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Should I ship a Sci-fi Gun Customization game?
Gun Customization + Sci-fi
Of 94 developers who shipped a Sci-fi Gun Customization game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 265 more are announced, ×4.9 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $1.4k, ×2.3 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $390; 1 in 20 cleared $1.4M, ×2256 the market median. Revenue is down 80% on the market; 265 games are announced against 54 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $390 (exactly $390) |
|---|---|
| Median | $1.4k (exactly $1,438) |
| Top 25% | $25k (exactly $24,734) |
| Top 5% | $1.4M (exactly $1,417,028) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 94 |
| Released games | 285 |
| Announced | 265 |
| Effort | 6 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $6.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 80% on the market, supply 30% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 14%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Gun Customization
- effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
- Sci-fi
- effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
What it takes
- Effort
- 6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
- Systems
- Gun Customization; 4 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Shooter, Roguelike
- Price point
- $6.99 typical · top 25% priced $29.99 or above
- Art
- 4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with First-Person
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $29.99 or above; the middle game at $6.99.
The top 10 games average 78% positive over 80,196 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $390. 6 in 10 of the 49 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 265 games are announced against 54 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.9 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Gun Customization with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + Tower DefenseFair
- + DystopianPoor odds
- + Immersive SimPoor odds
- + BuildingPoor odds
- + Survival HorrorPoor odds
- + ModernPoor odds
- + MilitaryPoor odds
- + StealthPoor odds
- + Co-opPoor odds
- + MechsPoor odds
- + Resource ManagementPoor odds
- + Base BuildingPoor odds
Comparable games
Marathon 2026 · $54M 
The Forever Winter 2024 · EA · $19M 
Tom Clancy’s Rainbow Six® Extraction 2023 · $3.4M 
Tom Clancy's Ghost Recon: Future Soldier™ 2012 · $3.3M 
M.A.S.S. Builder 2025 · $2.8M | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Marathon | $39.99 | 44,919 81% | 1.3M | $54M (exactly $53,889,324) | Bungie | |
| | The Forever Winter | · EA | $29.99 | 21,376 68% | 641k | $19M (exactly $19,231,987) | Fun Dog Studios |
| | Tom Clancy’s Rainbow Six® Extraction | older | $39.99 | 2,865 66% | 86k | $3.4M (exactly $3,437,140) | Ubisoft Montreal |
| | Tom Clancy's Ghost Recon: Future Soldier™ | older | $19.99 | 5,506 71% | 165k | $3.3M (exactly $3,301,948) | Ubisoft Paris, Red Storm Entertainment |
| | M.A.S.S. Builder | $24.99 | 3,729 85% | 112k | $2.8M (exactly $2,795,631) | Vermillion Digital | |
 | Predator: Hunting Grounds | older | $19.99 | 4,635 76% | 139k | $2.8M (exactly $2,779,610) | IllFonic |
 | Killsquad | older | $29.99 | 2,839 71% | 85k | $2.6M (exactly $2,554,248) | Novarama |
 | VOID/BREAKER | · EA | $29.99 | 2,506 91% | 75k | $2.3M (exactly $2,254,648) | Stubby Games |
 | SYNTHETIK 2 | · EA older | $19.99 | 3,202 81% | 96k | $1.9M (exactly $1,920,239) | Flow Fire Games |
 | SAND LAND | older | $59.99 | 1,018 86% | 31k | $1.8M (exactly $1,832,095) | ILCA, Inc. |
 | ERA ONE | · EA | $29.99 | 1,575 86% | 47k | $1.4M (exactly $1,417,028) | Team Complex LTD |
 | Chernobylite 2: Exclusion Zone | · EA | $39.99 | 528 62% | 16k | $633k (exactly $633,442) | The Farm 51 |
 | Iron Meat | $19.99 | 982 96% | 29k | $589k (exactly $588,905) | Ivan Valeryevich Suvorov, Retroware | |
 | TurretGirls | $9.99 | 1,882 85% | 56k | $564k (exactly $564,035) | NANAIRO ENTERPRISE | |
 | Out of Action | · EA | $19.99 | 916 77% | 27k | $549k (exactly $549,325) | Doku Games LTD |
 | NIMRODS | · EA | $9.99 | 1,783 85% | 53k | $534k (exactly $534,365) | Fiveamp |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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