Do I ship it?

GamesGun CustomizationGun Customization + Resource Management

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Gun Customization Resource Management game?

Gun Customization + Resource Management

Of 28 developers who shipped a Gun Customization Resource Management game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 71 more are announced, ×3.7 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $11k, ×17 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $1.2k; 1 in 20 cleared $260k, ×418 the market median. Revenue is down 65% on the market; 71 games are announced against 19 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 17.2 times the market baseline, revenue down 65% on the market, 71 announced, ×3.7 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Gun Customization + Resource Management
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 28
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $11k → $1.8k → $31k → $1.2k → $25k (still earning) → $1.9k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Gun Customization + Resource Management: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 28
Bottom 30% $1.2k (exactly $1,198)
Median $11k (exactly $10,795)
Top 25% $31k (exactly $30,638)
Top 5% $262k (exactly $262,290)
Developers, 2 yr 28
Released games 62
Announced 71
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 65% on the market, supply 110% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 13%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Gun Customization
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Resource Management
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Gun Customization, Resource Management; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Adventure, Base Building, Crafting
Price point
$9.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Dark, First-Person
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.

The top 10 games average 82% positive over 2,522 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $1.2k, median $11k, 1 in 4 over $30k, 1 in 20 over $260k.

3 in 10 developers made under $1.2k. 6 in 10 of the 12 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 71 games are announced against 19 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.7 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Gun Customization with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Tower DefenseFair26 devs · median $958 · 32 announced
  2. + DystopianPoor odds16 devs · median $51k · 58 announced
  3. + Immersive SimPoor odds12 devs · median $25k · 44 announced
  4. + BuildingPoor odds13 devs · median $16k · 39 announced
  5. + Survival HorrorPoor odds26 devs · median $14k · 55 announced
  6. + ModernPoor odds18 devs · median $14k · 38 announced
  7. + MilitaryPoor odds50 devs · median $13k · 126 announced
  8. + StealthPoor odds20 devs · median $13k · 63 announced
  9. + Co-opPoor odds31 devs · median $11k · 92 announced
  10. + MechsPoor odds12 devs · median $11k · 32 announced
  11. + Base BuildingPoor odds23 devs · median $9.1k · 64 announced
  12. + Post-apocalypticPoor odds54 devs · median $8.1k · 162 announced

All 93 pairs on the Gun Customization page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Echoes of the Living · EA $24.99 1,005 83% 30k $753k (exactly $753,448) MoonGlint Studio
Iron Blight $12.49 700 93% 21k $262k (exactly $262,290) Ronesans Interactive
Cosmic Trip older $19.99 409 87% 12k $245k (exactly $245,277) Funktronic Labs
Save Room - Organization Puzzle older $2.99 2,033 97% 61k $182k (exactly $182,360) Fractal Projects
Weapons Genius older $5.99 475 53% 14k $85k (exactly $85,358) JDM4iK, Droid Riot
Gun Factory Simulator · EA $14.99 162 62% 4.9k $73k (exactly $72,851) Broken Clock
Territory Control 2 · EA $19.99 92 77% 2.8k $55k (exactly $55,172) TFlippy, Knorrepot
Chop Chains $5.99 257 77% 7.7k $46k (exactly $46,183) Blasted Games
Trashed · EA older $9.99 129 41% 3.9k $39k (exactly $38,661) Josh Presseisen
Battle Grid older $5.99 204 80% 6.1k $37k (exactly $36,659) Barking Dogs
Cosmos point $12.99 79 79% 2.4k $31k (exactly $30,786) Anatoliy Sidorov
Crazy Islands $13.99 73 68% 2.2k $31k (exactly $30,638) Ge-Aivan
Tache Noire $16.99 50 94% 1.5k $25k (exactly $25,485) StitchedCliffs
Arksync $14.99 55 89% 1.7k $25k (exactly $24,734) Dykom Software
Blacksmith Simulator $15.99 49 32% 1.5k $24k (exactly $23,505) Potato Games

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.