Do I ship it?

GamesGun CustomizationGun Customization + Management

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Gun Customization Management game?

Gun Customization + Management

Only 15 developers shipped a Gun Customization Management game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Welcome Back, Commander, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 52 more are announced, ×5.2 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $990, ×1.6 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $540; 1 in 20 cleared $100k, ×165 the market median. Revenue is down 95% on the market; 52 games are announced against 10 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.6 times the market baseline, revenue down 95% on the market, 52 announced, ×5.2 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Gun Customization + Management
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 15
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $1.8k → $5.4k → $73k → $11k → $538 (still earning) → $987 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Gun Customization + Management: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 15
Bottom 30% $538 (exactly $538)
Median $987 (exactly $987)
Top 25% $24k (exactly $23,505)
Top 5% $103k (exactly $103,431)
Developers, 2 yr 15
Released games 41
Announced 52
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $7.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 95% on the market, supply 100% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 12%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Gun Customization
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Management
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Gun Customization, Management; 8 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Crafting, Resource Management, Sandbox
Price point
$7.99 typical · top 25% priced $15.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, 3D, First-Person
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $15.99 or above; the middle game at $7.99.

The top 10 games average 69% positive over 799 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $540, median $990, 1 in 4 over $23k, 1 in 20 over $100k.

3 in 10 developers made under $540. 4 in 10 of the 7 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 52 games are announced against 10 developers who shipped in the last year, ×5.2 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Gun Customization with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Tower DefenseFair26 devs · median $958 · 32 announced
  2. + DystopianPoor odds16 devs · median $51k · 58 announced
  3. + Immersive SimPoor odds12 devs · median $25k · 44 announced
  4. + BuildingPoor odds13 devs · median $16k · 39 announced
  5. + Survival HorrorPoor odds26 devs · median $14k · 55 announced
  6. + ModernPoor odds18 devs · median $14k · 38 announced
  7. + MilitaryPoor odds50 devs · median $13k · 126 announced
  8. + StealthPoor odds20 devs · median $13k · 63 announced
  9. + Co-opPoor odds31 devs · median $11k · 92 announced
  10. + MechsPoor odds12 devs · median $11k · 32 announced
  11. + Resource ManagementPoor odds28 devs · median $11k · 71 announced
  12. + Base BuildingPoor odds23 devs · median $9.1k · 64 announced

All 93 pairs on the Gun Customization page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Rise of Gun older $12.99 1,094 84% 33k $426k (exactly $426,332) PimpGameStudio
Save Room - Organization Puzzle older $2.99 2,033 97% 61k $182k (exactly $182,360) Fractal Projects
Welcome Back, Commander $14.99 230 80% 6.9k $103k (exactly $103,431) S.C. 16 BIT NIGHTS S.R.L.
Gun Factory Simulator · EA $14.99 162 62% 4.9k $73k (exactly $72,851) Broken Clock
Space Trader: Merchant Marine older $4.99 450 53% 14k $67k (exactly $67,365) ·
Neon Blight older $19.99 82 37% 2.5k $49k (exactly $49,175) Bleeding Tapes
Chop Chains $5.99 257 77% 7.7k $46k (exactly $46,183) Blasted Games
Trashed · EA older $9.99 129 41% 3.9k $39k (exactly $38,661) Josh Presseisen
Blacksmith Simulator $15.99 49 32% 1.5k $24k (exactly $23,505) Potato Games
Save Room - The Merchant older $2.99 220 69% 6.6k $20k (exactly $19,734) Fractal Projects
Gun Center Simulator $9.99 54 33% 1.6k $16k (exactly $16,184) Digital Melody
Werner Waffenwerke: Arms Tycoon · EA $19.99 18 94% 540 $11k (exactly $10,795) Stobi Games UG (haftungsbeschränkt)
Gun Shop Manager · EA $12.99 13 38% 390 $5.1k (exactly $5,066) Aiolos Studios, Welter Games
Cape Warrior $2.99 11 81% 330 $987 (exactly $987) Saylor Games
ARMORY SIMULATOR · EA $12.99 2 0% 60 $779 (exactly $779) CEMA GAMES, César Baudry, Maxime Buland
Card Maker Simulator $7.99 3 100% 90 $719 (exactly $719) Níkolas Santos

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.