Do I ship it?

GamesFootball (Soccer)Football (Soccer) + Resource Management

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Resource Management Football (Soccer) game?

Football (Soccer) + Resource Management

Only 15 developers shipped a Resource Management Football (Soccer) game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Copa City: Matchday Manager, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 30 more are announced, ×2.1 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 7 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $3.1k, ×2.0 the market's $1.5k for a 7 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $270; 1 in 20 cleared $180k, ×124 the market median. Momentum is unreadable here, too few recent games; 30 games are announced against 14 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 2.0 times the market baseline, revenue too few recent games to read momentum, 30 announced, ×2.1 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Football (Soccer) + Resource Management
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 15
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $28k → $87k (still earning) → $3.1k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Football (Soccer) + Resource Management: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 15
Bottom 30% $269 (exactly $269)
Median $3.1k (exactly $3,050)
Top 25% $11k (exactly $10,793)
Top 5% $185k (exactly $185,176)
Developers, 2 yr 15
Released games 30
Announced 30
Effort 7 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply 1300% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 13%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Football (Soccer)
effort 7 / 10 · low · effort 7 sits in the low band
Resource Management
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
Systems
Football (Soccer), Resource Management
Price point
$9.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 10 games average 74% positive over 862 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $270, median $3.1k, 1 in 4 over $10k, 1 in 20 over $180k.

3 in 10 developers made under $270. 30 games are announced against 14 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.1 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Football (Soccer) with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Life SimFair10 devs · median $10k · 16 announced
  2. + EconomyFair21 devs · median $6.8k · 29 announced
  3. + Local MultiplayerLong shot32 devs · median $899 · 40 announced
  4. + Local Co-OpLong shot17 devs · median $839 · 22 announced
  5. + Football (American)Long shot15 devs · median $719 · 9 announced
  6. + ArcadeLong shot64 devs · median $539 · 84 announced
  7. + 4 Player LocalPoor odds14 devs · median $15k · 27 announced
  8. + Character CustomizationPoor odds32 devs · median $3.8k · 54 announced
  9. + Turn-Based TacticsPoor odds14 devs · median $3.6k · 30 announced
  10. + AdventurePoor odds15 devs · median $3.3k · 13 announced
  11. + ManagementPoor odds47 devs · median $2.7k · 83 announced
  12. + StrategyPoor odds49 devs · median $1.6k · 84 announced

All 32 pairs on the Football (Soccer) page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Football, Tactics & Glory older $24.99 3,998 87% 120k $3.0M (exactly $2,997,301) Creoteam
WE ARE FOOTBALL 2024 older $39.99 751 79% 23k $901k (exactly $900,975) Winning Streak Games GmbH
Copa City: Matchday Manager $24.99 247 72% 7.4k $185k (exactly $185,176) Triple Espresso S.A.
Starters Orders 7 Horse Racing older $34.99 167 77% 5.0k $175k (exactly $175,300) Strategic Designs Ltd.
CFS (Chinese Football Simulator) $9.99 290 67% 8.7k $87k (exactly $86,913) 悟空实验室
Goalgetter older $19.99 96 80% 2.9k $58k (exactly $57,571) netmin games
Tennis Manager 2021 older $9.99 191 75% 5.7k $57k (exactly $57,243) Rebound
Pocket League Story older $8.99 160 88% 4.8k $43k (exactly $43,152) Kairosoft Co.,Ltd
Football Agent · EA $11.99 110 82% 3.3k $40k (exactly $39,567) ATERO GAMES
Tennis Manager 2024 older $9.99 94 77% 2.8k $28k (exactly $28,172) Rebound
Football Fictional World Simulator $14.99 24 75% 720 $11k (exactly $10,793) keigo0221
Empire Eleven 2026 $9.99 27 74% 810 $8.1k (exactly $8,092) NextStation Games
Lazy Kickers $2.99 85 90% 2.6k $7.6k (exactly $7,625) Sos Sosowski
Kevin Toms Football Star Manager $5.99 38 92% 1.1k $6.8k (exactly $6,829) Kevin Toms
Gold ’n Goal $2.99 34 55% 1.0k $3.1k (exactly $3,050) Frog Hammer
Miranza Futebol Clube $2.99 6 100% 180 $538 (exactly $538) Porto Inc.
Match Cards: Football $8.99 1 100% 30 $270 (exactly $270) PlayeRom

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.