Do I ship it?

Games › Gun Customization › Gun Customization + Magic

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Magic Gun Customization game?

Gun Customization + Magic

Of 35 developers who shipped a Magic Gun Customization game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 46 more are announced, ×2.2 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $450, ×0.7 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $240; 1 in 20 cleared $120k, ×202 the market median. Revenue is down 75% on the market; 46 games are announced against 21 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 0.7 times the market baseline, revenue down 75% on the market, 46 announced, ×2.2 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Gun Customization + Magic
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 35
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $23k → $32k → $570 → $2.4k → $299 → $240 (still earning) → $2.7k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Gun Customization + Magic: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 35
Bottom 30% $239 (exactly $239)
Median $449 (exactly $449)
Top 25% $4.5k (exactly $4,496)
Top 5% $127k (exactly $127,078)
Developers, 2 yr 35
Released games 66
Announced 46
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $6.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 75% on the market, supply 50% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 11%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Gun Customization
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Magic
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Gun Customization; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Roguelite, Action Roguelike
Price point
$6.99 typical · top 25% priced $16.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Top-Down, Pixel Graphics, 2D
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $16.99 or above; the middle game at $6.99.

The top 10 games average 82% positive over 2,253 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $240, median $450, 1 in 4 over $4.4k, 1 in 20 over $120k.

3 in 10 developers made under $240. 8 in 10 of the 14 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 46 games are announced against 21 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.2 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Gun Customization with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Tower DefenseFair26 devs · median $958 · 32 announced
  2. + DystopianPoor odds16 devs · median $51k · 58 announced
  3. + Immersive SimPoor odds12 devs · median $25k · 44 announced
  4. + BuildingPoor odds13 devs · median $16k · 39 announced
  5. + Survival HorrorPoor odds26 devs · median $14k · 55 announced
  6. + ModernPoor odds18 devs · median $14k · 38 announced
  7. + MilitaryPoor odds50 devs · median $13k · 126 announced
  8. + StealthPoor odds20 devs · median $13k · 63 announced
  9. + Co-opPoor odds31 devs · median $11k · 92 announced
  10. + MechsPoor odds12 devs · median $11k · 32 announced
  11. + Resource ManagementPoor odds28 devs · median $11k · 71 announced
  12. + Base BuildingPoor odds23 devs · median $9.1k · 64 announced

All 93 pairs on the Gun Customization page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Project Warlock II 2025 · $628k Machick 2 2025 · $127k LEVEL UP 80 2024 · $119k 异变战区 E.E.R.I.E 2021 · $92k Machick 2024 · $44k
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Project Warlock II $16.99 1,233 80% 37k $628k (exactly $628,460) Buckshot Software
Machick 2 $6.99 606 88% 18k $127k (exactly $127,078) DeadPixel
LEVEL UP 80 older $39.99 99 79% 3.0k $119k (exactly $118,770) Galactic Geckon
异变战区 E.E.R.I.E older $6.99 441 79% 13k $92k (exactly $92,478) Ureasoft
Machick older $6.99 208 84% 6.2k $44k (exactly $43,618) DeadPixel
REMEDIUM · EA older $17.99 68 66% 2.0k $37k (exactly $36,700) Sobaka Studio
Runehaven $9.99 119 91% 3.6k $36k (exactly $35,664) Cikoria Studio
Arcane Assembly older $7.99 134 72% 4.0k $32k (exactly $32,120) Isaac Lee
Nurose · EA older $9.99 90 87% 2.7k $27k (exactly $26,973) Orongto
Spellshot older $9.99 76 69% 2.3k $23k (exactly $22,777) Team Monumental
Wandness: WandCraft Survivor $6.99 107 74% 3.2k $22k (exactly $22,438) Knight Owl Games, Binary Lunar
Ascendant $9.99 47 70% 1.4k $14k (exactly $14,086) Imagisphere
Hell Survivors · EA $7.99 38 55% 1.1k $9.1k (exactly $9,109) Aerilon
Wish Me Well · EA $4.99 60 81% 1.8k $9.0k (exactly $8,982) Starrow Castles
Magical Hellhound Lust · EA $19.99 13 53% 390 $7.8k (exactly $7,796) Mildaponno
Vesperia Bononia $9.99 15 100% 450 $4.5k (exactly $4,496) Power Up Team
Alchemickal $5.99 15 93% 450 $2.7k (exactly $2,696) rodbot

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.