Do I ship it?

GamesMystery DungeonMystery Dungeon + Hidden Object

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Hidden Object Mystery Dungeon?

Mystery Dungeon + Hidden Object

Of 59 developers who shipped a Hidden Object Mystery Dungeon in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 73 more are announced, ×2.5 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 3 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $360 in the last 2 years and $360 over 4, against a market of $480 for a 3 / 10 build. 29 developers shipped in the last year and 73 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.7 times the market baseline, revenue up 115% on the market, 73 announced, ×2.5 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Mystery Dungeon + Hidden Object
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 59
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $2.7k → $359 → $449 → $359 → $60 → $1.5k → $628 (still earning) → $0 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Mystery Dungeon + Hidden Object: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 59
Bottom 30% $0 (exactly $0)
Median $356 (exactly $356)
Top 25% $1.5k (exactly $1,498)
Top 5% $7.8k (exactly $7,780)
Developers, 2 yr 59
Released games 170
Announced 73
Effort 3 / 10
AI-buildability High
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 115% on the market, supply as many developers as the period before.

Free games: 11%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.

Mystery Dungeon
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
Hidden Object
effort 2 / 10 · high · static scenes with click targets

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
3 / 10 · small 2D action, light systems
Systems
Mystery Dungeon, Hidden Object; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Adventure, Action-Adventure, Exploration
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $9.99 or above
Art
3 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Anime, Atmospheric
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $9.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 91% positive over 1,540 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $50, median $360, 1 in 4 over $1.4k, 1 in 20 over $7.7k.

3 in 10 developers made under $50. All of the 35 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 73 games are announced against 29 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.5 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Mystery Dungeon with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + JRPGStrong odds43 devs · median $21k · 23 announced
  2. + TacticalStrong odds20 devs · median $2.5k · 15 announced
  3. + Auto BattlerFair17 devs · median $13k · 16 announced
  4. + RomanceFair12 devs · median $5.8k · 10 announced
  5. + Perma DeathFair27 devs · median $2.7k · 29 announced
  6. + Tactical RPGFair30 devs · median $2.4k · 24 announced
  7. + Walking SimulatorFair34 devs · median $1.6k · 35 announced
  8. + SimulationFair57 devs · median $1.3k · 67 announced
  9. + Bullet HellFair14 devs · median $1.0k · 18 announced
  10. + Time ManagementFair11 devs · median $898 · 8 announced
  11. + HistoricalFair7 devs · median $719 · 10 announced
  12. + PhysicsFair22 devs · median $539 · 20 announced

All 116 pairs on the Mystery Dungeon page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Stonemachia $19.99 1,244 95% 37k $746k (exactly $746,027) Crossfall Games
Dungeon Digger older $39.99 98 81% 2.9k $118k (exactly $117,571) Galactic Geckon
Dracula: Love Kills older $9.99 298 80% 8.9k $89k (exactly $89,311) Waterlily Games
ScrewUp older $9.99 259 68% 7.8k $78k (exactly $77,622) 199 Cents STUDIO
[Chilla's Art] The Caregiver | 終焉介護 older $4.99 431 80% 13k $65k (exactly $64,521) Chilla's Art
Happy Souls older $39.99 37 75% 1.1k $44k (exactly $44,389) Galactic Geckon
To The Light older $8.99 118 42% 3.5k $32k (exactly $31,825) ZOV GAME STUDIO
Rooms of Realities older $17.99 53 94% 1.6k $29k (exactly $28,604) Bluekey
恶魔迷宫 2 |Evil Maze 2 | 惡魔迷宮 2 older $9.99 85 60% 2.6k $25k (exactly $25,474) ZOV GAME STUDIO
Cave Quest older $9.99 84 94% 2.5k $25k (exactly $25,175) MD Studio
DungeonCrawlers $8.99 77 68% 2.3k $21k (exactly $20,767) KusanohitoCreative
Slendrina Remake $3.99 65 63% 2.0k $7.8k (exactly $7,780) GearMech
Twilight Moonflower $6.99 26 80% 780 $5.5k (exactly $5,452) ConnectedShadowGames
La Llorona Wants Your Soul $9.99 18 50% 540 $5.4k (exactly $5,395) Focka Games
The Legend of Shiande $2.99 46 100% 1.4k $4.1k (exactly $4,126) Thales Caus
Parnitha: Patient 66 $5.99 22 81% 660 $4.0k (exactly $3,953) Nick Jordan Games
UnPlugged $5.99 20 75% 600 $3.6k (exactly $3,594) DemonLabs Interactive
Goddess Scroll - The Last Starlight $9.99 11 27% 330 $3.3k (exactly $3,297) Revenge Red Eyes
Drag'N Dungeon $9.99 11 90% 330 $3.3k (exactly $3,297) Demon Girl

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.