Games › Open World Survival Craft › Open World Survival Craft + FPS
Should I ship an FPS Open World Survival Craft?
Open World Survival Craft + FPS
Only 14 developers shipped an FPS Open World Survival Craft in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, SCUM, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 51 more are announced, ×8.5 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 9 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $80k, ×60 the market's $1.3k for a 9 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $30k; 1 in 20 cleared $130M, ×98752 the market median. Revenue is up 15% on the market; 51 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $30k (exactly $29,723) |
|---|---|
| Median | $80k (exactly $80,320) |
| Top 25% | $2.8M (exactly $2,829,984) |
| Top 5% | $133M (exactly $133,018,334) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 14 |
| Released games | 93 |
| Announced | 51 |
| Effort | 9 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Low |
| Typical price | $19.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 15% on the market, supply 25% fewer developers than the period before.
Free games: 12%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Open World Survival Craft
- effort 9 / 10 · low · dedicated multiplayer servers over a huge content build
- FPS
- effort 7 / 10 · low · effort 7 sits in the low band
What it takes
- Effort
- 9 / 10 · studio only
- Systems
- Open World Survival Craft, FPS; all of the top 25% also carry Online Co-Op, Sandbox, Survival
- Price point
- $19.99 typical · top 25% priced $44.99 or above
- Art
- 8 in 10 of the top 25% ship with First-Person, Realistic
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $44.99 or above; the middle game at $19.99.
The top 10 games average 79% positive over 182,382 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $30k. 3 in 10 of the 9 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 51 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year, ×8.5 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Open World Survival Craft with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + AutomationFair
- + Co-opPoor odds
- + Online Co-OpPoor odds
- + Immersive SimPoor odds
- + PhysicsPoor odds
- + Colony SimPoor odds
- + MedievalPoor odds
- + ShooterPoor odds
- + PvPPoor odds
- + Sci-fiPoor odds
- + Character CustomizationPoor odds
- + RPGPoor odds
Comparable games
Rust 2018 · $1.4B 
No Man's Sky 2016 · $567M 
7 Days to Die 2024 · $369M 
Dying Light 2015 · $280M 
SCUM 2025 · $133M | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Rust | older | $39.99 | 1,167,920 87% | 35M | $1.4B (exactly $1,401,153,624) | Facepunch Studios |
| | No Man's Sky | older | $59.99 | 315,054 83% | 9.5M | $567M (exactly $567,002,684) | Hello Games |
| | 7 Days to Die | older | $44.99 | 273,589 87% | 8.2M | $369M (exactly $369,263,073) | The Fun Pimps |
| | Dying Light | older | $24.99 | 373,413 95% | 11M | $280M (exactly $279,947,726) | Techland |
| | SCUM | $44.99 | 98,554 74% | 3.0M | $133M (exactly $133,018,334) | Gamepires | |
 | Abiotic Factor | $34.99 | 42,075 95% | 1.3M | $44M (exactly $44,166,128) | Deep Field Games | |
 | Far Cry® Primal | older | $29.99 | 38,798 86% | 1.2M | $35M (exactly $34,906,561) | Ubisoft |
 | Deadside | $24.99 | 34,560 76% | 1.0M | $26M (exactly $25,909,632) | Bad Pixel | |
 | Miscreated | older | $29.99 | 23,050 66% | 692k | $21M (exactly $20,738,085) | Entrada Interactive LLC |
 | Hurtworld | older | $24.99 | 23,631 76% | 709k | $18M (exactly $17,716,161) | Bankroll Studios |
 | Survive the Nights | $19.99 | 4,719 68% | 142k | $2.8M (exactly $2,829,984) | a2z Interactive | |
 | Lost Rift | · EA | $24.99 | 1,465 67% | 44k | $1.1M (exactly $1,098,310) | People Can Fly |
 | Afterinfection | $8.99 | 463 56% | 14k | $125k (exactly $124,871) | RePatrick21 | |
 | No Man's Home | · EA | $9.99 | 268 86% | 8.0k | $80k (exactly $80,320) | radrunner |
 | Horizon Journey | · EA | $12.99 | 81 22% | 2.4k | $32k (exactly $31,566) | Redivided Studios, REIN |
 | Crazy Islands | $13.99 | 73 68% | 2.2k | $31k (exactly $30,638) | Ge-Aivan | |
 | Mesorift Survival | · EA | $7.99 | 124 67% | 3.7k | $30k (exactly $29,723) | Meik.W Interactive |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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