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Should I ship a Medieval Gun Customization game?
Gun Customization + Medieval
Only 19 developers shipped a Medieval Gun Customization game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Pass the Fear, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 27 more are announced, ×2.7 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $4.1k, ×6.6 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $540; 1 in 20 cleared $1.7M, ×2708 the market median. Revenue is down 20% on the market; 27 games are announced against 10 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $538 (exactly $538) |
|---|---|
| Median | $4.1k (exactly $4,133) |
| Top 25% | $22k (exactly $22,438) |
| Top 5% | $1.7M (exactly $1,700,554) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 19 |
| Released games | 49 |
| Announced | 27 |
| Effort | 6 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $7.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 20% on the market, supply 10% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 12%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Gun Customization
- effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
- Medieval
- effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
What it takes
- Effort
- 6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
- Systems
- Gun Customization; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry RPG, Action, Action Roguelike
- Price point
- $7.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
- Art
- 5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, First-Person, Realistic
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $7.99.
The top 10 games average 78% positive over 6,097 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $540. 6 in 10 of the 12 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 27 games are announced against 10 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.7 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Gun Customization with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + Tower DefenseFair
- + DystopianPoor odds
- + Immersive SimPoor odds
- + BuildingPoor odds
- + Survival HorrorPoor odds
- + ModernPoor odds
- + MilitaryPoor odds
- + StealthPoor odds
- + Co-opPoor odds
- + MechsPoor odds
- + Resource ManagementPoor odds
- + Base BuildingPoor odds
Comparable games
Pass the Fear 2026 · $1.7M 
Wanderburg 2026 · EA · $946k 
Medieval Blacksmith 2025 · $354k 
EVERSLAUGHT 2021 · EA · $201k 
Knights Within 2024 · EA · $135k | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Pass the Fear | $18.99 | 2,985 79% | 90k | $1.7M (exactly $1,700,554) | PlayMud Studio | |
| | Wanderburg | · EA | $14.99 | 2,103 78% | 63k | $946k (exactly $945,719) | Randwerk |
| | Medieval Blacksmith | $19.99 | 591 79% | 18k | $354k (exactly $354,423) | OGO Play | |
| | EVERSLAUGHT | · EA older | $19.99 | 336 61% | 10k | $201k (exactly $201,499) | MobX GmbH |
| | Knights Within | · EA older | $17.99 | 250 95% | 7.5k | $135k (exactly $134,925) | Indecision Labs |
 | LEVEL UP 80 | older | $39.99 | 99 79% | 3.0k | $119k (exactly $118,770) | Galactic Geckon |
 | Slavania | older | $15.99 | 202 61% | 6.1k | $97k (exactly $96,899) | FrostLeaf Games LLC |
 | REMEDIUM | · EA older | $17.99 | 68 66% | 2.0k | $37k (exactly $36,700) | Sobaka Studio |
 | Blacksmith Simulator | $15.99 | 49 32% | 1.5k | $24k (exactly $23,505) | Potato Games | |
 | Wandness: WandCraft Survivor | $6.99 | 107 74% | 3.2k | $22k (exactly $22,438) | Knight Owl Games, Binary Lunar | |
 | Turtle Riders | $4.99 | 115 76% | 3.5k | $17k (exactly $17,216) | Solenya | |
 | SPORTAL | $7.99 | 57 94% | 1.7k | $14k (exactly $13,663) | Sleepwalking Potatoes | |
 | Type or Die | $13.99 | 29 31% | 870 | $12k (exactly $12,171) | Type or Die | |
 | Hell Survivors | · EA | $7.99 | 38 55% | 1.1k | $9.1k (exactly $9,109) | Aerilon |
 | RolemIAster | · EA | $5.99 | 23 56% | 690 | $4.1k (exactly $4,133) | ABAFE |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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