Games › Gun Customization › Gun Customization + Modern
Should I ship a Modern-Day Gun Customization game?
Gun Customization + Modern
Only 18 developers shipped a Modern-Day Gun Customization game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Forefront, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 38 more are announced, ×2.7 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $14k, ×22 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $780; 1 in 20 cleared $1.6M, ×2558 the market median. Revenue is up 70% on the market; 38 games are announced against 14 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $776 (exactly $776) |
|---|---|
| Median | $14k (exactly $13,941) |
| Top 25% | $58k (exactly $57,571) |
| Top 5% | $1.6M (exactly $1,606,346) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 18 |
| Released games | 52 |
| Announced | 38 |
| Effort | 6 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $14.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 70% on the market, supply 250% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 31%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Gun Customization
- effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
- Modern
- effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
What it takes
- Effort
- 6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
- Systems
- Gun Customization; all of the top 25% also carry Action, FPS, Shooter
- Price point
- $14.99 typical · top 25% priced $24.99 or above
- Art
- 6 in 10 of the top 25% ship with First-Person, Realistic, 3D
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $24.99 or above; the middle game at $14.99.
The top 10 games average 82% positive over 4,265 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $780. 7 in 10 of the 6 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 38 games are announced against 14 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.7 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Gun Customization with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + Tower DefenseFair
- + DystopianPoor odds
- + Immersive SimPoor odds
- + BuildingPoor odds
- + Survival HorrorPoor odds
- + MilitaryPoor odds
- + StealthPoor odds
- + Co-opPoor odds
- + MechsPoor odds
- + Resource ManagementPoor odds
- + Base BuildingPoor odds
- + Post-apocalypticPoor odds
Comparable games
Ready or Not 2023 · $398M 
Gray Zone Warfare 2024 · EA · $83M 
Call of Duty®: Modern Warfare® 2023 · $78M 
Sniper Ghost Warrior Contracts 2 2021 · $15M 
Forefront 2026 · $1.6M | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Ready or Not | older | $49.99 | 265,219 79% | 8.0M | $398M (exactly $397,748,934) | VOID Interactive |
| | Gray Zone Warfare | · EA older | $39.99 | 69,146 72% | 2.1M | $83M (exactly $82,954,456) | MADFINGER Games, a.s. |
| | Call of Duty®: Modern Warfare® | older | $59.99 | 43,229 79% | 1.3M | $78M (exactly $77,799,231) | Infinity Ward, Beenox, High Moon Studio… (Infinity Ward, Beenox, High Moon Studios, Raven Software) |
| | Sniper Ghost Warrior Contracts 2 | older | $39.99 | 12,781 83% | 383k | $15M (exactly $15,333,366) | CI Games |
| | Forefront | $27.99 | 1,913 84% | 57k | $1.6M (exactly $1,606,346) | Triangle Factory | |
 | Breachers™ | older | $19.99 | 1,368 83% | 41k | $820k (exactly $820,390) | Triangle Factory |
 | Dagger Directive | $19.99 | 802 83% | 24k | $481k (exactly $480,959) | Arcane Alpacas LLC | |
 | Alpha Response | · EA | $19.99 | 788 77% | 24k | $473k (exactly $472,564) | Ultimo Ratio Games |
 | Zero Caliber 2 Remastered | $24.99 | 433 79% | 13k | $325k (exactly $324,620) | XREAL Games | |
 | Libertine: King of Hearts | $19.99 | 96 85% | 2.9k | $58k (exactly $57,571) | Hasnotalent Media | |
 | BURNED HORIZONS | · EA | $44.99 | 29 34% | 870 | $39k (exactly $39,141) | BURNED HORIZONS STUDIO |
 | Typing Break | $8.99 | 96 80% | 2.9k | $26k (exactly $25,891) | Tholus | |
 | Seven Cities | · EA | $14.99 | 32 87% | 960 | $14k (exactly $14,390) | IMV Studio |
 | Star Rift Saga | $14.99 | 31 96% | 930 | $14k (exactly $13,941) | Studio Vela LLC | |
 | Shadows of Soldiers | $9.99 | 45 75% | 1.4k | $13k (exactly $13,486) | Ghost in the Wire |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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