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Should I ship a Gun Customization Sniper game?
Gun Customization + Sniper
Only 10 developers shipped a Gun Customization Sniper game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Dagger Directive, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 11 more are announced, ×2.2 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $600, level with the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $300; 1 in 20 cleared $480k, ×766 the market median. Revenue is up 1225% on the market; 11 games are announced against 5 developers who shipped in the last year.
not enough cohorts to draw
| Bottom 30% | $299 (exactly $299) |
|---|---|
| Median | $600 (exactly $600) |
| Top 25% | $3.2k (exactly $3,238) |
| Top 5% | $481k (exactly $480,959) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 10 |
| Released games | 38 |
| Announced | 11 |
| Effort | 6 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $8.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 1225% on the market, supply as many developers as the period before.
Free games: 26%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Gun Customization
- effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
- Sniper
- effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
What it takes
- Effort
- 6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
- Systems
- Gun Customization, Sniper
- Price point
- $8.99 typical
Why players buy here
The top 9 games average 81% positive over 867 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $300. 7 in 10 of the 7 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 11 games are announced against 5 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.2 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Gun Customization with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + Tower DefenseFair
- + DystopianPoor odds
- + Immersive SimPoor odds
- + BuildingPoor odds
- + Survival HorrorPoor odds
- + ModernPoor odds
- + MilitaryPoor odds
- + StealthPoor odds
- + Co-opPoor odds
- + MechsPoor odds
- + Resource ManagementPoor odds
- + Base BuildingPoor odds
Comparable games
Sniper Elite 5 2022 · $37M 
Sniper Ghost Warrior Contracts 2 2021 · $15M 
Sniper Ghost Warrior Contracts 2019 · $9.9M 
Dagger Directive 2026 · $481k 
Save Room - Organization Puzzle 2022 · $182k | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Sniper Elite 5 | older | $49.99 | 24,818 83% | 745k | $37M (exactly $37,219,555) | Rebellion |
| | Sniper Ghost Warrior Contracts 2 | older | $39.99 | 12,781 83% | 383k | $15M (exactly $15,333,366) | CI Games |
| | Sniper Ghost Warrior Contracts | older | $29.99 | 10,966 73% | 329k | $9.9M (exactly $9,866,110) | CI Games |
| | Dagger Directive | $19.99 | 802 83% | 24k | $481k (exactly $480,959) | Arcane Alpacas LLC | |
| | Save Room - Organization Puzzle | older | $2.99 | 2,033 97% | 61k | $182k (exactly $182,360) | Fractal Projects |
 | GW: Legacy | older | $15.99 | 128 61% | 3.8k | $61k (exactly $61,402) | Alto Interactive |
 | Project RIP | older | $13.99 | 121 61% | 3.6k | $51k (exactly $50,784) | Storming Tech |
 | FPS Training | older | $4.99 | 73 65% | 2.2k | $11k (exactly $10,928) | Drago Software |
 | Shooting Arena VR | · EA older | $12.99 | 28 85% | 840 | $11k (exactly $10,912) | Infinity Studio |
 | Johnny Trigger: Sniper | older | $4.99 | 49 85% | 1.5k | $7.3k (exactly $7,335) | Estoty, SayGames Ltd |
 | MARKSMAN VR | · EA | $8.99 | 16 31% | 480 | $4.3k (exactly $4,315) | Crimson Gate |
 | WARRIORS | · EA | $17.99 | 6 0% | 180 | $3.2k (exactly $3,238) | BAKROS DYNAMICS |
 | Cat's Wars | · EA | $1.99 | 37 81% | 1.1k | $2.2k (exactly $2,209) | Antelus Games |
 | Tribots | · EA | $19.99 | 1 100% | 30 | $600 (exactly $600) | HEXRAY |
 | BLOCKADE War Stories .VR | $9.99 | 1 100% | 30 | $300 (exactly $300) | Novalink | |
 | Wima Magicamia Cute Girls Magic Battle 3DTPS | $4.99 | 2 100% | 60 | $299 (exactly $299) | NoHitCreations | |
 | Medieval Archer Simulator | · EA | $5.99 | 1 100% | 30 | $180 (exactly $180) | Hard Shark Games |
 | ShootOut | $1.99 | 1 100% | 30 | $60 (exactly $60) | mojo games | |
 | Streamer VS Zombie | $7.99 | 0 0% | 0 | $0 (exactly $0) | ArachniGAMES |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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