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Should I ship a Gun Customization Multiple Endings game?
Gun Customization + Multiple Endings
Only 13 developers shipped a Gun Customization Multiple Endings game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Into the Radius 2, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 44 more are announced, ×5.5 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $1.2k, ×1.9 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $120; 1 in 20 cleared $6.3M, ×10035 the market median. Revenue is down 60% on the market; 44 games are announced against 8 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $120 (exactly $120) |
|---|---|
| Median | $1.2k (exactly $1,198) |
| Top 25% | $58k (exactly $57,571) |
| Top 5% | $6.3M (exactly $6,302,024) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 13 |
| Released games | 37 |
| Announced | 44 |
| Effort | 6 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $12.00 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 60% on the market, supply 60% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 14%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Gun Customization
- effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
- Multiple Endings
- effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
What it takes
- Effort
- 6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
- Systems
- Gun Customization, Multiple Endings; 8 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Choices Matter, Simulation
- Price point
- $12.00 typical · top 25% priced $39.99 or above
- Art
- 5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Realistic, 3D, Atmospheric
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $39.99 or above; the middle game at $12.00.
The top 10 games average 79% positive over 6,249 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $120. 7 in 10 of the 6 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 44 games are announced against 8 developers who shipped in the last year, ×5.5 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Gun Customization with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + Tower DefenseFair
- + DystopianPoor odds
- + Immersive SimPoor odds
- + BuildingPoor odds
- + Survival HorrorPoor odds
- + ModernPoor odds
- + MilitaryPoor odds
- + StealthPoor odds
- + Co-opPoor odds
- + MechsPoor odds
- + Resource ManagementPoor odds
- + Base BuildingPoor odds
Comparable games
| Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Into the Radius 2 | $39.99 | 5,253 79% | 158k | $6.3M (exactly $6,302,024) | CM IMMERSIVE | |
| | Medieval Blacksmith | $19.99 | 591 79% | 18k | $354k (exactly $354,423) | OGO Play | |
| | Welcome Back, Commander | $14.99 | 230 80% | 6.9k | $103k (exactly $103,431) | S.C. 16 BIT NIGHTS S.R.L. | |
| | 5089: The Action RPG | older | $7.99 | 299 82% | 9.0k | $72k (exactly $71,670) | Phr00t's Software |
| | Libertine: King of Hearts | $19.99 | 96 85% | 2.9k | $58k (exactly $57,571) | Hasnotalent Media | |
| | Tache Noire | $16.99 | 50 94% | 1.5k | $25k (exactly $25,485) | StitchedCliffs | |
| | 8089: The Next Action RPG | older | $9.99 | 57 78% | 1.7k | $17k (exactly $17,083) | Phr00t's Software |
| | HEAVEN SEEKER ――The Savior of This Cruel World | older | $19.99 | 23 65% | 690 | $14k (exactly $13,793) | SUCCESS Corp. |
| | 8 | older | $12.88 | 29 96% | 870 | $11k (exactly $11,206) | Thales Caus |
| | Rogue Invader | older | $9.99 | 21 90% | 630 | $6.3k (exactly $6,294) | Squishy Games |
| | Kovoclak | $9.99 | 17 100% | 510 | $5.1k (exactly $5,095) | lingouf | |
| | Thunder Infinity | $4.99 | 8 75% | 240 | $1.2k (exactly $1,198) | Enrique G. Galvez | |
| | Portable Ops 2 | · EA | $12.00 | 2 0% | 60 | $720 (exactly $720) | Outlaw Games |
| | Luna's Adventure: The Overlord | $5.99 | 1 100% | 30 | $180 (exactly $180) | CapturedLeek27, Doky | |
| | Fortune Crafter | $3.99 | 1 100% | 30 | $120 (exactly $120) | VIKTOR LUBIANSKII |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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