Do I ship it?

GamesGun CustomizationGun Customization + Local Multiplayer

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Gun Customization Local Multiplayer game?

Gun Customization + Local Multiplayer

Only 10 developers shipped a Gun Customization Local Multiplayer game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Iron Meat, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 17 more are announced, ×2.8 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.5k, ×2.3 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $210; 1 in 20 cleared $580k, ×938 the market median. Revenue is down 90% on the market; 17 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 2.3 times the market baseline, revenue down 90% on the market, 17 announced, ×2.8 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Gun Customization + Local Multiplayer
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 10
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $1.8k → $150 → $719 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Gun Customization + Local Multiplayer: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 10
Bottom 30% $210 (exactly $210)
Median $1.5k (exactly $1,468)
Top 25% $7.8k (exactly $7,796)
Top 5% $589k (exactly $588,905)
Developers, 2 yr 10
Released games 28
Announced 17
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $7.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 90% on the market, supply 50% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 32%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Gun Customization
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Local Multiplayer
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Gun Customization, Local Multiplayer
Price point
$7.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 9 games average 95% positive over 1,042 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $210, median $1.5k, 1 in 4 over $7.7k, 1 in 20 over $580k.

3 in 10 developers made under $210. 8 in 10 of the 6 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 17 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.8 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Gun Customization with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Tower DefenseFair26 devs · median $958 · 32 announced
  2. + DystopianPoor odds16 devs · median $51k · 58 announced
  3. + Immersive SimPoor odds12 devs · median $25k · 44 announced
  4. + BuildingPoor odds13 devs · median $16k · 39 announced
  5. + Survival HorrorPoor odds26 devs · median $14k · 55 announced
  6. + ModernPoor odds18 devs · median $14k · 38 announced
  7. + MilitaryPoor odds50 devs · median $13k · 126 announced
  8. + StealthPoor odds20 devs · median $13k · 63 announced
  9. + Co-opPoor odds31 devs · median $11k · 92 announced
  10. + MechsPoor odds12 devs · median $11k · 32 announced
  11. + Resource ManagementPoor odds28 devs · median $11k · 71 announced
  12. + Base BuildingPoor odds23 devs · median $9.1k · 64 announced

All 93 pairs on the Gun Customization page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Iron Meat $19.99 982 96% 29k $589k (exactly $588,905) Ivan Valeryevich Suvorov, Retroware
Windowkill older $4.99 3,390 95% 102k $507k (exactly $507,483) torcado
Containment Initiative older $9.99 496 89% 15k $149k (exactly $148,651) Gwyn Games LLC
Marooners older $9.99 293 61% 8.8k $88k (exactly $87,812) M2H
It came from space and ate our brains older $9.99 167 79% 5.0k $50k (exactly $50,050) Triangle Studios
BOXHEAD:Immortal · EA older $4.99 132 75% 4.0k $20k (exactly $19,760) Fire Source Studio, Sean Cooper
M.O.O.D.S. $12.99 29 82% 870 $11k (exactly $11,301) StickyStoneStudio
Magical Hellhound Lust · EA $19.99 13 53% 390 $7.8k (exactly $7,796) Mildaponno
GraveRun · EA older $7.99 13 100% 390 $3.1k (exactly $3,116) W@ Games
Assault Commander Rearmed $11.99 5 80% 150 $1.8k (exactly $1,798) VTDev Informatikai Kft.
Ashes of Ambition $6.99 7 28% 210 $1.5k (exactly $1,468) HiddenGem Studio
Card Maker Simulator $7.99 3 100% 90 $719 (exactly $719) Níkolas Santos
TUBx Tactical · EA $6.99 1 100% 30 $210 (exactly $210) Moose Byte Studio
Blitz Smash Ultimate $4.99 1 100% 30 $150 (exactly $150) Matt Concepts
Fortune Crafter $3.99 1 100% 30 $120 (exactly $120) VIKTOR LUBIANSKII
Sweet Chaos $2.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Eigen-Kreationen Game Studios

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.