Do I ship it?

GamesSandboxSandbox + Hidden Object

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Hidden Object Sandbox?

Sandbox + Hidden Object

Of 99 developers who shipped a Hidden Object Sandbox in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 127 more are announced, ×2.3 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $900, ×1.4 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $200; 1 in 20 cleared $210k, ×349 the market median. Revenue is up 140% on the market; 127 games are announced against 56 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.4 times the market baseline, revenue up 140% on the market, 127 announced, ×2.3 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Sandbox + Hidden Object
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 99
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $598 → $599 → $3.7k → $1.3k → $896 → $449 → $1.2k (still earning) → $959 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Sandbox + Hidden Object: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 99
Bottom 30% $191 (exactly $191)
Median $896 (exactly $896)
Top 25% $4.4k (exactly $4,404)
Top 5% $219k (exactly $219,454)
Developers, 2 yr 99
Released games 253
Announced 127
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 140% on the market, supply 20% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 13%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Sandbox
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Hidden Object
effort 2 / 10 · high · static scenes with click targets

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Sandbox, Hidden Object; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Simulation, Exploration, Adventure
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Relaxing, 3D, First-Person
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 83% positive over 9,194 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $200, median $900, 1 in 4 over $4.4k, 1 in 20 over $210k.

3 in 10 developers made under $200. 8 in 10 of the 60 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 127 games are announced against 56 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.3 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Sandbox with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + FightingStrong odds11 devs · median $76k · 8 announced
  2. + Turn-BasedFair20 devs · median $224k · 19 announced
  3. + World War IIFair14 devs · median $146k · 13 announced
  4. + MinigamesFair9 devs · median $17k · 12 announced
  5. + ProgrammingFair60 devs · median $7.0k · 71 announced
  6. + CatsFair63 devs · median $4.8k · 74 announced
  7. + SportsFair83 devs · median $4.2k · 103 announced
  8. + GamblingFair25 devs · median $2.5k · 31 announced
  9. + Auto BattlerFair45 devs · median $1.9k · 42 announced
  10. + Combat RacingFair21 devs · median $1.8k · 26 announced
  11. + Trading Card GameFair17 devs · median $1.8k · 17 announced
  12. + IdlerFair258 devs · median $1.2k · 306 announced

All 233 pairs on the Sandbox page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Approximately Up $24.99 995 93% 30k $746k (exactly $745,952) Approximately Games
Ship, Inc. $9.99 2,168 83% 65k $650k (exactly $649,750) Rogue Duck Interactive
PANELKI older $7.99 2,404 86% 72k $576k (exactly $576,239) Alexander Gromyko
The Witch of Fern Island older $24.99 700 69% 21k $525k (exactly $524,790) Enjoy Studio S.A.
My Wife Threw Out My Card Collection (So I Bought a Dump to Find Them All) ⭐ $7.95 1,601 65% 48k $382k (exactly $381,838) Polnoch
Center Station Simulator · EA older $19.99 554 87% 17k $332k (exactly $332,234) Nightmare Phoenix
Disassembly 3D older $29.99 309 81% 9.3k $278k (exactly $278,007) Khor Chin Heong
Sort Them Ducks $5.99 1,461 92% 44k $263k (exactly $262,542) Mr.Duck
LIFE EFFECT Survival · EA $14.99 488 85% 15k $219k (exactly $219,454) LIFE EFFECT
Cockroach Simulator older $2.99 2,364 79% 71k $212k (exactly $212,051) HFM Games
Take me, Vitaly $5.99 1,136 98% 34k $204k (exactly $204,139) Старый Билд
GlitchSPANKR $19.99 275 96% 8.3k $165k (exactly $164,918) Mahelyk, TheClassifiedX
Cozy Organizer $7.99 649 67% 19k $156k (exactly $155,565) Rogue Duck Interactive
Forest Doesn’t Care $13.99 251 65% 7.5k $105k (exactly $105,345) MOROZ GAMES
Real Feel $19.99 170 64% 5.1k $102k (exactly $101,949) Entropy Digital Entertainment

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.