Do I ship it?

GamesFootball (Soccer)Football (Soccer) + Local Multiplayer

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Local Multiplayer Football (Soccer) game?

Football (Soccer) + Local Multiplayer

Of 32 developers who shipped a Local Multiplayer Football (Soccer) game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 40 more are announced.

Verdict: long shot, for a 7 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $900, ×0.6 the market's $1.5k for a 7 / 10 build, but 1 in 20 cleared $590k, ×396 the market median. Revenue is up 90% on the market; 40 games are announced against 24 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 0.6 times the market baseline, revenue up 90% on the market, 40 announced, ×1.7 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Football (Soccer) + Local Multiplayer
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 32
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $21k → $657 → $629 → $15k → $839 → $1.2k → $599 (still earning) → $899 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Football (Soccer) + Local Multiplayer: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 32
Bottom 30% $479 (exactly $479)
Median $899 (exactly $899)
Top 25% $15k (exactly $14,889)
Top 5% $594k (exactly $593,901)
Developers, 2 yr 32
Released games 117
Announced 40
Effort 7 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $8.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 90% on the market, supply 165% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 11%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Football (Soccer)
effort 7 / 10 · low · effort 7 sits in the low band
Local Multiplayer
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
Systems
Football (Soccer), Local Multiplayer; 7 in 10 of the top 25% also carry PvP, Sports, Local Co-Op
Price point
$8.99 typical · top 25% priced $59.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Cartoony, Colorful
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $59.99 or above; the middle game at $8.99.

The top 10 games average 50% positive over 100,438 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $480, median $900, 1 in 4 over $14k, 1 in 20 over $590k.

3 in 10 developers made under $480. 9 in 10 of the 12 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 40 games are announced against 24 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Football (Soccer) with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Life SimFair10 devs · median $10k · 16 announced
  2. + EconomyFair21 devs · median $6.8k · 29 announced
  3. + Local Co-OpLong shot17 devs · median $839 · 22 announced
  4. + Football (American)Long shot15 devs · median $719 · 9 announced
  5. + ArcadeLong shot64 devs · median $539 · 84 announced
  6. + 4 Player LocalPoor odds14 devs · median $15k · 27 announced
  7. + Character CustomizationPoor odds32 devs · median $3.8k · 54 announced
  8. + Turn-Based TacticsPoor odds14 devs · median $3.6k · 30 announced
  9. + AdventurePoor odds15 devs · median $3.3k · 13 announced
  10. + Resource ManagementPoor odds15 devs · median $3.1k · 30 announced
  11. + ManagementPoor odds47 devs · median $2.7k · 83 announced
  12. + StrategyPoor odds49 devs · median $1.6k · 84 announced

All 32 pairs on the Football (Soccer) page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
EA SPORTS FC™ 26 $69.99 99,773 50% 3.0M $209M (exactly $209,493,368) EA Canada, EA Romania
Football, Tactics & Glory older $24.99 3,998 87% 120k $3.0M (exactly $2,997,301) Creoteam
WE ARE FOOTBALL 2024 older $39.99 751 79% 23k $901k (exactly $900,975) Winning Streak Games GmbH
WE ARE FOOTBALL older $24.99 839 75% 25k $629k (exactly $628,998) Winning Streak Games
CAPTAIN TSUBASA 2: WORLD FIGHTERS $59.99 330 50% 9.9k $594k (exactly $593,901) TAMSOFT CORPORATION
Adorables older $29.99 502 80% 15k $452k (exactly $451,649) White Rabbit
Pixel Cup Soccer - Ultimate Edition older $16.99 876 83% 26k $446k (exactly $446,497) BATOVI Games
Kopanito All-Stars Soccer older $5.99 2,434 84% 73k $437k (exactly $437,390) Merixgames
Bang Average Football – Play, Manage, Create older $11.99 415 95% 12k $149k (exactly $149,276) ruairi dx
Toasterball older $9.99 324 96% 9.7k $97k (exactly $97,103) Les Crafteurs
Gaelic Football Laochra $34.99 52 78% 1.6k $55k (exactly $54,584) Buck Eejit Games
Looney Tunes: Wacky World of Sports $49.99 34 79% 1.0k $51k (exactly $50,990) Bamtang Games
Pimbolas $9.99 89 94% 2.7k $27k (exactly $26,673) Nano Knight Studio
Lacrosse 26 $34.99 17 88% 510 $18k (exactly $17,845) Crosse Studios
Beat The Champions $19.99 26 73% 780 $16k (exactly $15,592) Purple Tree S R L, Whiteboard Games
Drunken FC · EA $6.99 71 80% 2.1k $15k (exactly $14,889) Sloppy Games, Red Herring Labs
Wild Rumble $14.99 33 87% 990 $15k (exactly $14,840) Mean Mink
Tactics Unlimited · EA $19.99 13 30% 390 $7.8k (exactly $7,796) 2tainment

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.