Do I ship it?

GamesIdlerIdler + Futuristic

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Futuristic Idler?

Idler + Futuristic

Of 92 developers who shipped a Futuristic Idler in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 121 more are announced.

Verdict: fair, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $900, ×1.9 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, with 3 in 10 under $420. Revenue is up 185% on the market; 121 games are announced against 69 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.9 times the market baseline, revenue up 185% on the market, 121 announced, ×1.8 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Idler + Futuristic
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 92
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $597 → $898 → $1.3k → $1.6k → $776 → $1.0k → $1.2k (still earning) → $1.2k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Idler + Futuristic: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 92
Bottom 30% $419 (exactly $419)
Median $898 (exactly $898)
Top 25% $4.0k (exactly $4,039)
Top 5% $26k (exactly $26,255)
Developers, 2 yr 92
Released games 188
Announced 121
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 185% on the market, supply 190% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 17%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Idler
effort 1 / 10 · high · number growth curves and a UI
Futuristic
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Idler; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Incremental, Simulation, Strategy
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $8.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Relaxing, Minimalist
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $8.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 89% positive over 4,637 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $420, median $900, 1 in 4 over $4.0k, 1 in 20 over $26k.

3 in 10 developers made under $420. 8 in 10 of the 29 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 121 games are announced against 69 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Idler with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + FMVStrong odds10 devs · median $36k · 10 announced
  2. + FarmingStrong odds33 devs · median $5.9k · 25 announced
  3. + Hack and SlashFair32 devs · median $6.4k · 50 announced
  4. + DrivingFair16 devs · median $5.5k · 18 announced
  5. + LootFair181 devs · median $4.5k · 256 announced
  6. + FPSFair22 devs · median $4.2k · 23 announced
  7. + Turn-Based CombatFair52 devs · median $4.0k · 41 announced
  8. + Turn-Based StrategyFair50 devs · median $3.6k · 45 announced
  9. + Dynamic NarrationFair16 devs · median $3.0k · 17 announced
  10. + Dark FantasyFair83 devs · median $2.9k · 128 announced
  11. + CapitalismFair205 devs · median $2.9k · 260 announced
  12. + SwordplayFair9 devs · median $2.7k · 4 announced

All 177 pairs on the Idler page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Nodebuster older $2.99 13,852 97% 416k $1.2M (exactly $1,242,524) Goblobin
Desktop Defender $4.99 1,757 92% 53k $263k (exactly $263,023) Conradical Games
Widget Inc. $4.99 761 84% 23k $114k (exactly $113,922) Leaping Turtle
FEED THE AI $5.99 557 90% 17k $100k (exactly $100,093) Weird Kid Games
CYBRID · EA older $14.99 139 89% 4.2k $63k (exactly $62,508) Tom Reason
Gachi Heroes older $0.99 1,708 93% 51k $51k (exactly $50,728) GachiSoft
LUST Company 👾 $9.99 155 65% 4.7k $46k (exactly $46,454) Taboo Tales 💘
Astrodle older $5.99 226 88% 6.8k $41k (exactly $40,612) Robin Nicolet
Cybersex: Lust Story older $9.99 111 74% 3.3k $33k (exactly $33,267) Octo Games
CyberTD older $19.99 50 66% 1.5k $30k (exactly $29,985) Clockwork Origins
Deep Space Cache $0.99 884 90% 27k $26k (exactly $26,255) Monu
BastionOS $3.30 173 97% 5.2k $17k (exactly $17,127) Feral Paw
Xenosensory $2.99 161 93% 4.8k $14k (exactly $14,442) caiys
Sporbs $4.99 92 78% 2.8k $14k (exactly $13,772) Who Nose Studios
Yet Another Incremental Game (but this time about coding) · EA $7.99 39 71% 1.2k $9.3k (exactly $9,348) Raclette Games
Terraforming Titans $5.00 58 94% 1.7k $8.7k (exactly $8,700) terraforming.titans

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.