Do I ship it?

GamesFootball (Soccer)Football (Soccer) + Strategy

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Strategy Football (Soccer) game?

Football (Soccer) + Strategy

Of 49 developers who shipped a Strategy Football (Soccer) game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 84 more are announced, ×2.6 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 7 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.6k, ×1.1 the market's $1.5k for a 7 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $270; 1 in 20 cleared $180k, ×124 the market median. Revenue is down 35% on the market; 84 games are announced against 32 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.1 times the market baseline, revenue down 35% on the market, 84 announced, ×2.6 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Football (Soccer) + Strategy
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 49
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $90 → $419 → $898 → $7.9k → $2.7k → $3.8k → $1.0k (still earning) → $599 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Football (Soccer) + Strategy: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 49
Bottom 30% $269 (exactly $269)
Median $1.6k (exactly $1,619)
Top 25% $7.9k (exactly $7,913)
Top 5% $185k (exactly $185,176)
Developers, 2 yr 49
Released games 121
Announced 84
Effort 7 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 35% on the market, supply 80% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 15%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Football (Soccer)
effort 7 / 10 · low · effort 7 sits in the low band
Strategy
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
Systems
Football (Soccer), Strategy; 7 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Sports, Simulation, Management
Price point
$9.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
Art
3 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Text-Based
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.

The top 10 games average 39% positive over 22,773 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $270, median $1.6k, 1 in 4 over $7.9k, 1 in 20 over $180k.

3 in 10 developers made under $270. 9 in 10 of the 20 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 84 games are announced against 32 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.6 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Football (Soccer) with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Life SimFair10 devs · median $10k · 16 announced
  2. + EconomyFair21 devs · median $6.8k · 29 announced
  3. + Local MultiplayerLong shot32 devs · median $899 · 40 announced
  4. + Local Co-OpLong shot17 devs · median $839 · 22 announced
  5. + Football (American)Long shot15 devs · median $719 · 9 announced
  6. + ArcadeLong shot64 devs · median $539 · 84 announced
  7. + 4 Player LocalPoor odds14 devs · median $15k · 27 announced
  8. + Character CustomizationPoor odds32 devs · median $3.8k · 54 announced
  9. + Turn-Based TacticsPoor odds14 devs · median $3.6k · 30 announced
  10. + AdventurePoor odds15 devs · median $3.3k · 13 announced
  11. + Resource ManagementPoor odds15 devs · median $3.1k · 30 announced
  12. + ManagementPoor odds47 devs · median $2.7k · 83 announced

All 32 pairs on the Football (Soccer) page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Football Manager 26 $59.99 21,490 37% 645k $39M (exactly $38,675,553) Sports Interactive
Football, Tactics & Glory older $24.99 3,998 87% 120k $3.0M (exactly $2,997,301) Creoteam
WE ARE FOOTBALL 2024 older $39.99 751 79% 23k $901k (exactly $900,975) Winning Streak Games GmbH
WE ARE FOOTBALL older $24.99 839 75% 25k $629k (exactly $628,998) Winning Streak Games
Adorables older $29.99 502 80% 15k $452k (exactly $451,649) White Rabbit
GOAL! The Club Manager · EA older $29.99 364 33% 11k $327k (exactly $327,491) 2tainment
NUTMEG! A Nostalgic Deckbuilding Football Manager $24.99 378 89% 11k $283k (exactly $283,387) Sumo Digital, Sumo Digital Academy
Copa City: Matchday Manager $24.99 247 72% 7.4k $185k (exactly $185,176) Triple Espresso S.A.
Starters Orders 7 Horse Racing older $34.99 167 77% 5.0k $175k (exactly $175,300) Strategic Designs Ltd.
Lords of Football older $14.99 280 51% 8.4k $126k (exactly $125,916) Geniaware Srl
World of Football · EA $9.99 197 81% 5.9k $59k (exactly $59,041) Vault Game Studio
FD 27: Direct Your Football Club · EA $11.99 121 56% 3.6k $44k (exactly $43,524) Syra Games
Football Agent · EA $11.99 110 82% 3.3k $40k (exactly $39,567) ATERO GAMES
Pup Champs $12.99 101 98% 3.0k $39k (exactly $39,360) Afterburn
WE ARE FOOTBALL 2027 $19.99 37 89% 1.1k $22k (exactly $22,189) Winning Streak Games GmbH
Football Fictional World Simulator $14.99 24 75% 720 $11k (exactly $10,793) keigo0221
Regista: Reign Your Football Club $4.99 68 67% 2.0k $10k (exactly $10,180) dicehit

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.