Do I ship it?

GamesGun CustomizationGun Customization + Multiple Endings

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Gun Customization Multiple Endings game?

Gun Customization + Multiple Endings

Only 13 developers shipped a Gun Customization Multiple Endings game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Into the Radius 2, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 44 more are announced, ×5.5 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.2k, ×1.9 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $120; 1 in 20 cleared $6.3M, ×10035 the market median. Revenue is down 60% on the market; 44 games are announced against 8 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.9 times the market baseline, revenue down 60% on the market, 44 announced, ×5.5 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Gun Customization + Multiple Endings
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 13
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $2.4k → $239 → $0 → $25k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Gun Customization + Multiple Endings: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 13
Bottom 30% $120 (exactly $120)
Median $1.2k (exactly $1,198)
Top 25% $58k (exactly $57,571)
Top 5% $6.3M (exactly $6,302,024)
Developers, 2 yr 13
Released games 37
Announced 44
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $12.00

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 60% on the market, supply 60% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 14%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Gun Customization
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Multiple Endings
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Gun Customization, Multiple Endings; 8 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Choices Matter, Simulation
Price point
$12.00 typical · top 25% priced $39.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Realistic, 3D, Atmospheric
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $39.99 or above; the middle game at $12.00.

The top 10 games average 79% positive over 6,249 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $120, median $1.2k, 1 in 4 over $57k, 1 in 20 over $6.3M.

3 in 10 developers made under $120. 7 in 10 of the 6 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 44 games are announced against 8 developers who shipped in the last year, ×5.5 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Gun Customization with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Tower DefenseFair26 devs · median $958 · 32 announced
  2. + DystopianPoor odds16 devs · median $51k · 58 announced
  3. + Immersive SimPoor odds12 devs · median $25k · 44 announced
  4. + BuildingPoor odds13 devs · median $16k · 39 announced
  5. + Survival HorrorPoor odds26 devs · median $14k · 55 announced
  6. + ModernPoor odds18 devs · median $14k · 38 announced
  7. + MilitaryPoor odds50 devs · median $13k · 126 announced
  8. + StealthPoor odds20 devs · median $13k · 63 announced
  9. + Co-opPoor odds31 devs · median $11k · 92 announced
  10. + MechsPoor odds12 devs · median $11k · 32 announced
  11. + Resource ManagementPoor odds28 devs · median $11k · 71 announced
  12. + Base BuildingPoor odds23 devs · median $9.1k · 64 announced

All 93 pairs on the Gun Customization page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Into the Radius 2 $39.99 5,253 79% 158k $6.3M (exactly $6,302,024) CM IMMERSIVE
Medieval Blacksmith $19.99 591 79% 18k $354k (exactly $354,423) OGO Play
Welcome Back, Commander $14.99 230 80% 6.9k $103k (exactly $103,431) S.C. 16 BIT NIGHTS S.R.L.
5089: The Action RPG older $7.99 299 82% 9.0k $72k (exactly $71,670) Phr00t's Software
Libertine: King of Hearts $19.99 96 85% 2.9k $58k (exactly $57,571) Hasnotalent Media
Tache Noire $16.99 50 94% 1.5k $25k (exactly $25,485) StitchedCliffs
8089: The Next Action RPG older $9.99 57 78% 1.7k $17k (exactly $17,083) Phr00t's Software
HEAVEN SEEKER ――The Savior of This Cruel World older $19.99 23 65% 690 $14k (exactly $13,793) SUCCESS Corp.
8 older $12.88 29 96% 870 $11k (exactly $11,206) Thales Caus
Rogue Invader older $9.99 21 90% 630 $6.3k (exactly $6,294) Squishy Games
Kovoclak $9.99 17 100% 510 $5.1k (exactly $5,095) lingouf
Thunder Infinity $4.99 8 75% 240 $1.2k (exactly $1,198) Enrique G. Galvez
Portable Ops 2 · EA $12.00 2 0% 60 $720 (exactly $720) Outlaw Games
Luna's Adventure: The Overlord $5.99 1 100% 30 $180 (exactly $180) CapturedLeek27, Doky
Fortune Crafter $3.99 1 100% 30 $120 (exactly $120) VIKTOR LUBIANSKII

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.