Do I ship it?

GamesGun CustomizationGun Customization + Building

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Gun Customization Building game?

Gun Customization + Building

Only 13 developers shipped a Gun Customization Building game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Ultimate Zombie Defense 2, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 39 more are announced, ×6.5 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $16k, ×26 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $1.1k; 1 in 20 cleared $170k, ×281 the market median. Revenue is down 90% on the market; 39 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 25.8 times the market baseline, revenue down 90% on the market, 39 announced, ×6.5 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Gun Customization + Building
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 13
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $63k → $5.7k → $31k → $16k → $1.5k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Gun Customization + Building: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 13
Bottom 30% $1.1k (exactly $1,078)
Median $16k (exactly $16,184)
Top 25% $51k (exactly $51,249)
Top 5% $177k (exactly $176,523)
Developers, 2 yr 13
Released games 49
Announced 39
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 90% on the market, supply 15% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 14%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Gun Customization
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Building
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Gun Customization, Building
Price point
$9.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 10 games average 71% positive over 1,213 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $1.1k, median $16k, 1 in 4 over $51k, 1 in 20 over $170k.

3 in 10 developers made under $1.1k. 6 in 10 of the 8 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 39 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year, ×6.5 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Gun Customization with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Tower DefenseFair26 devs · median $958 · 32 announced
  2. + DystopianPoor odds16 devs · median $51k · 58 announced
  3. + Immersive SimPoor odds12 devs · median $25k · 44 announced
  4. + Survival HorrorPoor odds26 devs · median $14k · 55 announced
  5. + ModernPoor odds18 devs · median $14k · 38 announced
  6. + MilitaryPoor odds50 devs · median $13k · 126 announced
  7. + StealthPoor odds20 devs · median $13k · 63 announced
  8. + Co-opPoor odds31 devs · median $11k · 92 announced
  9. + MechsPoor odds12 devs · median $11k · 32 announced
  10. + Resource ManagementPoor odds28 devs · median $11k · 71 announced
  11. + Base BuildingPoor odds23 devs · median $9.1k · 64 announced
  12. + Post-apocalypticPoor odds54 devs · median $8.1k · 162 announced

All 93 pairs on the Gun Customization page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Brick Rigs older $19.99 53,749 95% 1.6M $32M (exactly $32,233,275) Fluppisoft GmbH
From the Depths older $24.99 11,059 89% 332k $8.3M (exactly $8,290,932) Brilliant Skies Ltd.
Sprocket · EA older $19.99 12,336 92% 370k $7.4M (exactly $7,397,899) Hamish Dunn
NavalArt · EA older $19.99 2,362 90% 71k $1.4M (exactly $1,416,491) Rigidbody
That Time I Got Reincarnated as a Slime ISEKAI Chronicles older $49.99 294 52% 8.8k $441k (exactly $440,912) ZOC Co.,Ltd.
Rise of Gun older $12.99 1,094 84% 33k $426k (exactly $426,332) PimpGameStudio
Ultimate Zombie Defense 2 $9.99 589 76% 18k $177k (exactly $176,523) Terror Dog Studio
Weapons Genius older $5.99 475 53% 14k $85k (exactly $85,358) JDM4iK, Droid Riot
Gun Factory Simulator · EA $14.99 162 62% 4.9k $73k (exactly $72,851) Broken Clock
5089: The Action RPG older $7.99 299 82% 9.0k $72k (exactly $71,670) Phr00t's Software
Territory Control 2 · EA $19.99 92 77% 2.8k $55k (exactly $55,172) TFlippy, Knorrepot
Decision Legacy Collection $9.99 171 83% 5.1k $51k (exactly $51,249) FlyAnvil
Crazy Islands $13.99 73 68% 2.2k $31k (exactly $30,638) Ge-Aivan
Blacksmith Simulator $15.99 49 32% 1.5k $24k (exactly $23,505) Potato Games
Gun Center Simulator $9.99 54 33% 1.6k $16k (exactly $16,184) Digital Melody
Turbotz Testing 20XX $4.99 10 100% 300 $1.5k (exactly $1,497) Zed-ex
Ashes of Ambition $6.99 7 28% 210 $1.5k (exactly $1,468) HiddenGem Studio
Palland: Creature Tamer World $5.99 6 83% 180 $1.1k (exactly $1,078) BoggySoft

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.