Do I ship it?

GamesGun CustomizationGun Customization + Mechs

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Mech Gun Customization game?

Gun Customization + Mechs

Only 12 developers shipped a Mech Gun Customization game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, The Forever Winter, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 32 more are announced, ×6.4 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $11k, ×18 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $1.7k; 1 in 20 cleared $19M, ×30624 the market median. Revenue is down 25% on the market; 32 games are announced against 5 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 18.0 times the market baseline, revenue down 25% on the market, 32 announced, ×6.4 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Gun Customization + Mechs
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 12
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $106k → $3.3k → $84k → $1.6k → $16k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Gun Customization + Mechs: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 12
Bottom 30% $1.6k (exactly $1,647)
Median $11k (exactly $11,301)
Top 25% $510k (exactly $509,790)
Top 5% $19M (exactly $19,231,987)
Developers, 2 yr 12
Released games 34
Announced 32
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $6.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 25% on the market, supply 40% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 6%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Gun Customization
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Mechs
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Gun Customization
Price point
$6.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 10 games average 70% positive over 27,418 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $1.7k, median $11k, 1 in 4 over $500k, 1 in 20 over $19M.

3 in 10 developers made under $1.7k. 6 in 10 of the 8 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 32 games are announced against 5 developers who shipped in the last year, ×6.4 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Gun Customization with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Tower DefenseFair26 devs · median $958 · 32 announced
  2. + DystopianPoor odds16 devs · median $51k · 58 announced
  3. + Immersive SimPoor odds12 devs · median $25k · 44 announced
  4. + BuildingPoor odds13 devs · median $16k · 39 announced
  5. + Survival HorrorPoor odds26 devs · median $14k · 55 announced
  6. + ModernPoor odds18 devs · median $14k · 38 announced
  7. + MilitaryPoor odds50 devs · median $13k · 126 announced
  8. + StealthPoor odds20 devs · median $13k · 63 announced
  9. + Co-opPoor odds31 devs · median $11k · 92 announced
  10. + Resource ManagementPoor odds28 devs · median $11k · 71 announced
  11. + Base BuildingPoor odds23 devs · median $9.1k · 64 announced
  12. + Post-apocalypticPoor odds54 devs · median $8.1k · 162 announced

All 93 pairs on the Gun Customization page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
The Forever Winter · EA $29.99 21,376 68% 641k $19M (exactly $19,231,987) Fun Dog Studios
M.A.S.S. Builder $24.99 3,729 85% 112k $2.8M (exactly $2,795,631) Vermillion Digital
SAND LAND older $59.99 1,018 86% 31k $1.8M (exactly $1,832,095) ILCA, Inc.
Vox Machinae older $29.99 1,177 87% 35k $1.1M (exactly $1,058,947) Space Bullet Dynamics Corporation
Cavalry Girls older $11.99 1,877 88% 56k $675k (exactly $675,157) 中子星游戏研究所
EMPULSE · EA $9.99 1,701 60% 51k $510k (exactly $509,790) 1047 Games
BREAK ARTS II older $14.99 662 74% 20k $298k (exactly $297,701) MercuryStudio
Dreadhunter · EA older $24.99 141 77% 4.2k $106k (exactly $105,708) Trickster Arts
Time Treker $6.99 399 65% 12k $84k (exactly $83,670) Fuse Game
Nimbus INFINITY older $14.99 112 50% 3.4k $50k (exactly $50,366) GameCrafterTeam, GameTomo Co., Ltd.
Ghosts Keep Out $3.99 130 75% 3.9k $16k (exactly $15,561) Only Fun Games
M.O.O.D.S. $12.99 29 82% 870 $11k (exactly $11,301) StickyStoneStudio
Vehicle No. 4 $6.99 23 86% 690 $4.8k (exactly $4,823) indiejoh
AIRANBLADE $8.99 17 94% 510 $4.6k (exactly $4,585) ANIMABOX
Suit Up $4.99 11 90% 330 $1.6k (exactly $1,647) Awkward Wolf Studios Limited
Robot Fury: Mech Combat Simulator · EA $12.99 3 0% 90 $1.2k (exactly $1,169) Hard Shark Games

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.