Should I ship a Heist PvP game?
PvP + Heist
Only 12 developers shipped a paid Heist PvP game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, The Greatest Penguin Heist of All Time, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 4 in 10 of the games here are free to play and sit outside these figures. 47 more are announced, ×6.7 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 8 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $750, ×0.5 the market's $1.5k for a 8 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $50. 47 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year, ×6.7 per shipper, while revenue is down 100% on the market.
not enough cohorts to draw
| Bottom 30% | $0 (exactly $0) |
|---|---|
| Median | $748 (exactly $748) |
| Top 25% | $166k (exactly $165,568) |
| Top 5% | $1.1M (exactly $1,061,742) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 12 |
| Released games | 57 |
| Announced | 47 |
| Effort | 8 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Low |
| Typical price | $6.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply 40% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 42%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.
What it takes
- Effort
- 8 / 10 · online systems, open world
- Systems
- PvP
- Price point
- $6.99 typical
Why players buy here
The top 7 games average 83% positive over 4,136 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $50. 7 in 10 of the 9 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 47 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year, ×6.7 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
PvP with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + BaseballFair
- + TransportationFair
- + BasketballFair
- + Football (American)Fair
- + BikesFair
- + GolfFair
- + World War IFair
- + IncrementalFair
- + BilliardsFair
- + TennisLong shot
- + TypingLong shot
- + SpellingLong shot
Comparable games
Deceive Inc. 2023 · $2.9M 
SUPER DRAGON BALL HEROES WORLD MISSION 2019 · $2.5M 
Rubber Bandits 2021 · $1.7M 
Perfect Heist 2 2021 · $1.1M 
The Greatest Penguin Heist of All Time 2026 · $1.1M | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Deceive Inc. | older | $19.99 | 4,755 84% | 143k | $2.9M (exactly $2,851,574) | Sweet Bandits Studios |
| | SUPER DRAGON BALL HEROES WORLD MISSION | older | $59.99 | 1,404 82% | 42k | $2.5M (exactly $2,526,779) | Dimps Corporation, SAFARI GAMES Co., Lt… (Dimps Corporation, SAFARI GAMES Co., Ltd.) |
| | Rubber Bandits | older | $9.99 | 5,628 84% | 169k | $1.7M (exactly $1,686,712) | Flashbulb |
| | Perfect Heist 2 | older | $9.99 | 3,711 94% | 111k | $1.1M (exactly $1,112,187) | yeswecamp |
| | The Greatest Penguin Heist of All Time | $14.99 | 2,361 90% | 71k | $1.1M (exactly $1,061,742) | That Fish, That Other Fish | |
 | Clank! | $22.99 | 542 92% | 16k | $374k (exactly $373,817) | Dire Wolf | |
 | Anarchy: Wolf's law | older | $9.99 | 768 76% | 23k | $230k (exactly $230,170) | Anarchy Games |
 | Just Another Night Shift | older | $6.99 | 952 91% | 29k | $200k (exactly $199,634) | JANS Dev Team, FinnGames |
 | Thick As Thieves | $4.99 | 1,106 65% | 33k | $166k (exactly $165,568) | OtherSide Entertainment | |
 | GangV | VR & PC Battle Royale | · EA older | $14.99 | 337 60% | 10k | $152k (exactly $151,549) | raptor lab |
 | OPG: Clan Wars | $9.99 | 101 74% | 3.0k | $30k (exactly $30,270) | Anarchy Games, Street's Game | |
 | Roulette Heist | $6.99 | 18 94% | 540 | $3.8k (exactly $3,775) | DreamArk Lab | |
 | Security Control | · EA | $4.99 | 5 60% | 150 | $748 (exactly $748) | Greavette Games |
 | SpyGuys | $2.99 | 3 66% | 90 | $269 (exactly $269) | Olly | |
 | The Key | $3.99 | 0 0% | 0 | $0 (exactly $0) | Hetosoft Sistemas | |
 | Trash Can Tactics | · EA | $7.99 | 0 0% | 0 | $0 (exactly $0) | Cinderforge Studios |
 | Survivors 27 | $4.99 | 0 0% | 0 | $0 (exactly $0) | Studio 27 |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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