Do I ship it?

GamesGun CustomizationGun Customization + Local Co-Op

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Gun Customization Local Co-Op game?

Gun Customization + Local Co-Op

Only 11 developers shipped a Gun Customization Local Co-Op game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Iron Meat, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 17 more are announced, ×2.8 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.3k, ×2.1 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $600; 1 in 20 cleared $580k, ×938 the market median. Revenue is down 90% on the market; 17 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 2.1 times the market baseline, revenue down 90% on the market, 17 announced, ×2.8 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Gun Customization + Local Co-Op
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 11
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $5.1k → $20k → $11k → $719 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Gun Customization + Local Co-Op: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 11
Bottom 30% $599 (exactly $599)
Median $1.3k (exactly $1,347)
Top 25% $11k (exactly $11,301)
Top 5% $589k (exactly $588,905)
Developers, 2 yr 11
Released games 35
Announced 17
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $7.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 90% on the market, supply 20% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 6%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Gun Customization
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Local Co-Op
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Gun Customization, Local Co-Op
Price point
$7.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 9 games average 94% positive over 1,155 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $600, median $1.3k, 1 in 4 over $11k, 1 in 20 over $580k.

3 in 10 developers made under $600. 9 in 10 of the 7 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 17 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.8 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Gun Customization with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Tower DefenseFair26 devs · median $958 · 32 announced
  2. + DystopianPoor odds16 devs · median $51k · 58 announced
  3. + Immersive SimPoor odds12 devs · median $25k · 44 announced
  4. + BuildingPoor odds13 devs · median $16k · 39 announced
  5. + Survival HorrorPoor odds26 devs · median $14k · 55 announced
  6. + ModernPoor odds18 devs · median $14k · 38 announced
  7. + MilitaryPoor odds50 devs · median $13k · 126 announced
  8. + StealthPoor odds20 devs · median $13k · 63 announced
  9. + Co-opPoor odds31 devs · median $11k · 92 announced
  10. + MechsPoor odds12 devs · median $11k · 32 announced
  11. + Resource ManagementPoor odds28 devs · median $11k · 71 announced
  12. + Base BuildingPoor odds23 devs · median $9.1k · 64 announced

All 93 pairs on the Gun Customization page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
MADNESS: Project Nexus older $24.99 15,977 97% 479k $12M (exactly $11,977,957) GIBBING TREE, LLC
Spellmasons older $19.99 1,122 91% 34k $673k (exactly $672,863) Octavia Blue
Iron Meat $19.99 982 96% 29k $589k (exactly $588,905) Ivan Valeryevich Suvorov, Retroware
Windowkill older $4.99 3,390 95% 102k $507k (exactly $507,483) torcado
Containment Initiative older $9.99 496 89% 15k $149k (exactly $148,651) Gwyn Games LLC
Marooners older $9.99 293 61% 8.8k $88k (exactly $87,812) M2H
ZCREW older $6.99 333 51% 10k $70k (exactly $69,830) Emotion Studio
It came from space and ate our brains older $9.99 167 79% 5.0k $50k (exactly $50,050) Triangle Studios
Containment Initiative 2 $14.99 89 85% 2.7k $40k (exactly $40,023) Gwyn Games LLC
Trident's Wake older $14.99 82 42% 2.5k $37k (exactly $36,875) Bacus Studios
M.O.O.D.S. $12.99 29 82% 870 $11k (exactly $11,301) StickyStoneStudio
Magical Hellhound Lust · EA $19.99 13 53% 390 $7.8k (exactly $7,796) Mildaponno
Gunswitch · EA $7.99 25 64% 750 $6.0k (exactly $5,992) Wicked Tavern
Sphere Fight $4.99 9 100% 270 $1.3k (exactly $1,347) Markus Karl Stöcker
Card Maker Simulator $7.99 3 100% 90 $719 (exactly $719) Níkolas Santos
BattleTanks - Animal Wars $4.99 4 100% 120 $599 (exactly $599) Kasur Games
Blitz Smash Ultimate $4.99 1 100% 30 $150 (exactly $150) Matt Concepts
Sweet Chaos $2.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Eigen-Kreationen Game Studios

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.