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Should I ship a Martial-Arts Idler?
Idler + Martial Arts
Only 16 developers shipped a Martial-Arts Idler in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, xiuzhen idle, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 14 more are announced.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $9.8k, ×16 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $2.6k; 1 in 20 cleared $410k, ×662 the market median. Revenue is down 75% on the market; 14 games are announced against 10 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $2.5k (exactly $2,507) |
|---|---|
| Median | $9.8k (exactly $9,815) |
| Top 25% | $48k (exactly $48,252) |
| Top 5% | $416k (exactly $415,646) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 16 |
| Released games | 35 |
| Announced | 14 |
| Effort | 6 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $4.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 75% on the market, supply 65% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 14%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Idler
- effort 1 / 10 · high · number growth curves and a UI
- Martial Arts
- effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
What it takes
- Effort
- 6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
- Systems
- Idler
- Price point
- $4.99 typical
Why players buy here
The top 10 games average 80% positive over 4,404 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $2.6k. 5 in 10 of the 6 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 14 games are announced against 10 developers who shipped in the last year.
Adjacent niches
Idler with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + FMVStrong odds
- + FarmingStrong odds
- + Hack and SlashFair
- + DrivingFair
- + LootFair
- + FPSFair
- + Turn-Based CombatFair
- + Turn-Based StrategyFair
- + Dynamic NarrationFair
- + Dark FantasyFair
- + CapitalismFair
- + SwordplayFair
Comparable games
| Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | xiuzhen idle | $5.99 | 2,313 79% | 69k | $416k (exactly $415,646) | 游戏养家工作室 | |
| | 欺神弄鬼 | · EA | $9.99 | 802 91% | 24k | $240k (exactly $240,359) | 猫台班子工作室 Cat Caboodle |
| | 懒人修仙传2 | · EA older | $7.99 | 873 71% | 26k | $209k (exactly $209,258) | 托更的修罗 |
| | Desktop Raid | $8.99 | 672 76% | 20k | $181k (exactly $181,238) | Lee_Studio | |
| | XiuzhenWorld | older | $12.99 | 436 75% | 13k | $170k (exactly $169,909) | Noforgetit |
| | 大宋英雄传(SongHeros) | · EA | $9.99 | 161 79% | 4.8k | $48k (exactly $48,252) | LazyManGameStudio |
| | Reborn - Season 1: New Life | older | $9.99 | 112 80% | 3.4k | $34k (exactly $33,566) | Woundead |
| | Fighting Robots | older | $2.99 | 228 54% | 6.8k | $20k (exactly $20,452) | HFM Games |
| | 少侠的江湖 | older | $3.99 | 164 69% | 4.9k | $20k (exactly $19,631) | ChenGame |
| | 长路江湖 - 九州群芳 | $4.99 | 127 57% | 3.8k | $19k (exactly $19,012) | SourceIn Games | |
| | Immortal IDLE | · EA | $5.99 | 78 64% | 2.3k | $14k (exactly $14,017) | 伯乐Couple |
| | Songs of Yummy | $3.99 | 98 74% | 2.9k | $12k (exactly $11,731) | DreamStep, FUTU Studio | |
| | Idle Xanxia | · EA | $3.99 | 82 81% | 2.5k | $9.8k (exactly $9,815) | Cezae |
| | 鸿运修仙传 | $5.99 | 34 76% | 1.0k | $6.1k (exactly $6,110) | 玉米工作室 | |
| | 武道残编 | $3.99 | 37 59% | 1.1k | $4.4k (exactly $4,429) | 武道 |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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