Games › Sandbox › Sandbox + Gothic
Should I ship a Gothic Sandbox?
Sandbox + Gothic
Only 9 developers shipped a Gothic Sandbox in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Vampires: Bloodlord Rising, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 20 more are announced, ×2.5 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $1.3k, ×2.1 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $50; 1 in 20 cleared $970k, ×1558 the market median. Momentum is unreadable here, too few recent games; 20 games are announced against 8 developers who shipped in the last year.
not enough cohorts to draw
| Bottom 30% | $0 (exactly $0) |
|---|---|
| Median | $1.3k (exactly $1,317) |
| Top 25% | $25k (exactly $24,689) |
| Top 5% | $978k (exactly $978,111) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 9 |
| Released games | 27 |
| Announced | 20 |
| Effort | 6 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $4.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply 700% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 7%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
What it takes
- Effort
- 6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
- Systems
- Sandbox
- Price point
- $4.99 typical
Why players buy here
Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.
The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $8.99.
The top 10 games average 81% positive over 27,400 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $50. 20 games are announced against 8 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.5 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Sandbox with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + FightingStrong odds
- + Turn-BasedFair
- + World War IIFair
- + MinigamesFair
- + ProgrammingFair
- + CatsFair
- + SportsFair
- + GamblingFair
- + Auto BattlerFair
- + Combat RacingFair
- + Trading Card GameFair
- + IdlerFair
Comparable games
Gothic® 3 2009 · $5.5M 
Risen 2009 · $3.5M 
Risen 3 - Titan Lords 2014 · $2.0M 
Risen 2: Dark Waters 2012 · $1.1M 
Vampires: Bloodlord Rising 2026 · EA · $978k | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Gothic® 3 | older | $19.99 | 9,088 80% | 273k | $5.5M (exactly $5,450,074) | Piranha Bytes |
| | Risen | older | $14.99 | 7,878 89% | 236k | $3.5M (exactly $3,542,737) | Piranha Bytes, THQ Nordic |
| | Risen 3 - Titan Lords | older | $14.99 | 4,403 73% | 132k | $2.0M (exactly $1,980,029) | Piranha Bytes |
| | Risen 2: Dark Waters | older | $9.99 | 3,533 80% | 106k | $1.1M (exactly $1,058,840) | Piranha Bytes |
| | Vampires: Bloodlord Rising | · EA | $19.99 | 1,631 70% | 49k | $978k (exactly $978,111) | Mehuman Games |
 | Erannorth Chronicles | older | $20.99 | 407 85% | 12k | $256k (exactly $256,288) | Spyridon Thalassinos |
 | Noch | older | $9.99 | 252 78% | 7.6k | $76k (exactly $75,524) | Fair Games Studio, Noostyche |
 | Claymores of the Lost Kingdom | $9.99 | 83 67% | 2.5k | $25k (exactly $24,875) | Ultaan Games | |
 | The Story Page | · EA | $7.99 | 103 78% | 3.1k | $25k (exactly $24,689) | SPR-Games |
 | CASTILLO: The Nine Circles | older | $9.99 | 22 100% | 660 | $6.6k (exactly $6,593) | Jackson Clayton |
 | Assassin Of Goblin | $3.99 | 12 66% | 360 | $1.4k (exactly $1,436) | Saylor Games | |
 | Scribed castle | $3.99 | 11 90% | 330 | $1.3k (exactly $1,317) | Marginalact | |
 | Worm in horror place | $4.99 | 2 50% | 60 | $299 (exactly $299) | DIG Games | |
 | Sad Virus Darkland | $2.99 | 0 0% | 0 | $0 (exactly $0) | Kendall Studios, Valkeala Software | |
 | Jack Bonecroft 4 | $12.99 | 0 0% | 0 | $0 (exactly $0) | Galactic Tenebris Company | |
 | Super Clown Spookyland | $2.99 | 0 0% | 0 | $0 (exactly $0) | Valkeala Software |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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