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Should I ship a Gun Customization Immersive Sim?
Immersive Sim + Gun Customization
Only 12 developers shipped a Gun Customization Immersive Sim in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Medieval Blacksmith, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 44 more are announced, ×5.5 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 8 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $25k, ×17 the market's $1.5k for a 8 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $1.2k; 1 in 20 cleared $350k, ×237 the market median. Revenue is up 95% on the market; 44 games are announced against 8 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $1.2k (exactly $1,169) |
|---|---|
| Median | $25k (exactly $25,485) |
| Top 25% | $58k (exactly $57,571) |
| Top 5% | $354k (exactly $354,423) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 12 |
| Released games | 29 |
| Announced | 44 |
| Effort | 8 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Low |
| Typical price | $14.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 95% on the market, supply 60% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 14%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Immersive Sim
- effort 8 / 10 · low · effort 8 sits in the low band
- Gun Customization
- effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
What it takes
- Effort
- 8 / 10 · online systems, open world
- Systems
- Immersive Sim, Gun Customization
- Price point
- $14.99 typical
Why players buy here
The top 10 games average 74% positive over 1,210 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $1.2k. 4 in 10 of the 7 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 44 games are announced against 8 developers who shipped in the last year, ×5.5 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Immersive Sim with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + FMVStrong odds
- + Trading Card GameStrong odds
- + MinigamesStrong odds
- + WesternStrong odds
- + BoxingStrong odds
- + Job SimulatorFair
- + Asynchronous MultiplayerFair
- + Dating SimFair
- + RomanceFair
- + LGBTQ+Fair
- + Visual NovelFair
- + Split ScreenFair
Comparable games
Intravenous 2 2024 · $2.4M 
Rise of Gun 2024 · $426k 
Hard Time III 2024 · $418k 
Medieval Blacksmith 2025 · $354k 
Z.O.N.A Project X VR 2023 · $173k | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Intravenous 2 | older | $19.99 | 4,069 95% | 122k | $2.4M (exactly $2,440,179) | Explosive Squat Games |
| | Rise of Gun | older | $12.99 | 1,094 84% | 33k | $426k (exactly $426,332) | PimpGameStudio |
| | Hard Time III | older | $14.99 | 929 85% | 28k | $418k (exactly $417,771) | MDickie |
| | Medieval Blacksmith | $19.99 | 591 79% | 18k | $354k (exactly $354,423) | OGO Play | |
| | Z.O.N.A Project X VR | older | $19.99 | 288 76% | 8.6k | $173k (exactly $172,714) | AGaming+ |
 | Gun Factory Simulator | · EA | $14.99 | 162 62% | 4.9k | $73k (exactly $72,851) | Broken Clock |
 | Libertine: King of Hearts | $19.99 | 96 85% | 2.9k | $58k (exactly $57,571) | Hasnotalent Media | |
 | In The Black | · EA | $19.99 | 84 72% | 2.5k | $50k (exactly $50,375) | Impeller Studios |
 | Hell Road VR | older | $19.99 | 60 85% | 1.8k | $36k (exactly $35,982) | Travolab Replay |
 | Runehaven | $9.99 | 119 91% | 3.6k | $36k (exactly $35,664) | Cikoria Studio | |
 | Tache Noire | $16.99 | 50 94% | 1.5k | $25k (exactly $25,485) | StitchedCliffs | |
 | Blacksmith Simulator | $15.99 | 49 32% | 1.5k | $24k (exactly $23,505) | Potato Games | |
 | Gun Center Simulator | $9.99 | 54 33% | 1.6k | $16k (exactly $16,184) | Digital Melody | |
 | Robot Fury: Mech Combat Simulator | · EA | $12.99 | 3 0% | 90 | $1.2k (exactly $1,169) | Hard Shark Games |
 | ARMORY SIMULATOR | · EA | $12.99 | 2 0% | 60 | $779 (exactly $779) | CEMA GAMES, César Baudry, Maxime Buland |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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