Games › Open World Survival Craft › Open World Survival Craft + Horror
Should I ship a Horror Open World Survival Craft?
Open World Survival Craft + Horror
Only 18 developers shipped a Horror Open World Survival Craft in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Grounded 2, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 44 more are announced, ×4.0 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 9 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $14k, ×10 the market's $1.3k for a 9 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $4.1k; 1 in 20 cleared $19M, ×14322 the market median. Revenue is up 50% on the market; 44 games are announced against 11 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $4.0k (exactly $4,047) |
|---|---|
| Median | $14k (exactly $13,840) |
| Top 25% | $139k (exactly $138,703) |
| Top 5% | $19M (exactly $19,291,367) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 18 |
| Released games | 76 |
| Announced | 44 |
| Effort | 9 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Low |
| Typical price | $14.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 50% on the market, supply 55% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 5%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Open World Survival Craft
- effort 9 / 10 · low · dedicated multiplayer servers over a huge content build
- Horror
- effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
What it takes
- Effort
- 9 / 10 · studio only
- Systems
- Open World Survival Craft; all of the top 25% also carry Crafting, Open World, Survival
- Price point
- $14.99 typical · top 25% priced $29.99 or above
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $29.99 or above; the middle game at $14.99.
The top 10 games average 81% positive over 53,502 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $4.1k. 7 in 10 of the 7 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 44 games are announced against 11 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.0 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Open World Survival Craft with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + AutomationFair
- + Co-opPoor odds
- + Online Co-OpPoor odds
- + Immersive SimPoor odds
- + PhysicsPoor odds
- + Colony SimPoor odds
- + MedievalPoor odds
- + ShooterPoor odds
- + PvPPoor odds
- + Sci-fiPoor odds
- + Character CustomizationPoor odds
- + RPGPoor odds
Comparable games
7 Days to Die 2024 · $369M 
The Forest 2018 · $349M 
Subnautica 2018 · $307M 
Dying Light 2015 · $280M 
Don't Starve Together 2016 · $169M | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | 7 Days to Die | older | $44.99 | 273,589 87% | 8.2M | $369M (exactly $369,263,073) | The Fun Pimps |
| | The Forest | older | $19.99 | 581,431 95% | 17M | $349M (exactly $348,684,171) | Endnight Games Ltd |
| | Subnautica | older | $29.99 | 341,390 97% | 10M | $307M (exactly $307,148,583) | Unknown Worlds Entertainment |
| | Dying Light | older | $24.99 | 373,413 95% | 11M | $280M (exactly $279,947,726) | Techland |
| | Don't Starve Together | older | $14.99 | 376,165 94% | 11M | $169M (exactly $169,161,400) | Klei Entertainment |
 | Days Gone | older | $39.99 | 82,655 92% | 2.5M | $99M (exactly $99,161,204) | Bend Studio |
 | Grounded | older | $39.99 | 75,755 90% | 2.3M | $91M (exactly $90,883,274) | Obsidian Entertainment |
 | Subnautica: Below Zero | older | $29.99 | 99,384 90% | 3.0M | $89M (exactly $89,415,785) | Unknown Worlds Entertainment |
 | The Long Dark | older | $19.99 | 110,264 89% | 3.3M | $66M (exactly $66,125,321) | Hinterland Studio Inc. |
 | Don't Starve | older | $9.99 | 97,007 96% | 2.9M | $29M (exactly $29,072,998) | Klei Entertainment |
 | Grounded 2 | · EA | $29.99 | 21,442 82% | 643k | $19M (exactly $19,291,367) | Obsidian Entertainment, Eidos-Montréal |
 | MISERY | $12.99 | 20,015 85% | 600k | $7.8M (exactly $7,799,846) | Platypus Entertainment | |
 | HumanitZ | $19.99 | 11,155 74% | 335k | $6.7M (exactly $6,689,653) | Yodubzz Studios | |
 | Captain Bones : A Pirate's Journey | $14.99 | 348 79% | 10k | $156k (exactly $156,496) | World of Poly | |
 | Project: Mist | · EA | $17.99 | 257 72% | 7.7k | $139k (exactly $138,703) | Chicken Launcher |
 | Sailing alone:Aftermath | · EA | $18.99 | 67 68% | 2.0k | $38k (exactly $38,170) | MLStudio |
 | Horizon Journey | · EA | $12.99 | 81 22% | 2.4k | $32k (exactly $31,566) | Redivided Studios, REIN |
 | Hiraeth | · EA | $19.99 | 25 64% | 750 | $15k (exactly $14,992) | Jade Horse |
 | Stoneguard | · EA | $6.99 | 66 75% | 2.0k | $14k (exactly $13,840) | Thorn Spire Games |
 | Gombo | · EA | $8.99 | 46 71% | 1.4k | $12k (exactly $12,406) | Martin Cochet |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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