Do I ship it?

Games › Gun Customization › Gun Customization + Roguelite

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Gun Customization Roguelite?

Gun Customization + Roguelite

Of 109 developers who shipped a Gun Customization Roguelite in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 200 more are announced, ×3.2 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $2.2k, ×3.6 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $600; 1 in 20 cleared $560k, ×898 the market median. Revenue is up 150% on the market; 200 games are announced against 63 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 3.6 times the market baseline, revenue up 150% on the market, 200 announced, ×3.2 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Gun Customization + Roguelite
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 109
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $5.1k → $1.5k → $1.9k → $9.0k → $2.1k → $1.9k → $3.1k (still earning) → $3.0k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Gun Customization + Roguelite: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 109
Bottom 30% $599 (exactly $599)
Median $2.2k (exactly $2,248)
Top 25% $12k (exactly $12,275)
Top 5% $564k (exactly $564,035)
Developers, 2 yr 109
Released games 211
Announced 200
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $6.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 150% on the market, supply 35% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 8%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Gun Customization
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Roguelite
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Gun Customization, Roguelite; 8 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Action Roguelike, Roguelike
Price point
$6.99 typical · top 25% priced $17.99 or above
Art
3 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Top-Down, Pixel Graphics
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $17.99 or above; the middle game at $6.99.

The top 10 games average 85% positive over 105,835 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $600, median $2.2k, 1 in 4 over $12k, 1 in 20 over $560k.

3 in 10 developers made under $600. 8 in 10 of the 51 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 200 games are announced against 63 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.2 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Gun Customization with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Tower DefenseFair26 devs · median $958 · 32 announced
  2. + DystopianPoor odds16 devs · median $51k · 58 announced
  3. + Immersive SimPoor odds12 devs · median $25k · 44 announced
  4. + BuildingPoor odds13 devs · median $16k · 39 announced
  5. + Survival HorrorPoor odds26 devs · median $14k · 55 announced
  6. + ModernPoor odds18 devs · median $14k · 38 announced
  7. + MilitaryPoor odds50 devs · median $13k · 126 announced
  8. + StealthPoor odds20 devs · median $13k · 63 announced
  9. + Co-opPoor odds31 devs · median $11k · 92 announced
  10. + MechsPoor odds12 devs · median $11k · 32 announced
  11. + Resource ManagementPoor odds28 devs · median $11k · 71 announced
  12. + Base BuildingPoor odds23 devs · median $9.1k · 64 announced

All 93 pairs on the Gun Customization page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Noita 2020 · $49M Escape From Duckov 2025 · $45M SULFUR 2024 · EA · $7.2M 20 Minutes Till Dawn 2023 · $4.2M Atomicrops 2020 · $2.3M
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Noita older $19.99 81,149 95% 2.4M $49M (exactly $48,665,055) Nolla Games
Escape From Duckov $17.99 83,826 85% 2.5M $45M (exactly $45,240,892) Team Soda
SULFUR · EA $24.99 9,641 87% 289k $7.2M (exactly $7,227,858) Perfect Random
20 Minutes Till Dawn older $4.99 27,872 90% 836k $4.2M (exactly $4,172,438) flanne
Atomicrops older $14.99 5,134 93% 154k $2.3M (exactly $2,308,760) Bird Bath Games
VOID/BREAKER · EA $29.99 2,506 91% 75k $2.3M (exactly $2,254,648) Stubby Games
SYNTHETIK 2 · EA older $19.99 3,202 81% 96k $1.9M (exactly $1,920,239) Flow Fire Games
Pass the Fear $18.99 2,985 79% 90k $1.7M (exactly $1,700,554) PlayMud Studio
Wanderburg · EA $14.99 2,103 78% 63k $946k (exactly $945,719) Randwerk
Revita older $16.99 1,734 83% 52k $884k (exactly $883,820) BenStar
TurretGirls $9.99 1,882 85% 56k $564k (exactly $564,035) NANAIRO ENTERPRISE
NIMRODS · EA $9.99 1,783 85% 53k $534k (exactly $534,365) Fiveamp
Roboquest VR $29.99 395 87% 12k $355k (exactly $355,382) Flat2VR Studios, RyseUp Studios
Genome Guardian 2 · EA $15.99 410 95% 12k $197k (exactly $196,677) Alpherior
SWAPMEAT $16.49 304 86% 9.1k $150k (exactly $150,389) One More Game

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.