Do I ship it?

Games › Gun Customization › Gun Customization + Loot

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Gun Customization Loot game?

Gun Customization + Loot

Only 19 developers shipped a Gun Customization Loot game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Road to Vostok, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 77 more are announced, ×6.4 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $7.9k, ×13 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $2.1k; 1 in 20 cleared $5.1M, ×8256 the market median. Revenue is down 45% on the market; 77 games are announced against 12 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 12.6 times the market baseline, revenue down 45% on the market, 77 announced, ×6.4 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Gun Customization + Loot
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 19
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $4.3k → $1.3k → $14k → $14k → $7.9k → $31k (still earning) → $3.0k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Gun Customization + Loot: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 19
Bottom 30% $2.1k (exactly $2,097)
Median $7.9k (exactly $7,910)
Top 25% $46k (exactly $46,183)
Top 5% $5.2M (exactly $5,185,006)
Developers, 2 yr 19
Released games 53
Announced 77
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 45% on the market, supply 70% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 9%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Gun Customization
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Loot
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Gun Customization, Loot; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Looter Shooter, Survival, Action
Price point
$9.99 typical · top 25% priced $24.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Atmospheric, Realistic, Story Rich
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $24.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.

The top 10 games average 83% positive over 9,609 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $2.1k, median $7.9k, 1 in 4 over $46k, 1 in 20 over $5.1M.

3 in 10 developers made under $2.1k. 6 in 10 of the 7 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 77 games are announced against 12 developers who shipped in the last year, ×6.4 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Gun Customization with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Tower DefenseFair26 devs · median $958 · 32 announced
  2. + DystopianPoor odds16 devs · median $51k · 58 announced
  3. + Immersive SimPoor odds12 devs · median $25k · 44 announced
  4. + BuildingPoor odds13 devs · median $16k · 39 announced
  5. + Survival HorrorPoor odds26 devs · median $14k · 55 announced
  6. + ModernPoor odds18 devs · median $14k · 38 announced
  7. + MilitaryPoor odds50 devs · median $13k · 126 announced
  8. + StealthPoor odds20 devs · median $13k · 63 announced
  9. + Co-opPoor odds31 devs · median $11k · 92 announced
  10. + MechsPoor odds12 devs · median $11k · 32 announced
  11. + Resource ManagementPoor odds28 devs · median $11k · 71 announced
  12. + Base BuildingPoor odds23 devs · median $9.1k · 64 announced

All 93 pairs on the Gun Customization page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Road to Vostok 2026 · EA · $5.2M Killsquad 2021 · $2.6M Anima : The Reign of Darkness 2021 · $220k Nightmare Frontier 2026 · $140k Marooners 2016 · $88k
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Road to Vostok · EA $19.99 8,646 84% 259k $5.2M (exactly $5,185,006) Road to Vostok Ltd.
Killsquad older $29.99 2,839 71% 85k $2.6M (exactly $2,554,248) Novarama
Anima : The Reign of Darkness older $11.99 613 69% 18k $220k (exactly $220,496) Redeev
Nightmare Frontier $24.99 187 69% 5.6k $140k (exactly $140,194) Ice Code Games
Marooners older $9.99 293 61% 8.8k $88k (exactly $87,812) M2H
Dustland · EA $22.99 100 69% 3.0k $69k (exactly $68,970) RedPad Games
Atomic Exile · EA $14.99 120 79% 3.6k $54k (exactly $53,964) Inferno Muse Interactive
Sector Six older $8.00 223 93% 6.7k $54k (exactly $53,520) V3663L
Chop Chains $5.99 257 77% 7.7k $46k (exactly $46,183) Blasted Games
Trident's Wake older $14.99 82 42% 2.5k $37k (exactly $36,875) Bacus Studios
Cosmos point $12.99 79 79% 2.4k $31k (exactly $30,786) Anatoliy Sidorov
Wandness: WandCraft Survivor $6.99 107 74% 3.2k $22k (exactly $22,438) Knight Owl Games, Binary Lunar
Seven Cities · EA $14.99 32 87% 960 $14k (exactly $14,390) IMV Studio
Deadtime Defenders $9.99 48 79% 1.4k $14k (exactly $14,386) Arcane Embers
No Time For Pants $7.99 33 84% 990 $7.9k (exactly $7,910) Pixel Push Inc

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.