Games › Sandbox › Sandbox + Horses
Should I ship a Horse Sandbox?
Sandbox + Horses
Only 16 developers shipped a Horse Sandbox in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Horsey Game, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 31 more are announced, ×4.4 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $70k, ×111 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $1.6k; 1 in 20 cleared $870k, ×1389 the market median. Revenue is down 55% on the market; 31 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $1.5k (exactly $1,525) |
|---|---|
| Median | $70k (exactly $69,704) |
| Top 25% | $254k (exactly $254,273) |
| Top 5% | $872k (exactly $872,427) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 16 |
| Released games | 54 |
| Announced | 31 |
| Effort | 6 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $9.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 55% on the market, supply 20% fewer developers than the period before.
Free games: 7%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
What it takes
- Effort
- 6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
- Systems
- Sandbox
- Price point
- $9.99 typical
Why players buy here
The top 10 games average 86% positive over 5,768 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $1.6k. 4 in 10 of the 9 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 31 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.4 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Sandbox with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + FightingStrong odds
- + Turn-BasedFair
- + World War IIFair
- + MinigamesFair
- + ProgrammingFair
- + CatsFair
- + SportsFair
- + GamblingFair
- + Auto BattlerFair
- + Combat RacingFair
- + Trading Card GameFair
- + IdlerFair
Comparable games
Red Dead Redemption 2 2019 · $1.5B 
Mount & Blade II: Bannerlord 2022 · $346M 
Mount & Blade: Warband 2010 · $81M 
METAL GEAR SOLID V: THE PHANTOM PAIN 2015 · $44M 
Farming Simulator 22 2021 · $42M | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Red Dead Redemption 2 | older | $59.99 | 846,270 92% | 25M | $1.5B (exactly $1,523,032,119) | Rockstar Games |
| | Mount & Blade II: Bannerlord | older | $49.99 | 230,490 87% | 6.9M | $346M (exactly $345,665,853) | TaleWorlds Entertainment |
| | Mount & Blade: Warband | older | $19.99 | 135,425 97% | 4.1M | $81M (exactly $81,214,372) | TaleWorlds Entertainment |
| | METAL GEAR SOLID V: THE PHANTOM PAIN | older | $19.99 | 73,137 91% | 2.2M | $44M (exactly $43,860,259) | KONAMI |
| | Farming Simulator 22 | older | $19.99 | 69,477 93% | 2.1M | $42M (exactly $41,665,357) | GIANTS Software |
 | Ranch Simulator: Build, Hunt, Farm | older | $24.99 | 40,862 79% | 1.2M | $31M (exactly $30,634,241) | Toxic Dog |
 | Farm Together | older | $19.99 | 17,647 93% | 529k | $11M (exactly $10,582,906) | Milkstone Studios |
 | Mount & Blade: With Fire & Sword | older | $9.99 | 11,213 87% | 336k | $3.4M (exactly $3,360,536) | TaleWorlds Entertainment |
 | DEEEER Simulator: Your Average Everyday Deer Game | older | $14.99 | 4,443 92% | 133k | $2.0M (exactly $1,998,017) | Gibier Games |
 | GUN™ | older | $19.99 | 2,102 91% | 63k | $1.3M (exactly $1,260,569) | Neversoft |
 | Horsey Game | $9.99 | 2,911 97% | 87k | $872k (exactly $872,427) | Captain Games | |
 | Saloon Simulator | · EA | $18.99 | 860 89% | 26k | $490k (exactly $489,942) | Glivi Games S.A. |
 | Viking Frontiers | $19.99 | 537 51% | 16k | $322k (exactly $322,039) | BLUM Entertainment | |
 | Wild Indigo Ranch | $19.99 | 424 68% | 13k | $254k (exactly $254,273) | Funday Games | |
 | Horse Racing Manager | · EA | $24.99 | 208 88% | 6.2k | $156k (exactly $155,938) | Sheep Meadow Road Games |
 | A Merchant's Promise | · EA | $14.99 | 300 86% | 9.0k | $135k (exactly $134,910) | Game Draft Studio |
 | Lyndaria: Lust Adventure | $14.99 | 229 76% | 6.9k | $103k (exactly $102,981) | Lustration Team | |
 | Ancient Farm | $14.99 | 155 55% | 4.7k | $70k (exactly $69,704) | A2 Softworks | |
 | Horse Riding Classic | $7.99 | 105 98% | 3.2k | $25k (exactly $25,168) | Juice Cube | |
 | Animal Simulator | $8.99 | 39 30% | 1.2k | $11k (exactly $10,518) | Imperian Online - Core |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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