Should I ship an Idler FMV?
FMV + Idler
Only 10 developers shipped an Idler FMV in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Giant Waifu Wash Simulator 💦, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 10 more are announced.
Verdict: strong odds, for a 4 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $36k, ×76 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 7 in 10 cleared $1.4k. Revenue is up 30% on the market; 10 games are announced against 8 developers who shipped in the last year, ×1.3 per shipper.
| Bottom 30% | $1.4k (exactly $1,426) |
|---|---|
| Median | $36k (exactly $36,056) |
| Top 25% | $52k (exactly $52,448) |
| Top 5% | $71k (exactly $71,053) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 10 |
| Released games | 77 |
| Announced | 10 |
| Effort | 4 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $9.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 30% on the market, supply 100% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 3%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
What it takes
- Effort
- 4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
- Systems
- FMV, Idler
- Price point
- $9.99 typical
Why players buy here
The top 10 games average 83% positive over 2,355 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $1.5k. 10 games are announced against 8 developers who shipped in the last year.
Adjacent niches
FMV with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + SurvivalStrong odds
- + Post-apocalypticStrong odds
- + StrategyStrong odds
- + Multiple EndingsStrong odds
- + Immersive SimStrong odds
- + Choices MatterStrong odds
- + Dating SimStrong odds
- + RomanceStrong odds
- + SimulationStrong odds
- + JRPGStrong odds
- + Visual NovelStrong odds
- + RPGStrong odds
Comparable games
Vanity Fair: The Pursuit 2024 · $842k 
美女,应接不暇 2024 · $128k 
Sex Hotel Simulator 🏩 2023 · $88k 
Giant Waifu Wash Simulator 💦 2026 · $87k 
NejicomiSimulator TMA02 2024 · $79k | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Vanity Fair: The Pursuit | older | $6.99 | 4,014 87% | 120k | $842k (exactly $841,736) | 木焱工作室 |
| | 美女,应接不暇 | older | $9.99 | 428 83% | 13k | $128k (exactly $128,272) | 筠悦游戏 |
| | Sex Hotel Simulator 🏩 | older | $9.99 | 294 50% | 8.8k | $88k (exactly $88,112) | Octo Games |
| | Giant Waifu Wash Simulator 💦 | $14.99 | 194 65% | 5.8k | $87k (exactly $87,242) | Lewd Star | |
| | NejicomiSimulator TMA02 | older | $22.99 | 114 76% | 3.4k | $79k (exactly $78,626) | やぶから堂, たまぷろじぇくと |
 | Monster Girls: You Can't Say No 🔞 | $14.99 | 158 91% | 4.7k | $71k (exactly $71,053) | Lewd Star | |
 | Naughty College 18+ | older | $9.99 | 210 53% | 6.3k | $63k (exactly $62,937) | Octo Games |
 | SEX Massage 🔞 | older | $9.99 | 201 64% | 6.0k | $60k (exactly $60,240) | BanzaiProject |
 | Bonjour, Cream Inside 💦 | $14.99 | 119 68% | 3.6k | $54k (exactly $53,514) | Juicy Peach Games 🍑 | |
 | Massage With Benefits | $9.99 | 175 84% | 5.3k | $52k (exactly $52,448) | pasunna | |
 | LUST Company 👾 | $9.99 | 155 65% | 4.7k | $46k (exactly $46,454) | Taboo Tales 💘 | |
 | SEXNATURAL: MILFs Must Be Filled 😈💦 | $14.99 | 100 84% | 3.0k | $45k (exactly $44,970) | Juicy Peach Games 🍑 | |
 | Pornographer | $0.99 | 1,214 88% | 36k | $36k (exactly $36,056) | DT | |
 | FRESHMAN: Project SEX 🔞 | $14.99 | 80 73% | 2.4k | $36k (exactly $35,976) | Lewd Star | |
 | Sex Clinic 18+ | $9.99 | 112 83% | 3.4k | $34k (exactly $33,566) | Play and Cum 💦 | |
 | FEEDING YUYUKO | $0.99 | 48 95% | 1.4k | $1.4k (exactly $1,426) | LancerKoi |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
Your address goes to Buttondown, which sends the letter, and nowhere else. Every issue has an unsubscribe link. No tracking beyond the open count Buttondown keeps.