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Should I ship a Gun Customization Procedural Generation game?
Gun Customization + Procedural Generation
Of 63 developers who shipped a Gun Customization Procedural Generation game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 135 more are announced, ×3.9 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $1.7k, ×2.7 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $600; 1 in 20 cleared $60k, ×97 the market median. Revenue is down 15% on the market; 135 games are announced against 35 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $599 (exactly $599) |
|---|---|
| Median | $1.7k (exactly $1,678) |
| Top 25% | $7.9k (exactly $7,910) |
| Top 5% | $61k (exactly $60,884) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 63 |
| Released games | 134 |
| Announced | 135 |
| Effort | 6 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $6.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 15% on the market, supply 25% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 6%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Gun Customization
- effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
- Procedural Generation
- effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
What it takes
- Effort
- 6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
- Systems
- Gun Customization, Procedural Generation; 8 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Roguelite, Action Roguelike
- Price point
- $6.99 typical · top 25% priced $13.99 or above
- Art
- 3 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Top-Down, Atmospheric
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $13.99 or above; the middle game at $6.99.
The top 10 games average 87% positive over 4,419 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $600. 8 in 10 of the 30 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 135 games are announced against 35 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.9 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Gun Customization with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + Tower DefenseFair
- + DystopianPoor odds
- + Immersive SimPoor odds
- + BuildingPoor odds
- + Survival HorrorPoor odds
- + ModernPoor odds
- + MilitaryPoor odds
- + StealthPoor odds
- + Co-opPoor odds
- + MechsPoor odds
- + Resource ManagementPoor odds
- + Base BuildingPoor odds
Comparable games
| Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Sprocket | · EA older | $19.99 | 12,336 92% | 370k | $7.4M (exactly $7,397,899) | Hamish Dunn |
| | Killsquad | older | $29.99 | 2,839 71% | 85k | $2.6M (exactly $2,554,248) | Novarama |
| | VOID/BREAKER | · EA | $29.99 | 2,506 91% | 75k | $2.3M (exactly $2,254,648) | Stubby Games |
| | CONVRGENCE | · EA older | $24.99 | 1,562 88% | 47k | $1.2M (exactly $1,171,031) | Monkey-With-a-Bomb |
| | Revita | older | $16.99 | 1,734 83% | 52k | $884k (exactly $883,820) | BenStar |
| | MOTHERGUNSHIP | older | $24.99 | 1,088 77% | 33k | $816k (exactly $815,674) | Terrible Posture Games, Grip Digital |
| | Spellmasons | older | $19.99 | 1,122 91% | 34k | $673k (exactly $672,863) | Octavia Blue |
| | Night Raider | older | $5.99 | 1,908 85% | 57k | $343k (exactly $342,868) | TSUKUYOMIC |
| | No Plan B | older | $14.99 | 761 86% | 23k | $342k (exactly $342,222) | GFX47 |
| | EVERSLAUGHT | · EA older | $19.99 | 336 61% | 10k | $201k (exactly $201,499) | MobX GmbH |
| | C.A.S.T. (CHERNOZEM ANOMALY STRIKE TEAM) | $6.99 | 777 87% | 23k | $163k (exactly $162,937) | BRAIN DOES (NOT) WORK | |
| | Nightmare Frontier | $24.99 | 187 69% | 5.6k | $140k (exactly $140,194) | Ice Code Games | |
| | Ogre Chambers 2222 | $7.99 | 254 96% | 7.6k | $61k (exactly $60,884) | ANTENNA GAMES | |
| | Graveyard Gunslingers | $7.99 | 224 58% | 6.7k | $54k (exactly $53,693) | PyroPhysics | |
| | Schism | $11.99 | 140 96% | 4.2k | $50k (exactly $50,358) | Fami | |
| | Runehaven | $9.99 | 119 91% | 3.6k | $36k (exactly $35,664) | Cikoria Studio | |
| | Wandness: WandCraft Survivor | $6.99 | 107 74% | 3.2k | $22k (exactly $22,438) | Knight Owl Games, Binary Lunar | |
| | Gunstoppable | $12.49 | 58 81% | 1.7k | $22k (exactly $21,733) | CAGE Studios | |
| | Ascendant | $9.99 | 47 70% | 1.4k | $14k (exactly $14,086) | Imagisphere |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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