Do I ship it?

GamesFootball (Soccer)Football (Soccer) + 4 Player Local

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a 4 Player Local Football (Soccer) game?

Football (Soccer) + 4 Player Local

Only 14 developers shipped a 4 Player Local Football (Soccer) game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Active Soccer 3, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 27 more are announced, ×2.5 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 7 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $15k, ×9.9 the market's $1.5k for a 7 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $210; 1 in 20 cleared $55k, ×37 the market median. Revenue is up 13225% on the market; 27 games are announced against 11 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 9.9 times the market baseline, revenue up 13225% on the market, 27 announced, ×2.5 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Football (Soccer) + 4 Player Local
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 14
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $898 → $629 → $16k (still earning) → $27k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Football (Soccer) + 4 Player Local: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 14
Bottom 30% $210 (exactly $210)
Median $15k (exactly $14,840)
Top 25% $21k (exactly $21,405)
Top 5% $55k (exactly $55,313)
Developers, 2 yr 14
Released games 48
Announced 27
Effort 7 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $13.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 13225% on the market, supply 265% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 10%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Football (Soccer)
effort 7 / 10 · low · effort 7 sits in the low band
4 Player Local
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
Systems
Football (Soccer), 4 Player Local
Price point
$13.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 10 games average 84% positive over 381 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $210, median $15k, 1 in 4 over $21k, 1 in 20 over $55k.

3 in 10 developers made under $210. 27 games are announced against 11 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.5 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Football (Soccer) with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Life SimFair10 devs · median $10k · 16 announced
  2. + EconomyFair21 devs · median $6.8k · 29 announced
  3. + Local MultiplayerLong shot32 devs · median $899 · 40 announced
  4. + Local Co-OpLong shot17 devs · median $839 · 22 announced
  5. + Football (American)Long shot15 devs · median $719 · 9 announced
  6. + ArcadeLong shot64 devs · median $539 · 84 announced
  7. + Character CustomizationPoor odds32 devs · median $3.8k · 54 announced
  8. + Turn-Based TacticsPoor odds14 devs · median $3.6k · 30 announced
  9. + AdventurePoor odds15 devs · median $3.3k · 13 announced
  10. + Resource ManagementPoor odds15 devs · median $3.1k · 30 announced
  11. + ManagementPoor odds47 devs · median $2.7k · 83 announced
  12. + StrategyPoor odds49 devs · median $1.6k · 84 announced

All 32 pairs on the Football (Soccer) page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Captain Tsubasa: Rise of New Champions older $59.99 5,072 73% 152k $9.1M (exactly $9,128,078) TAMSOFT CORPORATION
WE ARE FOOTBALL 2024 older $39.99 751 79% 23k $901k (exactly $900,975) Winning Streak Games GmbH
Kopanito All-Stars Soccer older $5.99 2,434 84% 73k $437k (exactly $437,390) Merixgames
Toasterball older $9.99 324 96% 9.7k $97k (exactly $97,103) Les Crafteurs
Super Arcade Football older $12.99 164 68% 4.9k $64k (exactly $63,911) OutOfTheBit Ltd
Active Soccer 3 $14.99 123 72% 3.7k $55k (exactly $55,313) The Fox Software
Golazo! Soccer League older $8.99 199 80% 6.0k $54k (exactly $53,670) Purple Tree S R L
Super Soccer Blast older $7.99 134 70% 4.0k $32k (exactly $32,120) Unfinished Pixel
Pimbolas $9.99 89 94% 2.7k $27k (exactly $26,673) Nano Knight Studio
Ganbare! Super Strikers older $9.99 85 85% 2.6k $25k (exactly $25,474) rese
WE ARE FOOTBALL 2027 $19.99 37 89% 1.1k $22k (exactly $22,189) Winning Streak Games GmbH
Running Fable Petite Party $13.99 51 100% 1.5k $21k (exactly $21,405) Seashell Studio
Lacrosse 26 $34.99 17 88% 510 $18k (exactly $17,845) Crosse Studios
Beat The Champions $19.99 26 73% 780 $16k (exactly $15,592) Purple Tree S R L, Whiteboard Games
Wild Rumble $14.99 33 87% 990 $15k (exactly $14,840) Mean Mink
Street Basket Challenge $19.99 2 0% 60 $1.2k (exactly $1,199) Ronald Games
Super Arcade Soccer 2026 $9.99 2 100% 60 $599 (exactly $599) Calvary Games
Foxyball $6.99 1 0% 30 $210 (exactly $210) Hayen Games

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.