Do I ship it?

Games › Football (Soccer) › Football (Soccer) + Character Customization

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Character Customization Football (Soccer) game?

Football (Soccer) + Character Customization

Of 32 developers who shipped a Character Customization Football (Soccer) game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 54 more are announced, ×2.3 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 7 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $3.8k, ×2.5 the market's $1.5k for a 7 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $300; 1 in 20 cleared $35M, ×23967 the market median. Revenue is down 65% on the market; 54 games are announced against 23 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 2.5 times the market baseline, revenue down 65% on the market, 54 announced, ×2.3 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Football (Soccer) + Character Customization
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 32
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $27k → $210 → $940k → $3.8k → $479 (still earning) → $22k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Football (Soccer) + Character Customization: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 32
Bottom 30% $299 (exactly $299)
Median $3.8k (exactly $3,778)
Top 25% $60k (exactly $60,404)
Top 5% $36M (exactly $35,902,528)
Developers, 2 yr 32
Released games 70
Announced 54
Effort 7 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 65% on the market, supply 155% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 26%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Football (Soccer)
effort 7 / 10 · low · effort 7 sits in the low band
Character Customization
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
Systems
Football (Soccer), Character Customization; 7 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Sports, PvP, Simulation
Price point
$9.99 typical · top 25% priced $69.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, First-Person, Third Person
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $69.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.

The top 10 games average 61% positive over 176,690 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $300, median $3.8k, 1 in 4 over $60k, 1 in 20 over $35M.

3 in 10 developers made under $300. 6 in 10 of the 14 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 54 games are announced against 23 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.3 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Football (Soccer) with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Life SimFair10 devs · median $10k · 16 announced
  2. + EconomyFair21 devs · median $6.8k · 29 announced
  3. + Local MultiplayerLong shot32 devs · median $899 · 40 announced
  4. + Local Co-OpLong shot17 devs · median $839 · 22 announced
  5. + Football (American)Long shot15 devs · median $719 · 9 announced
  6. + ArcadeLong shot64 devs · median $539 · 84 announced
  7. + 4 Player LocalPoor odds14 devs · median $15k · 27 announced
  8. + Turn-Based TacticsPoor odds14 devs · median $3.6k · 30 announced
  9. + AdventurePoor odds15 devs · median $3.3k · 13 announced
  10. + Resource ManagementPoor odds15 devs · median $3.1k · 30 announced
  11. + ManagementPoor odds47 devs · median $2.7k · 83 announced
  12. + StrategyPoor odds49 devs · median $1.6k · 84 announced

All 32 pairs on the Football (Soccer) page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

EA SPORTS FC™ 26 2025 · $209M REMATCH 2025 · $36M INAZUMA ELEVEN: Victory Road 2025 · $23M Captain Tsubasa: Rise of New Champions 2020 · $9.1M Pro Soccer Online 2025 · $3.5M
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
EA SPORTS FC™ 26 $69.99 99,773 50% 3.0M $209M (exactly $209,493,368) EA Canada, EA Romania
REMATCH $29.99 39,905 70% 1.2M $36M (exactly $35,902,528) Sloclap
INAZUMA ELEVEN: Victory Road $69.99 11,180 88% 335k $23M (exactly $23,474,646) LEVEL5 Inc.
Captain Tsubasa: Rise of New Champions older $59.99 5,072 73% 152k $9.1M (exactly $9,128,078) TAMSOFT CORPORATION
Pro Soccer Online $4.99 23,241 82% 697k $3.5M (exactly $3,479,178) Skywall Studios LLC
Football Life Simulator · EA $19.99 1,567 68% 47k $940k (exactly $939,730) Ludu Arts
CAPTAIN TSUBASA 2: WORLD FIGHTERS $59.99 330 50% 9.9k $594k (exactly $593,901) TAMSOFT CORPORATION
Bang Average Football – Play, Manage, Create older $11.99 415 95% 12k $149k (exactly $149,276) ruairi dx
CFS (Chinese Football Simulator) $9.99 290 67% 8.7k $87k (exactly $86,913) 悟空实验室
Sports Card Shop Simulator · EA $12.99 155 92% 4.7k $60k (exactly $60,404) OverPowered Team
World of Football · EA $9.99 197 81% 5.9k $59k (exactly $59,041) Vault Game Studio
Gaelic Football Laochra $34.99 52 78% 1.6k $55k (exactly $54,584) Buck Eejit Games

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.