Do I ship it?

Games › Gun Customization › Gun Customization + Platformer

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Gun Customization Platformer?

Gun Customization + Platformer

Of 22 developers who shipped a Gun Customization Platformer in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 47 more are announced, ×4.3 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.1k, ×1.7 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $600; 1 in 20 cleared $170k, ×278 the market median. Revenue is up 100% on the market; 47 games are announced against 11 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.7 times the market baseline, revenue up 100% on the market, 47 announced, ×4.3 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Gun Customization + Platformer
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 22
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $32k → $5.1k → $599 → $2.2k → $1.6k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Gun Customization + Platformer: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 22
Bottom 30% $599 (exactly $599)
Median $1.1k (exactly $1,079)
Top 25% $5.4k (exactly $5,396)
Top 5% $175k (exactly $174,725)
Developers, 2 yr 22
Released games 69
Announced 47
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 100% on the market, supply as many developers as the period before.

Free games: 14%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Gun Customization
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Platformer
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Gun Customization, Platformer; 7 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Metroidvania, Action-Adventure
Price point
$9.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
Art
3 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Pixel Graphics, 2D, 3D
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.

The top 10 games average 94% positive over 1,801 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $600, median $1.1k, 1 in 4 over $5.3k, 1 in 20 over $170k.

3 in 10 developers made under $600. 9 in 10 of the 12 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 47 games are announced against 11 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.3 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Gun Customization with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Tower DefenseFair26 devs · median $958 · 32 announced
  2. + DystopianPoor odds16 devs · median $51k · 58 announced
  3. + Immersive SimPoor odds12 devs · median $25k · 44 announced
  4. + BuildingPoor odds13 devs · median $16k · 39 announced
  5. + Survival HorrorPoor odds26 devs · median $14k · 55 announced
  6. + ModernPoor odds18 devs · median $14k · 38 announced
  7. + MilitaryPoor odds50 devs · median $13k · 126 announced
  8. + StealthPoor odds20 devs · median $13k · 63 announced
  9. + Co-opPoor odds31 devs · median $11k · 92 announced
  10. + MechsPoor odds12 devs · median $11k · 32 announced
  11. + Resource ManagementPoor odds28 devs · median $11k · 71 announced
  12. + Base BuildingPoor odds23 devs · median $9.1k · 64 announced

All 93 pairs on the Gun Customization page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Soda Crisis 2022 · $961k Worms Rumble 2020 · $764k Iron Meat 2024 · $589k FISH 2026 · EA · $175k Slavania 2024 · $97k
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Soda Crisis older $10.99 2,915 93% 87k $961k (exactly $961,076) Team Soda
Worms Rumble older $14.99 1,698 60% 51k $764k (exactly $763,591) Team17 Digital
Iron Meat $19.99 982 96% 29k $589k (exactly $588,905) Ivan Valeryevich Suvorov, Retroware
FISH · EA $9.99 583 94% 17k $175k (exactly $174,725) dmcaguy
Slavania older $15.99 202 61% 6.1k $97k (exactly $96,899) FrostLeaf Games LLC
Clockwork Ambrosia $19.99 133 84% 4.0k $80k (exactly $79,760) Realmsoft
Arcane Assembly older $7.99 134 72% 4.0k $32k (exactly $32,120) Isaac Lee
Jetboard Joust older $9.99 63 82% 1.9k $19k (exactly $18,881) BitBull Ltd
Downpurr older $12.99 43 100% 1.3k $17k (exactly $16,757) Robin Fox, Studio Nevermore
Star Rift Saga $14.99 31 96% 930 $14k (exactly $13,941) Studio Vela LLC
ALARIC $14.99 14 92% 420 $6.3k (exactly $6,296) Dominik Grigoras
Virballs $14.99 12 100% 360 $5.4k (exactly $5,396) Bolder Games, Chimera Studios
Kovoclak $9.99 17 100% 510 $5.1k (exactly $5,095) lingouf
Autogun Heroes: Supercharged $12.49 13 46% 390 $4.9k (exactly $4,871) Nitro Games
BeefArena $14.99 5 100% 150 $2.2k (exactly $2,248) zinkem
SurgePoint · EA $4.99 11 100% 330 $1.6k (exactly $1,647) The Blue

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.