Should I ship a Gothic PvP game?
PvP + Gothic
Only 11 developers shipped a Gothic PvP game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Terrordrome - Reign of the Legends, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 30 more are announced, ×3.8 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 8 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $450, ×0.3 the market's $1.5k for a 8 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $200. 30 games are announced against 8 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.8 per shipper, while revenue is up 140% on the market.
not enough cohorts to draw
| Bottom 30% | $200 (exactly $200) |
|---|---|
| Median | $449 (exactly $449) |
| Top 25% | $17k (exactly $16,539) |
| Top 5% | $101k (exactly $100,750) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 11 |
| Released games | 36 |
| Announced | 30 |
| Effort | 8 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Low |
| Typical price | $4.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 140% on the market, supply 165% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 39%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.
What it takes
- Effort
- 8 / 10 · online systems, open world
- Systems
- PvP
- Price point
- $4.99 typical
Why players buy here
The top 10 games average 71% positive over 366 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $200. 30 games are announced against 8 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.8 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
PvP with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + BaseballFair
- + TransportationFair
- + BasketballFair
- + Football (American)Fair
- + BikesFair
- + GolfFair
- + World War IFair
- + IncrementalFair
- + BilliardsFair
- + TennisLong shot
- + TypingLong shot
- + SpellingLong shot
Comparable games
| Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Terrordrome - Reign of the Legends | $19.99 | 168 72% | 5.0k | $101k (exactly $100,750) | Huracan Studio | |
| | Fury of Dracula: Digital Edition | older | $12.99 | 213 72% | 6.4k | $83k (exactly $83,006) | Nomad Games |
| | Stones Keeper: Director's Cut | older | $16.99 | 105 71% | 3.2k | $54k (exactly $53,518) | SK Team |
| | Holy Purge : Exorcist | older | $9.99 | 168 69% | 5.0k | $50k (exactly $50,350) | Celeritas Games |
| | The Story Page | · EA | $7.99 | 103 78% | 3.1k | $25k (exactly $24,689) | SPR-Games |
| | Summoner's Gambit | $7.99 | 69 52% | 2.1k | $17k (exactly $16,539) | Billion Studio | |
| | Vampire Slayer: The Resurrection | older | $4.99 | 78 65% | 2.3k | $12k (exactly $11,677) | Wobbly Tooth |
| | Bloodbound: Vampire Hunters | · EA older | $14.99 | 18 88% | 540 | $8.1k (exactly $8,095) | Sketchy Realms |
| | Pick-a-Pocket | · EA older | $3.99 | 18 100% | 540 | $2.2k (exactly $2,155) | Amythica, Stout Heart Games |
| | Haunted Tower: Tower Defense | older | $3.99 | 11 72% | 330 | $1.3k (exactly $1,317) | morion4000 |
| | KNOCKOFF | $2.99 | 11 90% | 330 | $987 (exactly $987) | PLUSHCATBOY | |
| | Problematic | $4.99 | 4 100% | 120 | $599 (exactly $599) | Galactrex Studios | |
| | Dalafri | $4.99 | 3 100% | 90 | $449 (exactly $449) | Y.Kageyama | |
| | Ars Vox Arcana | · EA | $9.99 | 1 100% | 30 | $300 (exactly $300) | CoralHeavens |
| | 666 Malevolence Lane | $6.66 | 1 100% | 30 | $200 (exactly $200) | Bearly_A_Studio | |
| | Halls of the damned | $0.99 | 4 25% | 120 | $119 (exactly $119) | Team EX | |
| | Last Dance | $0.99 | 2 100% | 60 | $59 (exactly $59) | Maybe Magpie |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
Your address goes to Buttondown, which sends the letter, and nowhere else. Every issue has an unsubscribe link. No tracking beyond the open count Buttondown keeps.