Do I ship it?

GamesFootball (Soccer)Football (Soccer) + Local Co-Op

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Local Co-Op Football (Soccer) game?

Football (Soccer) + Local Co-Op

Only 17 developers shipped a Local Co-Op Football (Soccer) game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, EA SPORTS FC™ 26, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 22 more are announced.

Verdict: long shot, for a 7 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $840, ×0.6 the market's $1.5k for a 7 / 10 build, but 1 in 20 cleared $200M, ×139849 the market median. Revenue is up 13225% on the market; 22 games are announced against 12 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 0.6 times the market baseline, revenue up 13225% on the market, 22 announced, ×1.8 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Football (Soccer) + Local Co-Op
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 17
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $21k → $2.2k → $839 → $1.2k → $599 (still earning) → $27k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Football (Soccer) + Local Co-Op: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 17
Bottom 30% $210 (exactly $210)
Median $839 (exactly $839)
Top 25% $18k (exactly $17,845)
Top 5% $209M (exactly $209,493,368)
Developers, 2 yr 17
Released games 63
Announced 22
Effort 7 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 13225% on the market, supply 70% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 10%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Football (Soccer)
effort 7 / 10 · low · effort 7 sits in the low band
Local Co-Op
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
Systems
Football (Soccer), Local Co-Op; all of the top 25% also carry Co-op, PvP, Sports
Price point
$9.99 typical · top 25% priced $69.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Family Friendly, Realistic
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $69.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.

The top 10 games average 50% positive over 100,121 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $210, median $840, 1 in 4 over $17k, 1 in 20 over $200M.

3 in 10 developers made under $210. 9 in 10 of the 9 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 22 games are announced against 12 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Football (Soccer) with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Life SimFair10 devs · median $10k · 16 announced
  2. + EconomyFair21 devs · median $6.8k · 29 announced
  3. + Local MultiplayerLong shot32 devs · median $899 · 40 announced
  4. + Football (American)Long shot15 devs · median $719 · 9 announced
  5. + ArcadeLong shot64 devs · median $539 · 84 announced
  6. + 4 Player LocalPoor odds14 devs · median $15k · 27 announced
  7. + Character CustomizationPoor odds32 devs · median $3.8k · 54 announced
  8. + Turn-Based TacticsPoor odds14 devs · median $3.6k · 30 announced
  9. + AdventurePoor odds15 devs · median $3.3k · 13 announced
  10. + Resource ManagementPoor odds15 devs · median $3.1k · 30 announced
  11. + ManagementPoor odds47 devs · median $2.7k · 83 announced
  12. + StrategyPoor odds49 devs · median $1.6k · 84 announced

All 32 pairs on the Football (Soccer) page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
EA SPORTS FC™ 26 $69.99 99,773 50% 3.0M $209M (exactly $209,493,368) EA Canada, EA Romania
Bang-On Balls: Chronicles older $24.99 4,334 96% 130k $3.2M (exactly $3,249,200) Exit Plan Games
Football, Tactics & Glory older $24.99 3,998 87% 120k $3.0M (exactly $2,997,301) Creoteam
Pixel Cup Soccer - Ultimate Edition older $16.99 876 83% 26k $446k (exactly $446,497) BATOVI Games
Kopanito All-Stars Soccer older $5.99 2,434 84% 73k $437k (exactly $437,390) Merixgames
Toasterball older $9.99 324 96% 9.7k $97k (exactly $97,103) Les Crafteurs
Active Soccer 3 $14.99 123 72% 3.7k $55k (exactly $55,313) The Fox Software
Gaelic Football Laochra $34.99 52 78% 1.6k $55k (exactly $54,584) Buck Eejit Games
Golazo! Soccer League older $8.99 199 80% 6.0k $54k (exactly $53,670) Purple Tree S R L
Golazo! 2 older $14.99 109 77% 3.3k $49k (exactly $49,017) Purple Tree S R L
Pimbolas $9.99 89 94% 2.7k $27k (exactly $26,673) Nano Knight Studio
Lacrosse 26 $34.99 17 88% 510 $18k (exactly $17,845) Crosse Studios
Beat The Champions $19.99 26 73% 780 $16k (exactly $15,592) Purple Tree S R L, Whiteboard Games
Wild Rumble $14.99 33 87% 990 $15k (exactly $14,840) Mean Mink
Street Basket Challenge $19.99 2 0% 60 $1.2k (exactly $1,199) Ronald Games
Soccer Pro Simulator · EA $6.99 4 50% 120 $839 (exactly $839) Hard Shark Games
Super Arcade Soccer 2026 $9.99 2 100% 60 $599 (exactly $599) Calvary Games

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.