Do I ship it?

Games › Stealth › Stealth + Grid-Based Movement

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Grid-Based Movement Stealth game?

Stealth + Grid-Based Movement

Only 10 developers shipped a Grid-Based Movement Stealth game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Shadowed: The Demon Castle of Ooe, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 21 more are announced, ×4.2 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.4k, ×2.3 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $180; 1 in 20 cleared $26k, ×43 the market median. Revenue is down 90% on the market; 21 games are announced against 5 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 2.3 times the market baseline, revenue down 90% on the market, 21 announced, ×4.2 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Stealth + Grid-Based Movement
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 10

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for Stealth + Grid-Based Movement: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 10
Bottom 30% $180 (exactly $180)
Median $1.4k (exactly $1,438)
Top 25% $2.7k (exactly $2,726)
Top 5% $27k (exactly $26,863)
Developers, 2 yr 10
Released games 43
Announced 21
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $6.00

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 90% on the market, supply as many developers as the period before.

Free games: 26%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Stealth
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Grid-Based Movement
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Stealth, Grid-Based Movement
Price point
$6.00 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 8 games average 92% positive over 107 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $180, median $1.4k, 1 in 4 over $2.7k, 1 in 20 over $26k.

3 in 10 developers made under $180. All of the 8 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 21 games are announced against 5 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.2 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Stealth with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + JRPGFair7 devs · median $1.3k · 12 announced
  2. + World War IIPoor odds11 devs · median $43k · 14 announced
  3. + LGBTQ+Poor odds19 devs · median $30k · 30 announced
  4. + Turn-Based CombatPoor odds8 devs · median $27k · 31 announced
  5. + WargamePoor odds10 devs · median $21k · 39 announced
  6. + DinosaursPoor odds10 devs · median $17k · 23 announced
  7. + Gun CustomizationPoor odds20 devs · median $13k · 63 announced
  8. + Base BuildingPoor odds21 devs · median $13k · 57 announced
  9. + Cold WarPoor odds7 devs · median $10k · 31 announced
  10. + HistoricalPoor odds32 devs · median $9.6k · 76 announced
  11. + MilitaryPoor odds43 devs · median $8.5k · 122 announced
  12. + WarPoor odds30 devs · median $7.6k · 89 announced

All 159 pairs on the Stealth page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Classified: France '44 2024 · $1.0M Capes 2024 · $535k Larcin Lazer 2023 · $72k Felix The Reaper 2019 · $65k The Infinite Black 2 2023 · $42k
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Classified: France '44 older $39.99 844 70% 25k $1.0M (exactly $1,012,547) Absolutely Games
Capes older $39.99 446 67% 13k $535k (exactly $535,066) Spitfire Interactive
Larcin Lazer older $9.99 241 99% 7.2k $72k (exactly $72,228) Tambouille, Géraud Zucchini
Felix The Reaper older $9.99 217 80% 6.5k $65k (exactly $65,035) Kong Orange
The Infinite Black 2 older $6.99 201 87% 6.0k $42k (exactly $42,150) Spellbook
Swords and Sorcery - Underworld - Definitive Edition older $9.99 93 72% 2.8k $28k (exactly $27,872) OlderBytes
Shadowed: The Demon Castle of Ooe $15.99 56 92% 1.7k $27k (exactly $26,863) Lab Rabbit Games ltd
ASCIILL older $8.99 61 93% 1.8k $16k (exactly $16,452) Andrei Fomin
Obscurant older $14.99 20 100% 600 $9.0k (exactly $8,994) King Brick Games
Get Ogre It older $11.99 19 68% 570 $6.8k (exactly $6,834) Nintai Studios
NULLPTR $14.99 12 100% 360 $5.4k (exactly $5,396) Jeferson Silva
One More Button $6.99 13 84% 390 $2.7k (exactly $2,726) Tommy Kjær
Assassinvisible $6.99 10 100% 300 $2.1k (exactly $2,097) Club Tartine
Hush Hush High $5.99 8 87% 240 $1.4k (exactly $1,438) Bablabo Games, Hritik Dutta, Anushka Ka… (Bablabo Games, Hritik Dutta, Anushka Karmakar, Nimish Rohankar)
Escape The MonStalkers! $4.99 6 83% 180 $898 (exactly $898) Protox Studio
Atlas Zone $6.00 1 100% 30 $180 (exactly $180) StoneBreaker Studios
Sexy Steamy Girls $3.99 1 100% 30 $120 (exactly $120) Kiko
エスケープ・ザ・ホラースクール $1.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) AB_Left
Voluntary Isolation $5.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) AkadTheFox

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.