Do I ship it?

Games › Football (Soccer) › Football (Soccer) + Arcade

Specimen · observed

Should I ship an Arcade Football (Soccer) game?

Football (Soccer) + Arcade

Of 64 developers who shipped an Arcade Football (Soccer) game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 84 more are announced.

Verdict: long shot, for a 7 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $540, ×0.4 the market's $1.5k for a 7 / 10 build, but 1 in 20 cleared $55k, ×37 the market median. Revenue is down 10% on the market; 84 games are announced against 46 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 0.4 times the market baseline, revenue down 10% on the market, 84 announced, ×1.8 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Football (Soccer) + Arcade
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 64
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $359 → $657 → $1.2k → $449 → $839 → $629 → $180 (still earning) → $629 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Football (Soccer) + Arcade: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 64
Bottom 30% $89 (exactly $89)
Median $539 (exactly $539)
Top 25% $2.6k (exactly $2,601)
Top 5% $55k (exactly $55,313)
Developers, 2 yr 64
Released games 190
Announced 84
Effort 7 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $5.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 10% on the market, supply 130% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 15%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Football (Soccer)
effort 7 / 10 · low · effort 7 sits in the low band
Arcade
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
Systems
Football (Soccer), Arcade; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Sports, PvP, Action
Price point
$5.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
Art
6 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Colorful, Funny
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $5.99.

The top 10 games average 70% positive over 40,750 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $89, median $540, 1 in 4 over $2.6k, 1 in 20 over $55k.

3 in 10 developers made under $89. 8 in 10 of the 23 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 84 games are announced against 46 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Football (Soccer) with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Life SimFair10 devs · median $10k · 16 announced
  2. + EconomyFair21 devs · median $6.8k · 29 announced
  3. + Local MultiplayerLong shot32 devs · median $899 · 40 announced
  4. + Local Co-OpLong shot17 devs · median $839 · 22 announced
  5. + Football (American)Long shot15 devs · median $719 · 9 announced
  6. + 4 Player LocalPoor odds14 devs · median $15k · 27 announced
  7. + Character CustomizationPoor odds32 devs · median $3.8k · 54 announced
  8. + Turn-Based TacticsPoor odds14 devs · median $3.6k · 30 announced
  9. + AdventurePoor odds15 devs · median $3.3k · 13 announced
  10. + Resource ManagementPoor odds15 devs · median $3.1k · 30 announced
  11. + ManagementPoor odds47 devs · median $2.7k · 83 announced
  12. + StrategyPoor odds49 devs · median $1.6k · 84 announced

All 32 pairs on the Football (Soccer) page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

REMATCH 2025 · $36M Captain Tsubasa: Rise of New Champions 2020 · $9.1M Pixel Cup Soccer - Ultimate Edition 2022 · $446k Bang Average Football – Play, Manage, Create 2024 · $149k Motion Soccer PRO 2025 · $134k
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
REMATCH $29.99 39,905 70% 1.2M $36M (exactly $35,902,528) Sloclap
Captain Tsubasa: Rise of New Champions older $59.99 5,072 73% 152k $9.1M (exactly $9,128,078) TAMSOFT CORPORATION
Pixel Cup Soccer - Ultimate Edition older $16.99 876 83% 26k $446k (exactly $446,497) BATOVI Games
Bang Average Football – Play, Manage, Create older $11.99 415 95% 12k $149k (exactly $149,276) ruairi dx
Motion Soccer PRO $19.99 223 79% 6.7k $134k (exactly $133,733) Ivanovich Games
Toasterball older $9.99 324 96% 9.7k $97k (exactly $97,103) Les Crafteurs
Super Arcade Football older $12.99 164 68% 4.9k $64k (exactly $63,911) OutOfTheBit Ltd
Backyard Soccer '98 $9.99 212 96% 6.4k $64k (exactly $63,536) Mega Cat Studios
Final Soccer VR older $19.99 95 77% 2.9k $57k (exactly $56,971) Ivanovich Games
Turbo Sliders Unlimited older $14.99 125 88% 3.8k $56k (exactly $56,212) Antti Mannisto
Active Soccer 3 $14.99 123 72% 3.7k $55k (exactly $55,313) The Fox Software
Pimbolas $9.99 89 94% 2.7k $27k (exactly $26,673) Nano Knight Studio
Running Fable Petite Party $13.99 51 100% 1.5k $21k (exactly $21,405) Seashell Studio
Lacrosse 26 $34.99 17 88% 510 $18k (exactly $17,845) Crosse Studios
Beat The Champions $19.99 26 73% 780 $16k (exactly $15,592) Purple Tree S R L, Whiteboard Games
Drunken FC · EA $6.99 71 80% 2.1k $15k (exactly $14,889) Sloppy Games, Red Herring Labs
Wild Rumble $14.99 33 87% 990 $15k (exactly $14,840) Mean Mink

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.