Do I ship it?

GamesIdlerIdler + Interactive Fiction

Specimen · observed

Should I ship an Idler Interactive Fiction?

Idler + Interactive Fiction

Of 44 developers who shipped an Idler Interactive Fiction in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 63 more are announced, ×2.1 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 1 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.7k, ×14 the market's $120 for a 1 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $480; 1 in 20 cleared $68k, ×574 the market median. Revenue is up 80% on the market; 63 games are announced against 30 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 14.1 times the market baseline, revenue up 80% on the market, 63 announced, ×2.1 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Idler + Interactive Fiction
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 44
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $28k → $1.4k → $1.3k → $802 → $5.4k → $1.6k → $1.9k (still earning) → $479 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Idler + Interactive Fiction: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 44
Bottom 30% $479 (exactly $479)
Median $1.7k (exactly $1,678)
Top 25% $5.9k (exactly $5,940)
Top 5% $68k (exactly $68,354)
Developers, 2 yr 44
Released games 144
Announced 63
Effort 1 / 10
AI-buildability High
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 80% on the market, supply 115% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 20%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.

Idler
effort 1 / 10 · high · number growth curves and a UI
Interactive Fiction
effort 1 / 10 · high · prose plus a state machine

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
1 / 10 · text and UI only
Systems
Idler, Interactive Fiction; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Adventure, Incremental, Visual Novel
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $12.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Relaxing, 2D, Cute
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $12.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 87% positive over 3,072 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $480, median $1.7k, 1 in 4 over $5.9k, 1 in 20 over $68k.

3 in 10 developers made under $480. 9 in 10 of the 19 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 63 games are announced against 30 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.1 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Idler with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + FMVStrong odds10 devs · median $36k · 10 announced
  2. + FarmingStrong odds33 devs · median $5.9k · 25 announced
  3. + Hack and SlashFair32 devs · median $6.4k · 50 announced
  4. + DrivingFair16 devs · median $5.5k · 18 announced
  5. + LootFair181 devs · median $4.5k · 256 announced
  6. + FPSFair22 devs · median $4.2k · 23 announced
  7. + Turn-Based CombatFair52 devs · median $4.0k · 41 announced
  8. + Turn-Based StrategyFair50 devs · median $3.6k · 45 announced
  9. + Dynamic NarrationFair16 devs · median $3.0k · 17 announced
  10. + Dark FantasyFair83 devs · median $2.9k · 128 announced
  11. + CapitalismFair205 devs · median $2.9k · 260 announced
  12. + SwordplayFair9 devs · median $2.7k · 4 announced

All 177 pairs on the Idler page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Retirement Simulator · EA older $13.99 3,757 34% 113k $1.6M (exactly $1,576,813) DoubleThink Studio
Vanity Fair: The Pursuit older $6.99 4,014 87% 120k $842k (exactly $841,736) 木焱工作室
Asbury Pines · EA $12.99 558 90% 17k $217k (exactly $217,453) Chaystar Unlimited LLC
My MILF Stepmom💋 older $6.99 644 61% 19k $135k (exactly $135,047) DuaWolf
美女,应接不暇 older $9.99 428 83% 13k $128k (exactly $128,272) 筠悦游戏
A guard walks into a tavern older $7.99 415 83% 12k $99k (exactly $99,476) SuQing
Memory of Memorie : A Chill Story $11.99 245 98% 7.4k $88k (exactly $88,126) BeXide Inc.
1997 older $9.99 231 92% 6.9k $69k (exactly $69,231) Hit'n'Run Digital Studio, RUZURA Intera… (Hit'n'Run Digital Studio, RUZURA Interactive)
Big Tiddy Goth Baddie🖤⛓️ $14.99 152 76% 4.6k $68k (exactly $68,354) BanzaiProject
Dragon Island older $15.99 113 49% 3.4k $54k (exactly $54,206) Kulplant
UncleOffice:uncle Dating Simulator $15.99 92 61% 2.8k $44k (exactly $44,132) GameUncle
Pornographer $0.99 1,214 88% 36k $36k (exactly $36,056) DT
The Count of Monte Clicker $2.99 277 86% 8.3k $25k (exactly $24,847) Adam Travers
Legends of Savvarah: Children of the Sun $7.99 75 92% 2.3k $18k (exactly $17,978) ST Sinovar
Human Fast Food $6.99 79 89% 2.4k $17k (exactly $16,566) Bricchi Games
TEST RELEASE DO NOT BUY !!! $1.99 132 93% 4.0k $7.9k (exactly $7,880) Bad Ideas Productions
Your Stepmom $0.99 248 73% 7.4k $7.4k (exactly $7,366) smsmsm

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.