Do I ship it?

Games › Gun Customization › Gun Customization + Futuristic

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Futuristic Gun Customization game?

Gun Customization + Futuristic

Of 43 developers who shipped a Futuristic Gun Customization game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 122 more are announced, ×4.9 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.2k, ×1.9 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $300; 1 in 20 cleared $2.7M, ×4452 the market median. Revenue is up 80% on the market; 122 games are announced against 25 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.9 times the market baseline, revenue up 80% on the market, 122 announced, ×4.9 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Gun Customization + Futuristic
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 43
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $5.1k → $446 → $3.0k → $1.2k → $2.1k → $14k → $1.3k (still earning) → $959 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Gun Customization + Futuristic: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 43
Bottom 30% $299 (exactly $299)
Median $1.2k (exactly $1,198)
Top 25% $14k (exactly $14,390)
Top 5% $2.8M (exactly $2,795,631)
Developers, 2 yr 43
Released games 147
Announced 122
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $7.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 80% on the market, supply 30% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 14%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Gun Customization
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Futuristic
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Gun Customization; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Shooter, FPS
Price point
$7.99 typical · top 25% priced $29.99 or above
Art
6 in 10 of the top 25% ship with First-Person
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $29.99 or above; the middle game at $7.99.

The top 10 games average 78% positive over 58,038 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $300, median $1.2k, 1 in 4 over $14k, 1 in 20 over $2.7M.

3 in 10 developers made under $300. 8 in 10 of the 24 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 122 games are announced against 25 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.9 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Gun Customization with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Tower DefenseFair26 devs · median $958 · 32 announced
  2. + DystopianPoor odds16 devs · median $51k · 58 announced
  3. + Immersive SimPoor odds12 devs · median $25k · 44 announced
  4. + BuildingPoor odds13 devs · median $16k · 39 announced
  5. + Survival HorrorPoor odds26 devs · median $14k · 55 announced
  6. + ModernPoor odds18 devs · median $14k · 38 announced
  7. + MilitaryPoor odds50 devs · median $13k · 126 announced
  8. + StealthPoor odds20 devs · median $13k · 63 announced
  9. + Co-opPoor odds31 devs · median $11k · 92 announced
  10. + MechsPoor odds12 devs · median $11k · 32 announced
  11. + Resource ManagementPoor odds28 devs · median $11k · 71 announced
  12. + Base BuildingPoor odds23 devs · median $9.1k · 64 announced

All 93 pairs on the Gun Customization page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Marathon 2026 · $54M Call of Duty®: Black Ops 7 2025 · $9.1M Tom Clancy's Ghost Recon: Future Soldier™ 2012 · $3.3M Pistol Whip 2019 · $3.2M M.A.S.S. Builder 2025 · $2.8M
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Marathon $39.99 44,919 81% 1.3M $54M (exactly $53,889,324) Bungie
Call of Duty®: Black Ops 7 $69.99 4,344 37% 130k $9.1M (exactly $9,121,097) Treyarch, Raven Software, Beenox, High… (Treyarch, Raven Software, Beenox, High Moon Studios, Sledgehammer Games, Infinity Ward, Activision Shanghai, Demonware)
Tom Clancy's Ghost Recon: Future Soldier™ older $19.99 5,506 71% 165k $3.3M (exactly $3,301,948) Ubisoft Paris, Red Storm Entertainment
Pistol Whip older $29.99 3,586 94% 108k $3.2M (exactly $3,226,324) Cloudhead Games Ltd.
M.A.S.S. Builder $24.99 3,729 85% 112k $2.8M (exactly $2,795,631) Vermillion Digital
VOID/BREAKER · EA $29.99 2,506 91% 75k $2.3M (exactly $2,254,648) Stubby Games
Breachers™ older $19.99 1,368 83% 41k $820k (exactly $820,390) Triangle Factory
Hubris older $29.99 819 74% 25k $737k (exactly $736,854) Cyborn B.V.
Out of Action · EA $19.99 916 77% 27k $549k (exactly $549,325) Doku Games LTD
Transience $19.99 774 69% 23k $464k (exactly $464,168) RESURGENT
Roboquest VR $29.99 395 87% 12k $355k (exactly $355,382) Flat2VR Studios, RyseUp Studios
La Quimera · EA $29.99 167 51% 5.0k $150k (exactly $150,250) Reburn
Galactic Vault $19.99 155 90% 4.7k $93k (exactly $92,954) MeepMeep Games
Clockwork Ambrosia $19.99 133 84% 4.0k $80k (exactly $79,760) Realmsoft

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.