Do I ship it?

GamesGun CustomizationGun Customization + Vehicular Combat

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Gun Customization Vehicular Combat game?

Gun Customization + Vehicular Combat

Only 18 developers shipped a Gun Customization Vehicular Combat game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Forefront, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 74 more are announced, ×4.4 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $750, ×1.2 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $240; 1 in 20 cleared $1.6M, ×2558 the market median. Momentum is unreadable here, too few recent games; 74 games are announced against 17 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.2 times the market baseline, revenue too few recent games to read momentum, 74 announced, ×4.4 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Gun Customization + Vehicular Combat
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 18
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $30 → $7.6k → $450 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Gun Customization + Vehicular Combat: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 18
Bottom 30% $239 (exactly $239)
Median $748 (exactly $748)
Top 25% $4.1k (exactly $4,133)
Top 5% $1.6M (exactly $1,606,346)
Developers, 2 yr 18
Released games 56
Announced 74
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $5.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply 750% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 21%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Gun Customization
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Vehicular Combat
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Gun Customization, Vehicular Combat; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Combat, Shooter
Price point
$5.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Realistic, 2D, 3D
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $5.99.

The top 10 games average 83% positive over 2,116 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $240, median $750, 1 in 4 over $4.1k, 1 in 20 over $1.6M.

3 in 10 developers made under $240. 74 games are announced against 17 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.4 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Gun Customization with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Tower DefenseFair26 devs · median $958 · 32 announced
  2. + DystopianPoor odds16 devs · median $51k · 58 announced
  3. + Immersive SimPoor odds12 devs · median $25k · 44 announced
  4. + BuildingPoor odds13 devs · median $16k · 39 announced
  5. + Survival HorrorPoor odds26 devs · median $14k · 55 announced
  6. + ModernPoor odds18 devs · median $14k · 38 announced
  7. + MilitaryPoor odds50 devs · median $13k · 126 announced
  8. + StealthPoor odds20 devs · median $13k · 63 announced
  9. + Co-opPoor odds31 devs · median $11k · 92 announced
  10. + MechsPoor odds12 devs · median $11k · 32 announced
  11. + Resource ManagementPoor odds28 devs · median $11k · 71 announced
  12. + Base BuildingPoor odds23 devs · median $9.1k · 64 announced

All 93 pairs on the Gun Customization page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
From the Depths older $24.99 11,059 89% 332k $8.3M (exactly $8,290,932) Brilliant Skies Ltd.
Sprocket · EA older $19.99 12,336 92% 370k $7.4M (exactly $7,397,899) Hamish Dunn
SAND LAND older $59.99 1,018 86% 31k $1.8M (exactly $1,832,095) ILCA, Inc.
Forefront $27.99 1,913 84% 57k $1.6M (exactly $1,606,346) Triangle Factory
Vox Machinae older $29.99 1,177 87% 35k $1.1M (exactly $1,058,947) Space Bullet Dynamics Corporation
Aggressor · EA older $19.99 172 61% 5.2k $103k (exactly $103,148) Flashpoint Studios
In The Black · EA $19.99 84 72% 2.5k $50k (exactly $50,375) Impeller Studios
Relic Odyssey : Ruins Of Xantao · EA older $14.99 88 97% 2.6k $40k (exactly $39,574) Honour Bound Game Studios Inc.
Hell Road VR older $19.99 60 85% 1.8k $36k (exactly $35,982) Travolab Replay
Beyond Enemy Lines - Vietnam · EA $14.99 42 66% 1.3k $19k (exactly $18,887) Polygon Art
Vehicle No. 4 $6.99 23 86% 690 $4.8k (exactly $4,823) indiejoh
Gears of Glory $5.99 23 100% 690 $4.1k (exactly $4,133) Broken Tooth Studios
Assault Commander Rearmed $11.99 5 80% 150 $1.8k (exactly $1,798) VTDev Informatikai Kft.
DRFT $2.99 14 100% 420 $1.3k (exactly $1,256) Big Bang Studio
Robot Fury: Mech Combat Simulator · EA $12.99 3 0% 90 $1.2k (exactly $1,169) Hard Shark Games
Arena Breakers · EA $4.99 5 100% 150 $748 (exactly $748) RongeGames
Mk50TWL Vehicle Battler Custom Slider · EA $4.99 4 100% 120 $599 (exactly $599) TimberWoodLumber Games

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.