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Should I ship a Gun Customization Puzzle game?
Gun Customization + Puzzle
Only 13 developers shipped a Gun Customization Puzzle game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Tache Noire, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 20 more are announced, ×2.5 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $720, ×1.1 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $300; 1 in 20 cleared $25k, ×41 the market median. Revenue is up 210% on the market; 20 games are announced against 8 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $299 (exactly $299) |
|---|---|
| Median | $718 (exactly $718) |
| Top 25% | $1.1k (exactly $1,078) |
| Top 5% | $25k (exactly $25,485) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 13 |
| Released games | 35 |
| Announced | 20 |
| Effort | 6 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $7.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 210% on the market, supply 60% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 17%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Gun Customization
- effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
- Puzzle
- effort 2 / 10 · high · discrete rules, levels are data
What it takes
- Effort
- 6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
- Systems
- Gun Customization, Puzzle; 8 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Adventure, Action, Exploration
- Price point
- $7.99 typical · top 25% priced $16.99 or above
- Art
- 5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $16.99 or above; the middle game at $7.99.
The top 10 games average 87% positive over 116 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $300. All of the 6 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 20 games are announced against 8 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.5 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Gun Customization with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + Tower DefenseFair
- + DystopianPoor odds
- + Immersive SimPoor odds
- + BuildingPoor odds
- + Survival HorrorPoor odds
- + ModernPoor odds
- + MilitaryPoor odds
- + StealthPoor odds
- + Co-opPoor odds
- + MechsPoor odds
- + Resource ManagementPoor odds
- + Base BuildingPoor odds
Comparable games
| Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Save Room - Organization Puzzle | older | $2.99 | 2,033 97% | 61k | $182k (exactly $182,360) | Fractal Projects |
| | Machick | older | $6.99 | 208 84% | 6.2k | $44k (exactly $43,618) | DeadPixel |
| | Tache Noire | $16.99 | 50 94% | 1.5k | $25k (exactly $25,485) | StitchedCliffs | |
| | Save Room - The Merchant | older | $2.99 | 220 69% | 6.6k | $20k (exactly $19,734) | Fractal Projects |
| | Cold Iron - Quick Draw Western Duels | older | $13.99 | 39 76% | 1.2k | $16k (exactly $16,368) | Catch & Release, LLC |
| | They Сame From Above | older | $24.99 | 16 62% | 480 | $12k (exactly $11,995) | Piece Of Voxel |
| | Star Mining Co. | $8.99 | 29 82% | 870 | $7.8k (exactly $7,821) | Barney Whiteman | |
| | PINK ELEPHANT | older | $4.99 | 44 81% | 1.3k | $6.6k (exactly $6,587) | IOIG Games |
| | FETUS | older | $4.99 | 27 81% | 810 | $4.0k (exactly $4,042) | LenstroyS |
| | Nauts | $8.99 | 10 100% | 300 | $2.7k (exactly $2,697) | Jorge A. García González, Carlos Álvare… (Jorge A. García González, Carlos Álvarez-Nava González) | |
| | Palland: Creature Tamer World | $5.99 | 6 83% | 180 | $1.1k (exactly $1,078) | BoggySoft | |
| | Neanderthallica | $7.99 | 4 100% | 120 | $959 (exactly $959) | Cheers LLC | |
| | The Elquest | The Legend of Immortal Dremond | $7.99 | 3 66% | 90 | $719 (exactly $719) | Domax Games | |
| | Rushfall | $2.99 | 8 62% | 240 | $718 (exactly $718) | kazakovstudios, Sharkgame | |
| | AO: Containment Breach | · EA | $9.99 | 2 100% | 60 | $599 (exactly $599) | Prismatix- |
| | Mod Mage Mike | $6.99 | 2 100% | 60 | $419 (exactly $419) | ZilpZilp Games | |
| | Finding Cool Sticks | $4.99 | 2 0% | 60 | $299 (exactly $299) | echomune |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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