Do I ship it?

GamesIdlerIdler + Mythology

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Mythological Idler?

Idler + Mythology

Of 42 developers who shipped a Mythological Idler in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 43 more are announced.

Verdict: fair, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $2.2k, ×3.4 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, with 3 in 10 under $450. Revenue is up 25% on the market; 43 games are announced against 25 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 3.4 times the market baseline, revenue up 25% on the market, 43 announced, ×1.7 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Idler + Mythology
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 42
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $9.0k → $11k → $70k → $897 → $18k → $6.1k → $2.0k (still earning) → $356 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Idler + Mythology: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 42
Bottom 30% $450 (exactly $450)
Median $2.2k (exactly $2,156)
Top 25% $15k (exactly $15,103)
Top 5% $174k (exactly $173,590)
Developers, 2 yr 42
Released games 78
Announced 43
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 25% on the market, supply 45% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 19%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Idler
effort 1 / 10 · high · number growth curves and a UI
Mythology
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Idler; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry RPG, Adventure, Strategy
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $12.99 or above
Art
6 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $12.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 76% positive over 6,528 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $450, median $2.2k, 1 in 4 over $15k, 1 in 20 over $170k.

3 in 10 developers made under $450. 6 in 10 of the 20 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 43 games are announced against 25 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Idler with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + FMVStrong odds10 devs · median $36k · 10 announced
  2. + FarmingStrong odds33 devs · median $5.9k · 25 announced
  3. + Hack and SlashFair32 devs · median $6.4k · 50 announced
  4. + DrivingFair16 devs · median $5.5k · 18 announced
  5. + LootFair181 devs · median $4.5k · 256 announced
  6. + FPSFair22 devs · median $4.2k · 23 announced
  7. + Turn-Based CombatFair52 devs · median $4.0k · 41 announced
  8. + Turn-Based StrategyFair50 devs · median $3.6k · 45 announced
  9. + Dynamic NarrationFair16 devs · median $3.0k · 17 announced
  10. + Dark FantasyFair83 devs · median $2.9k · 128 announced
  11. + CapitalismFair205 devs · median $2.9k · 260 announced
  12. + SwordplayFair9 devs · median $2.7k · 4 announced

All 177 pairs on the Idler page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
WorldBox - God Simulator · EA older $19.99 51,071 95% 1.5M $31M (exactly $30,627,279) Maxim Karpenko
Microcivilization $17.99 1,437 78% 43k $776k (exactly $775,549) Ondrej Homola
xiuzhen idle $5.99 2,313 79% 69k $416k (exactly $415,646) 游戏养家工作室
懒人修仙传2 · EA older $7.99 873 71% 26k $209k (exactly $209,258) 托更的修罗
无休仙途 $5.99 966 72% 29k $174k (exactly $173,590) GOCORE
XiuzhenWorld older $12.99 436 75% 13k $170k (exactly $169,909) Noforgetit
Legendary Hoplite older $14.99 335 63% 10k $151k (exactly $150,650) TripleBricksGames
👑Idle Calibur:Zero💕(选王之剑:零) $10.99 445 80% 13k $147k (exactly $146,716) 绝汪
Cultivation Magic World · EA $12.99 276 78% 8.3k $108k (exactly $107,557) DMG Studio
The Eastern Sacrifice $9.99 356 55% 11k $107k (exactly $106,693) 五条虾仁(5 shrimps)
壶中日月 Timeless Teapot $4.99 384 77% 12k $57k (exactly $57,485) 壶天云镜
XiuzhenWorld2 $12.99 134 67% 4.0k $52k (exactly $52,220) Noforgetit
Legends of Savvarah: Children of the Sun $7.99 75 92% 2.3k $18k (exactly $17,978) ST Sinovar
Idle Cultivation $3.99 142 79% 4.3k $17k (exactly $16,997) Linmios

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.