Should I ship a PvP God Game?
PvP + God Game
Only 6 developers shipped a PvP God Game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Mutant Football League 2, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 21 more are announced, ×5.3 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: dead, for a 8 / 10 build.
Only 4 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $1.2k against a market of $1.5k. 21 games are announced.
not enough cohorts to draw
| Bottom 30% | $300 (exactly $300) |
|---|---|
| Median | $1.2k (exactly $1,199) |
| Top 25% | $3.9k (exactly $3,896) |
| Top 5% | $101k (exactly $101,210) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 6 |
| Released games | 28 |
| Announced | 21 |
| Effort | 8 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Low |
| Typical price | $9.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply 100% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 29%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.
What it takes
- Effort
- 8 / 10 · online systems, open world
- Systems
- PvP, God Game
- Price point
- $9.99 typical
Why players buy here
Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.
The top 25% priced at $44.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.
The top 10 games average 73% positive over 5,445 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $300. 21 games are announced against 4 developers who shipped in the last year, ×5.3 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
PvP with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + BaseballFair
- + TransportationFair
- + BasketballFair
- + Football (American)Fair
- + BikesFair
- + GolfFair
- + World War IFair
- + IncrementalFair
- + BilliardsFair
- + TennisLong shot
- + TypingLong shot
- + SpellingLong shot
Comparable games
| Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Dominions 6 - Rise of the Pantokrator | older | $44.99 | 1,686 90% | 51k | $2.3M (exactly $2,275,594) | Illwinter Game Design |
| | The Settlers: New Allies | older | $39.99 | 1,175 49% | 35k | $1.4M (exactly $1,409,648) | Ubisoft Düsseldorf |
| | Driftland: The Magic Revival | older | $19.99 | 1,439 73% | 43k | $863k (exactly $862,968) | Star Drifters |
| | Vade Retro : Exorcist | older | $6.99 | 921 70% | 28k | $193k (exactly $193,134) | Forceight |
| | Mutant Football League 2 | $24.99 | 135 73% | 4.1k | $101k (exactly $101,210) | Digital Dreams Entertainment | |
| | Automata Empire | older | $8.99 | 48 66% | 1.4k | $13k (exactly $12,946) | Nonadecimal Creative |
| | Crazy Soccer: Football Stars | older | $9.99 | 18 88% | 540 | $5.4k (exactly $5,395) | HeroLabs |
| | The Dunkers | $9.99 | 13 92% | 390 | $3.9k (exactly $3,896) | UO 5 rusa | |
| | Ultimate Destruction Simulator | older | $19.99 | 3 33% | 90 | $1.8k (exactly $1,799) | KreizLand Games |
| | Gerritory | older | $7.99 | 7 85% | 210 | $1.7k (exactly $1,678) | Party Goose, Digital Crafter |
| | GoodGod | $9.99 | 4 75% | 120 | $1.2k (exactly $1,199) | Malte Lehmann | |
| | Meow Box City | $7.99 | 3 100% | 90 | $719 (exactly $719) | Bobo Interactive | |
| | KOLOSS | · EA | $9.99 | 1 100% | 30 | $300 (exactly $300) | Breakpoint One, Simmation |
| | ELECTION DAY!!! | $5.99 | 0 0% | 0 | $0 (exactly $0) | MysticsDen |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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