Do I ship it?

GamesFootball (Soccer)Football (Soccer) + Turn-Based Tactics

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Turn-Based Tactics Football (Soccer) game?

Football (Soccer) + Turn-Based Tactics

Only 14 developers shipped a Turn-Based Tactics Football (Soccer) game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Pup Champs, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 30 more are announced, ×4.3 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 7 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $3.6k, ×2.4 the market's $1.5k for a 7 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $1.1k; 1 in 20 cleared $39k, ×26 the market median. Revenue is down 75% on the market; 30 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 2.4 times the market baseline, revenue down 75% on the market, 30 announced, ×4.3 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Football (Soccer) + Turn-Based Tactics
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 14
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $7.8k → $720 (still earning) → $3.6k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Football (Soccer) + Turn-Based Tactics: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 14
Bottom 30% $1.0k (exactly $1,048)
Median $3.6k (exactly $3,596)
Top 25% $7.9k (exactly $7,913)
Top 5% $39k (exactly $39,360)
Developers, 2 yr 14
Released games 35
Announced 30
Effort 7 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $8.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 75% on the market, supply as many developers as the period before.

Free games: 11%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Football (Soccer)
effort 7 / 10 · low · effort 7 sits in the low band
Turn-Based Tactics
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
Systems
Football (Soccer), Turn-Based Tactics; 8 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Sports, Strategy, Simulation
Price point
$8.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, 1990's, Cute
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $8.99.

The top 10 games average 91% positive over 281 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $1.1k, median $3.6k, 1 in 4 over $7.9k, 1 in 20 over $39k.

3 in 10 developers made under $1.1k. 9 in 10 of the 7 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 30 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.3 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Football (Soccer) with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Life SimFair10 devs · median $10k · 16 announced
  2. + EconomyFair21 devs · median $6.8k · 29 announced
  3. + Local MultiplayerLong shot32 devs · median $899 · 40 announced
  4. + Local Co-OpLong shot17 devs · median $839 · 22 announced
  5. + Football (American)Long shot15 devs · median $719 · 9 announced
  6. + ArcadeLong shot64 devs · median $539 · 84 announced
  7. + 4 Player LocalPoor odds14 devs · median $15k · 27 announced
  8. + Character CustomizationPoor odds32 devs · median $3.8k · 54 announced
  9. + AdventurePoor odds15 devs · median $3.3k · 13 announced
  10. + Resource ManagementPoor odds15 devs · median $3.1k · 30 announced
  11. + ManagementPoor odds47 devs · median $2.7k · 83 announced
  12. + StrategyPoor odds49 devs · median $1.6k · 84 announced

All 32 pairs on the Football (Soccer) page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Football, Tactics & Glory older $24.99 3,998 87% 120k $3.0M (exactly $2,997,301) Creoteam
GOAL! The Club Manager · EA older $29.99 364 33% 11k $327k (exactly $327,491) 2tainment
Goalgetter older $19.99 96 80% 2.9k $58k (exactly $57,571) netmin games
Club Manager 2016 older $19.99 66 50% 2.0k $40k (exactly $39,580) BigBlaze Games
Pup Champs $12.99 101 98% 3.0k $39k (exactly $39,360) Afterburn
Football Drama older $11.99 72 58% 2.2k $26k (exactly $25,898) Open Lab Games, Demigiant
Ganbare! Super Strikers older $9.99 85 85% 2.6k $25k (exactly $25,474) rese
Super Button Soccer older $6.99 65 63% 2.0k $14k (exactly $13,630) LIGA - Laboratório de Inovação de Games… (LIGA - Laboratório de Inovação de Games e Apps)
Football Fictional World Simulator $14.99 24 75% 720 $11k (exactly $10,793) keigo0221
Boeckham's Football Manager $4.99 60 91% 1.8k $9.0k (exactly $8,982) Bitbeast Games
Pro Football · EA $11.99 22 100% 660 $7.9k (exactly $7,913) Dayra Studio
Tactics Unlimited · EA $19.99 13 30% 390 $7.8k (exactly $7,796) 2tainment
Sunday League Manager: Horse and Spoon $8.99 15 93% 450 $4.0k (exactly $4,046) christianosway
Goaldeck $9.99 12 91% 360 $3.6k (exactly $3,596) Pro Nobis Studio
Crazy Robot Ball $5.99 18 100% 540 $3.2k (exactly $3,235) Blue Band Studio
Card Revolution Soccer · EA $8.99 9 100% 270 $2.4k (exactly $2,427) LetsPlaymaker Productions
Tactilite $4.99 7 100% 210 $1.0k (exactly $1,048) Eloori Interactive

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.