Do I ship it?

GamesIdlerIdler + Sci-fi

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Sci-fi Idler?

Idler + Sci-fi

Of 173 developers who shipped a Sci-fi Idler in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 214 more are announced.

Verdict: fair, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $900, ×1.9 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, with 3 in 10 under $300. Revenue is up 40% on the market; 214 games are announced against 129 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.9 times the market baseline, revenue up 40% on the market, 214 announced, ×1.7 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Idler + Sci-fi
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 173
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $959 → $898 → $1.3k → $449 → $1.2k → $1.7k → $898 (still earning) → $479 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Idler + Sci-fi: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 173
Bottom 30% $299 (exactly $299)
Median $898 (exactly $898)
Top 25% $4.5k (exactly $4,496)
Top 5% $76k (exactly $75,598)
Developers, 2 yr 173
Released games 297
Announced 214
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 40% on the market, supply 185% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 15%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Idler
effort 1 / 10 · high · number growth curves and a UI
Sci-fi
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Idler; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Simulation, Incremental, Resource Management
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $6.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Relaxing
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $6.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 85% positive over 6,005 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $300, median $900, 1 in 4 over $4.4k, 1 in 20 over $75k.

3 in 10 developers made under $300. 8 in 10 of the 52 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 214 games are announced against 129 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Idler with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + FMVStrong odds10 devs · median $36k · 10 announced
  2. + FarmingStrong odds33 devs · median $5.9k · 25 announced
  3. + Hack and SlashFair32 devs · median $6.4k · 50 announced
  4. + DrivingFair16 devs · median $5.5k · 18 announced
  5. + LootFair181 devs · median $4.5k · 256 announced
  6. + FPSFair22 devs · median $4.2k · 23 announced
  7. + Turn-Based CombatFair52 devs · median $4.0k · 41 announced
  8. + Turn-Based StrategyFair50 devs · median $3.6k · 45 announced
  9. + Dynamic NarrationFair16 devs · median $3.0k · 17 announced
  10. + Dark FantasyFair83 devs · median $2.9k · 128 announced
  11. + CapitalismFair205 devs · median $2.9k · 260 announced
  12. + SwordplayFair9 devs · median $2.7k · 4 announced

All 177 pairs on the Idler page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
SPACEPLAN older $2.99 3,315 91% 99k $297k (exactly $297,356) Jake Hollands
Haydee 3 $29.99 321 84% 9.6k $289k (exactly $288,804) Haydee Interactive
The Last Cat in the Universe $6.99 1,153 95% 35k $242k (exactly $241,784) Apamate Studio, Diora
Asbury Pines · EA $12.99 558 90% 17k $217k (exactly $217,453) Chaystar Unlimited LLC
Starvester $6.99 790 69% 24k $166k (exactly $165,663) Syphono4
Vanguard Galaxy · EA $8.99 565 90% 17k $152k (exactly $152,380) Bat Roost Games
Feed the Reactor $6.99 658 82% 20k $138k (exactly $137,983) Adam Travers
Lifeform Zero older $7.99 476 82% 14k $114k (exactly $114,097) Sins of Succubus
FEED THE AI $5.99 557 90% 17k $100k (exactly $100,093) Weird Kid Games
Minutescape $5.99 546 74% 16k $98k (exactly $98,116) Molter
IDLE_DIRECTIVE $4.99 505 86% 15k $76k (exactly $75,598) Kevinfu510
Rock Crusher $6.99 352 84% 11k $74k (exactly $73,814) Mini Fun Games

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.