仁(5 shrimps) | |
| | Loser Got Isekai’d – Sex, Side Jobs, and Odd Tasks | $13.99 | 254 89% | 7.6k | $107k (exactly $106,604) | Morexingame | |
| | 挂机手游模拟器 | $2.99 | 1,111 91% | 33k | $100k (exactly $99,657) | 天光 | |
| | The Girl's Moving Castle | $9.99 | 181 88% | 5.4k | $54k (exactly $54,246) | Destined game Studio | |
| | 大宋英雄传(SongHeros) | · EA | $9.99 | 161 79% | 4.8k | $48k (exactly $48,252) | LazyManGameStudio |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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