Do I ship it?

GamesGun CustomizationGun Customization + Space

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Space Gun Customization game?

Gun Customization + Space

Of 39 developers who shipped a Space Gun Customization game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 88 more are announced, ×4.2 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.1k, ×1.7 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $360; 1 in 20 cleared $560k, ×898 the market median. Revenue is down 50% on the market; 88 games are announced against 21 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.7 times the market baseline, revenue down 50% on the market, 88 announced, ×4.2 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Gun Customization + Space
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 39
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $9.3k → $446 → $1.6k → $1.8k → $2.1k → $3.9k → $599 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Gun Customization + Space: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 39
Bottom 30% $359 (exactly $359)
Median $1.1k (exactly $1,077)
Top 25% $4.9k (exactly $4,871)
Top 5% $564k (exactly $564,035)
Developers, 2 yr 39
Released games 139
Announced 88
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $5.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 50% on the market, supply 15% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 13%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Gun Customization
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Space
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Gun Customization; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Roguelike, Shooter
Price point
$5.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, 3D
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $5.99.

The top 10 games average 85% positive over 3,970 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $360, median $1.1k, 1 in 4 over $4.8k, 1 in 20 over $560k.

3 in 10 developers made under $360. 9 in 10 of the 20 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 88 games are announced against 21 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.2 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Gun Customization with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Tower DefenseFair26 devs · median $958 · 32 announced
  2. + DystopianPoor odds16 devs · median $51k · 58 announced
  3. + Immersive SimPoor odds12 devs · median $25k · 44 announced
  4. + BuildingPoor odds13 devs · median $16k · 39 announced
  5. + Survival HorrorPoor odds26 devs · median $14k · 55 announced
  6. + ModernPoor odds18 devs · median $14k · 38 announced
  7. + MilitaryPoor odds50 devs · median $13k · 126 announced
  8. + StealthPoor odds20 devs · median $13k · 63 announced
  9. + Co-opPoor odds31 devs · median $11k · 92 announced
  10. + MechsPoor odds12 devs · median $11k · 32 announced
  11. + Resource ManagementPoor odds28 devs · median $11k · 71 announced
  12. + Base BuildingPoor odds23 devs · median $9.1k · 64 announced

All 93 pairs on the Gun Customization page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
From the Depths older $24.99 11,059 89% 332k $8.3M (exactly $8,290,932) Brilliant Skies Ltd.
ERA ONE · EA $29.99 1,575 86% 47k $1.4M (exactly $1,417,028) Team Complex LTD
Hubris older $29.99 819 74% 25k $737k (exactly $736,854) Cyborn B.V.
TurretGirls $9.99 1,882 85% 56k $564k (exactly $564,035) NANAIRO ENTERPRISE
Wings of Seduction: Bust 'em out! older $12.99 904 93% 27k $352k (exactly $352,289) Ramen Cat Studio
Cosmic Trip older $19.99 409 87% 12k $245k (exactly $245,277) Funktronic Labs
Galactic Vault $19.99 155 90% 4.7k $93k (exactly $92,954) MeepMeep Games
Sector Six older $8.00 223 93% 6.7k $54k (exactly $53,520) V3663L
In The Black · EA $19.99 84 72% 2.5k $50k (exactly $50,375) Impeller Studios
Nimbus INFINITY older $14.99 112 50% 3.4k $50k (exactly $50,366) GameCrafterTeam, GameTomo Co., Ltd.
Cosmos point $12.99 79 79% 2.4k $31k (exactly $30,786) Anatoliy Sidorov
Star Rift Saga $14.99 31 96% 930 $14k (exactly $13,941) Studio Vela LLC
Neon Striker · EA $4.99 85 87% 2.6k $13k (exactly $12,724) Zeno's Adventure Team, Nickonhawk Games
Star Mining Co. $8.99 29 82% 870 $7.8k (exactly $7,821) Barney Whiteman
Cosmic Carnage $4.49 37 94% 1.1k $5.0k (exactly $4,984) LionSword
Autogun Heroes: Supercharged $12.49 13 46% 390 $4.9k (exactly $4,871) Nitro Games

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.