Do I ship it?

Games › Idler › Idler + Medieval

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Medieval Idler?

Idler + Medieval

Of 140 developers who shipped a Medieval Idler in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 171 more are announced.

Verdict: fair, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $2.4k, ×5.0 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, with 3 in 10 under $750. Revenue is up 340% on the market; 171 games are announced against 109 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 5.0 times the market baseline, revenue up 340% on the market, 171 announced, ×1.6 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Idler + Medieval
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 140
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $4.6k → $4.6k → $4.6k → $1.3k → $1.3k → $2.7k → $2.3k (still earning) → $6.6k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Idler + Medieval: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 140
Bottom 30% $748 (exactly $748)
Median $2.4k (exactly $2,395)
Top 25% $14k (exactly $14,076)
Top 5% $320k (exactly $320,046)
Developers, 2 yr 140
Released games 260
Announced 171
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 340% on the market, supply 230% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 19%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Idler
effort 1 / 10 · high · number growth curves and a UI
Medieval
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Idler; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Strategy, Incremental, Simulation
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $8.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Pixel Graphics, Relaxing
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $8.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 79% positive over 15,692 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $750, median $2.4k, 1 in 4 over $14k, 1 in 20 over $320k.

3 in 10 developers made under $750. 8 in 10 of the 42 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 171 games are announced against 109 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Idler with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + FMVStrong odds10 devs · median $36k · 10 announced
  2. + FarmingStrong odds33 devs · median $5.9k · 25 announced
  3. + Hack and SlashFair32 devs · median $6.4k · 50 announced
  4. + DrivingFair16 devs · median $5.5k · 18 announced
  5. + LootFair181 devs · median $4.5k · 256 announced
  6. + FPSFair22 devs · median $4.2k · 23 announced
  7. + Turn-Based CombatFair52 devs · median $4.0k · 41 announced
  8. + Turn-Based StrategyFair50 devs · median $3.6k · 45 announced
  9. + Dynamic NarrationFair16 devs · median $3.0k · 17 announced
  10. + Dark FantasyFair83 devs · median $2.9k · 128 announced
  11. + CapitalismFair205 devs · median $2.9k · 260 announced
  12. + SwordplayFair9 devs · median $2.7k · 4 announced

All 177 pairs on the Idler page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

WorldBox - God Simulator 2021 · EA · $31M Lessaria: Fantasy Kingdom Sim 2025 · $2.2M Fantasy Map Simulator 2024 · EA · $1.0M Ithya: Magic Studies 2025 · $693k Crusaders Quest : Hero Town 2026 · $538k
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
WorldBox - God Simulator · EA older $19.99 51,071 95% 1.5M $31M (exactly $30,627,279) Maxim Karpenko
Lessaria: Fantasy Kingdom Sim $24.90 2,938 77% 88k $2.2M (exactly $2,194,686) Rockbee Team
Fantasy Map Simulator · EA older $7.99 4,190 89% 126k $1.0M (exactly $1,004,343) The Stranger
Ithya: Magic Studies $10.99 2,103 97% 63k $693k (exactly $693,359) BlueTurtle
Crusaders Quest : Hero Town $6.99 2,564 76% 77k $538k (exactly $537,671) CQ LABS
Hearth and Hamlet $7.99 2,050 79% 62k $491k (exactly $491,385) Phorust Studios
Wretch: Divine Ascent $14.99 975 75% 29k $438k (exactly $438,458) Ogopogo
Loot of Baal $8.99 1,372 62% 41k $370k (exactly $370,028) Gleamer Studio
This Ain’t Even Poker, Ya Joker $5.99 1,781 86% 53k $320k (exactly $320,046) Mash
Inn Tycoon $11.99 727 76% 22k $262k (exactly $261,502) Evil Goose Games
Bones and Coins $7.99 638 72% 19k $153k (exactly $152,929) Troyd Games
Loot Tycoon · EA $6.99 544 71% 16k $114k (exactly $114,077) Parallel Portal

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.